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Donald Trump Tweets That Stock Market Rises Fastest 1,000 in History. Here’s What History Says.

Lucinda Shen
By
Lucinda Shen
Lucinda Shen
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Lucinda Shen
By
Lucinda Shen
Lucinda Shen
Down Arrow Button Icon
January 5, 2018, 2:56 PM ET
Donald Trump stock market dow new highs
Traders work on the floor at the closing bell of the Dow Industrial Average at the New York Stock Exchange on November 15, 2017 in New York, as US President Donald Trump delivers a televised statement from the White House. / AFP PHOTO / Bryan R. Smith (Photo credit should read BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP/Getty Images)Bryan R. Smith—AFP/Getty Images

The Dow Jones industrial average crossing over 25,000 came with an expected level of fanfare from the public, as well as President Donald Trump, who in a tweet dubbed it the “record fastest 1000 point move in history.”

Actually, that is incorrect. While the stock market as measured by the Dow index did hit new highs Friday above 25,100, it’s not the first time investors have jumped into the Dow companies at such an optimistic speed.

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/949242950659313669

It took 35 days for the Dow to go from a close above 24,000 to 25,000. It took the same number of days for the index, which is based on 30 blue chip stocks, to rise 1,000 points earlier in Trump’s presidency. In Mar. 2017, the index jumped above 21,000 on the the promise of tax cuts from a now Republican-led Congress and White House.

And before that, the last time the Dow spent 35 days to gain 1,000 points was in May 1999—at the height of the dot-com bubble, according to S&P Global.

But don’t panic just yet. That may seem alarming—but it doesn’t signal an imminent bubble. For one, the Dow has grown larger over time, meaning a 1,000 point move today is less significant percentage-wise compared to such a movement 20 years earlier. Most on Wall Street, meanwhile, appear to think that the markets are expected to continue growing, albeit at a more measured pace, in 2018.

Fortune Brainstorm AI returns to San Francisco Dec. 8–9 to convene the smartest people we know—technologists, entrepreneurs, Fortune Global 500 executives, investors, policymakers, and the brilliant minds in between—to explore and interrogate the most pressing questions about AI at another pivotal moment. Register here.
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Lucinda Shen
By Lucinda Shen
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