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Finance

These Health Care Stocks Are Up After Donald Trump’s Victory

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November 15, 2016, 12:22 PM ET
A trader works beneath a monitor displaying Aetna signage on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
Photograph by Michael Nagle—Bloomberg via Getty Images

Health care stocks, including insurers, have jumped since Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election last week and some hedge fund managers may see further gains in after making new bets in the sector in the third quarter.

Billionaire investor Daniel Loeb’s Third Point portfolio invested in insurer Humana during the third quarter, according to the latest 13F hedge fund filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Loeb’s hedge fund bought 1.4 million shares of Humana.

John Paulson’s Paulson & Co., whose investments have been followed closely ever since his successful bet against the housing market, also took a new position in Humana, buying 79,500 shares. Pointstate Capital put on a new position as well, buying 991,622 shares.

 

At Glenview Capital Management, where Humana was already the biggest investment, the firm raised its holdings by 9.0%. Diamond Hill Capital, Samlyn Capital, P. Schoenfeld Asset Management, and Clovis Capital Management also made new bets on the insurer, although they were far smaller, according to regulatory filings that show what U.S. stocks investment managers owned on Sept. 30.

Over the last six weeks, Humana has been one of the sector’s best performers, boasting a 12.16% gain since Sept. 30. Since January, the stock has gained 11%, handily outperforming the S&P 500’s 6% gain.

Some insurers including UnitedHealth Group and Anthem had said they are losing money on the health care exchanges created by President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act.

With Donald Trump vowing to overturn the law, UnitedHealth and Anthem have also posted strong gains since the end of the third quarter. Anthem has climbed 10.5% in the last six weeks with UnitedHealth gaining 9% and Aetna posting a 7.5% rise.

Glenview Capital boosted its Anthem bet by 41% while Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management and Cornerstone Advisors also each raised their stakes. Vulcan Value Partners and Two Sigma Investments increased their bets on UnitedHealth.

Most investment managers released their 13-F filings on Monday and while the information is backward looking, it is watched closely by investors for hints of upcoming trends. The filings also reveal which managers made moves, identifying by name the investors who may have been behind big gyrations.

Not all investors stuck with the health insurers, however, with a good number trimming their investments in the run-up to the U.S. election on Nov. 8. With most polls calling for Hillary Clinton to win the White House, some investors were concerned she could impose greater regulation on drug companies and curb their price hikes.

Hedge fund Adage trimmed its bet on Humana but held onto 1.1 million shares. Arrowgrass Capital Partners cut its bet by nearly half but still owned 1.9 million shares. And Farallon Capital Management, founded by Tom Steyer, cut its position by 45% to 382,000 shares.

Similarly, shares of Valeant Pharmaceuticals, which drew Clinton’s ire during the campaign for enormous price hikes, continue to drop in the last weeks amid fears about its debt load. Mutual fund powerhouse Fidelity Investments cut its Valeant stake by more than half.

But with Trump heading to the White House in January, a number of investors said health care stocks, which had been undervalued, could now be poised for robust gains.

Since the end of September, biotech company Celgene, whose blockbuster cancer drug Revlimid helped boost earnings, has gained 15.4%, making it the sector’s top performer.

Two Sigma boosted its investment by 200% to own 177 million shares.

Carl Icahn, the activist investor, sold most of his shares in Allergan just a few months after Pfizer walked away from a plan to merge with the company. Even in the second quarter, a number of investors had trimmed their holdings in Allergan. Viking Global Investors, one of those that trimmed in the second quarter, now exited in the third quarter, selling 1.9 million shares.

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