• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia
CommentaryStartups & Venture

An uncertain economy threatens startups–but caution and pessimism have no place in the tech industry

By
Gary Shapiro
Gary Shapiro
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Gary Shapiro
Gary Shapiro
Down Arrow Button Icon
September 26, 2022, 6:22 AM ET
President and CEO of the Consumer Technology Association Gary Shapiro delivers a keynote address at CES in January 2022.
President and CEO of the Consumer Technology Association Gary Shapiro delivers a keynote address at CES in January 2022. Ethan Miller—Getty Images

New businesses are the secret sauce for economic growth, catalyzing innovation, and shaking up industries. Globally, startups create nearly $3 trillion in value  (more than the GDP of France) and attract billions in venture capital funding. And it’s not just about the money. Startups are also responsible for driving tech advances that make our lives easier, safer, and more productive.

However, with economists and CEOs predicting a recession ahead, the “firehose of money” pointed at startups, as one investor put it, is drying up. As VC funding slows, and consumers cut back on spending, startups and new businesses are feeling the pressure–but that doesn’t mean winter is coming for the tech industry. 

In fact, tough economic times can be a differentiator for savvy startups. Several of today’s most recognizable tech platforms launched in the aftermath of the 2008-2009 recession, which forced innovators and entrepreneurs to take risks and adapt their business models.

If you’re reading this op-ed during the workday, it may have come your way via Slack–a company that got its start in 2009. WhatsApp and Instagram were also created at the height of the 2008 recession. 

You may be thinking, well, of course, these companies survived–they’re huge! But it’s not just the big household names that found success in a recessionary period. In 2008, Goal Zero founder Robert Workman launched his company’s first product, a portable solar power generator. The company has since deployed its products across the globe, bringing light and power to villages in Africa, South Asia, and the Caribbean, as well as areas of the U.S. living without power after natural disasters. 

For many founders, success can also mean acquisition. In 2008, serial entrepreneur Carmichael Roberts co-founded MC10, a manufacturer of flexible electronic sensors. Just over a decade later, the company sold its digital biomarker business to medtech giant Medidata, expanding the use of wearable sensors for clinical research.

So to those who are pessimistic about the future of our industry, I say: You’re getting it wrong. Tech founders are used to tackling seemingly impossible challenges. Our industry is meant to hack its way out of problems. 

The reality is that even in a boom cycle, some 75% of startups will fail to return investors’ capital. Building and scaling a new company is a major challenge. Those that succeed all have one thing in common: the ability and willingness to embrace change and transform their business. Startup founders have a “ninja mindset” that allows a company to navigate a volatile market environment, understand what their customers want, and capitalize on opportunities at lightning speed. 

After CES, the world’s most influential technology event went all-virtual in 2021, skeptics questioned our decision to move ahead with an in-person event. And while some companies chose not to join us in Las Vegas, overwhelmingly, exhibitors–particularly startups and small businesses–cited the CES platform as critical to their business.

It’s natural for startups to be cautious, especially when times get tough. But being too cautious can mean missed opportunities to grow your business and propel life-changing technologies forward. Don’t use a bad economy as an excuse to pull back. Instead, embrace change and learn to pivot fast.

Gary Shapiro is president and CEO of the Consumer Technology Association (CTA),the U.S. trade association representing more than 1,500 consumer technology companies, and a New York Times bestselling author. He is the author of the book Ninja Future: Secrets to Success in the New World of Innovation. His views are his own.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

More must-read commentary published by Fortune:

  • Recession or resilience? Here’s how the U.S., Europe, and Asia stack up
  • Patagonia: ‘We are turning capitalism on its head by making the Earth our only shareholder’
  • How Germany’s regulators beat the SEC in the race for crypto regulation–and convinced me to establish my business there
  • Week-to-week management could be the solution to employers’ distrust of remote work
  • Don’t spoil the unique chemistry between America’s universities and pharmaceutical companies

Sign up for the Fortune Features email list so you don’t miss our biggest features, exclusive interviews, and investigations.

About the Author
By Gary Shapiro
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Commentary

Dr. Javier Cárdenas is the director of the Rockefeller Neuroscience Institute NeuroPerformance Innovation Center.
Commentaryconcussions
Fists, not football: There is no concussion protocol for domestic violence survivors
By Javier CárdenasDecember 12, 2025
21 hours ago
Gary Locke is the former U.S. ambassador to China, U.S. secretary of commerce, and governor of Washington.
CommentaryChina
China is winning the biotech race. Patent reform is how we catch up
By Gary LockeDecember 12, 2025
21 hours ago
millennial
CommentaryConsumer Spending
Meet the 2025 holiday white whale: the millennial dad spending $500+ per kid
By Phillip GoerickeDecember 12, 2025
21 hours ago
Sarandos
CommentaryAntitrust
Netflix, Warner, Paramount and antitrust: Entertainment megadeal’s outcome must follow the evidence, not politics or fear of integration
By Satya MararDecember 12, 2025
22 hours ago
CommentaryLeadership
Leading the agentic enterprise: What the next wave of AI demands from CEOs
By François Candelon, Amartya Das, Sesh Iyer, Shervin Khodabandeh and Sam RansbothamDecember 12, 2025
1 day ago
Sarandos
CommentaryAntitrust
Netflix’s takeover of Warner Brothers is a nightmare for consumers
By Ike BrannonDecember 11, 2025
2 days ago

Most Popular

placeholder alt text
Economy
Tariffs are taxes and they were used to finance the federal government until the 1913 income tax. A top economist breaks it down
By Kent JonesDecember 12, 2025
24 hours ago
placeholder alt text
Success
Apple cofounder Ronald Wayne sold his 10% stake for $800 in 1976—today it’d be worth up to $400 billion
By Preston ForeDecember 12, 2025
20 hours ago
placeholder alt text
Success
40% of Stanford undergrads receive disability accommodations—but it’s become a college-wide phenomenon as Gen Z try to succeed in the current climate
By Preston ForeDecember 12, 2025
19 hours ago
placeholder alt text
Success
At 18, doctors gave him three hours to live. He played video games from his hospital bed—and now, he’s built a $10 million-a-year video game studio
By Preston ForeDecember 10, 2025
3 days ago
placeholder alt text
Economy
For the first time since Trump’s tariff rollout, import tax revenue has fallen, threatening his lofty plans to slash the $38 trillion national debt
By Sasha RogelbergDecember 12, 2025
15 hours ago
placeholder alt text
Economy
The Fed just ‘Trump-proofed’ itself with a unanimous move to preempt a potential leadership shake-up
By Jason MaDecember 12, 2025
13 hours ago
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • Future 50
  • World’s Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
Sections
  • Finance
  • Leadership
  • Success
  • Tech
  • Asia
  • Europe
  • Environment
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Health
  • Retail
  • Lifestyle
  • Politics
  • Newsletters
  • Magazine
  • Features
  • Commentary
  • Mpw
  • CEO Initiative
  • Conferences
  • Personal Finance
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
About Us
  • About Us
  • Editorial Calendar
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Diversity And Inclusion
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map

© 2025 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.