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'The demographic dividend of the last 40 years is ending': J.P. Morgan says the world is running out of the two things that kept interest rates down

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The $39 trillion U.S. national debt isn’t as high as Japan’s and Singapore’s relative to economy size—and yet it's still worse somehow

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'The demographic dividend of the last 40 years is ending': J.P. Morgan says the world is running out of the two things that kept interest rates down

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Jensen Huang made his $172 billion fortune on AI chips. His family's $75 million gift to Vanderbilt argues art decides what technology is for

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The $39 trillion U.S. national debt isn’t as high as Japan’s and Singapore’s relative to economy size—and yet it's still worse somehow
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Target’s big miss and dismal holiday outlook has stocks slipping on Wall Street

By
Damian J. Troise
Damian J. Troise
and
The Associated Press
The Associated Press
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Damian J. Troise
Damian J. Troise
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The Associated Press
The Associated Press
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November 16, 2022, 10:57 AM ET
Wall Street
Street signs at the intersection of Wall and Broad Streets are shown in lower Manhattan, Wednesday, Oct. 13, 2021.AP Photo/John Minchillo, File
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Stocks fell in morning trading on Wall Street Wednesday as investors reviewed a dismal financial report from Target and a broader update on the retail sector from the government.

The S&P 500 fell 0.6% as of 10:22 a.m. Eastern. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose fell 13 points, or less than 0.1%, to 33,601 and the Nasdaq fell 1.4%.

Retailers weighed heavily on the market. Target slumped 14% after cutting its forecasts for the holiday season following a surprisingly big drop in its third-quarter profits. Auto parts retailer Advance Auto Parts fell 15.9% after reporting weak financial results.

Macy’s, which reports its financial results on Thursday, fell 6.9%.

Big technology companies also fell. Apple slipped 1.4% and Nvidia fell 4%.

Wall Street has been closely watching the latest economic updates, including reports that consumer and wholesale prices continue to cool. Much of the market’s prior rally was due to hopes inflation is easing, which could portend less aggressive hikes for interest rates from the Federal Reserve.

The Fed has been raising interest rates in an effort to slow the economy and tame the hottest inflation in decades. Wall Street is worried that it could hit the brakes too hard on economic growth and bring on a recession.

The latest government report on retail sales for October shows that consumer spending remains strong, though it’s unclear whether that’s because of more purchases or higher prices.

Strong consumer spending is typically a good sign for the economy, but it could make the Fed’s strategy of cooling the economy more difficult. The central bank has already hiked its key overnight rate up to a range of 3.75% to 4% from virtually zero earlier this year. It has said it still plans to hike rates further and then to hold them at that high rate for a while in order to grind down inflation.

Bond yields were mixed. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences mortgage rates, fell to 3.73% from 3.78% from late Tuesday. The yield on the two-year Treasury rose to 4.37% from 4.35% from late Tuesday.

Wall Street is also closely watching developments in Russia’s war against Ukraine. Tensions appear to have receded slightly after NATO member Poland and the head of the military alliance both said Wednesday there is “no indication” that a missile that came down in Polish farmland, killing two people, was an intentional attack. Air defenses in neighboring Ukraine likely launched the Soviet-era projectile to fend off a Russian assault that savaged its power grid, they said.

“There is nothing, absolutely nothing, to suggest that it was an intentional attack on Poland,” said Polish President Andrzej Duda.

Markets in Europe fell.

The conflict is hanging over the energy market. A worsening war in Ukraine could cause spikes in prices for oil, gas and other commodities that the region produces. U.S. crude oil prices rose 2.6%.

___

Yuri Kageyama and Matt Ott contributed to this report.

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