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Analytics
Paul Swartz
Commentary
In Trump 2.0, growing, spending, or squandering an enviable macroeconomic inheritance are all on the table
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Despite inflation, U.S. consumers are 5% better off than in 2019—here’s why they don’t feel that way
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Finance
What to expect for inflation, employment, and trade in the ‘tight 20s’
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Here’s how the U.S., Europe, and China are faring in the post-pandemic race for economic growth
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Economic pessimists’ bet on a 2023 recession failed. Why are they doubling down in 2024?
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Long-term interest rates are spiking. Could they deliver a recession–or are they a sign of strength for the U.S. economy?
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
A much-feared emerging markets crisis didn’t happen. Is the global economy off the hook?
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
The SVB collapse adds financial instability to the Fed’s inflation fight. A recession may not be the worst outcome
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
A soft landing is playing out—but optimism needs to be for the right reasons
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Will the U.S. and Europe slide into recession in 2023? Here’s how to look out when economic outlooks don’t
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Why the market vetoed the U.K.’s budget–and what it means for the changing nature of stimulus around the world
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Recession or resilience? Here’s how the U.S., Europe, and Asia stack up
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
How much damage will the housing market do to the economy?
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
Is this the end of low interest rates?
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz
Commentary
For the Fed, fighting inflation is imperative, but slamming the economy would be premature
By
Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak
and
Paul Swartz