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Recession

Pete Hegseth speaks behind a podium as Donald Trump watches behind him.
EconomyMark Zandi warns recession odds are creeping toward 50%, and the Iran war could launch us into economic turmoil by midyear
By Sasha RogelbergMarch 25, 2026
Larry Fink, chief executive officer of BlackRock Inc., during BlackRock's 2026 Infrastructure Summit in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, March 11, 2026.
EconomyLarry Fink says the Iran war ends in one of two extremes: Abundance, growth, and oil at $40 a barrel—or global recession and years of oil at $150
By Eleanor PringleMarch 25, 2026
broker
EconomyGoldman raises recession odds to 30% on higher inflation, lower GDP outlook as oil prices surge
By Nick LichtenbergMarch 25, 2026
Customer Jann Gregg of Schenectady pumps gas at the GasWay Xpress Mart at 1120 Erie Blvd. pump gas on Wednesday, Dec. 3, 2025, in Schenectady, N.Y.
EconomyEconomists are ‘loath’ to call a recession, but the odds just hit 49% for the next 12 months according to Moody’s top economist
By Eleanor PringleMarch 18, 2026
engineer
EconomyGoldman just raised recession odds to 25%. Here’s what Trump’s war economy is doing to jobs
By Nick LichtenbergMarch 12, 2026
Stressed Gen Z pharmacy worker
SuccessGen Z graduates who majored in ‘AI-proof’ careers like pharmacy, biology, and education are making less than $50,000 after graduation
By Emma BurleighMarch 6, 2026
An older man wears an American flag around his shoulders
EconomyYour grandparents are the reason the U.S. isn’t in a recession right now. That won’t last forever
By Eleanor PringleMarch 1, 2026
electrician
Economy‘If I was 18 now, there is no way I would go to university only to leave with huge debts and poor job prospects,’ says analyst. He’d be an electrician
By Nick LichtenbergFebruary 26, 2026
Stressed and sad worker in office
SuccessNearly half of companies are turning to poor ‘peanut butter’ raises—following the same pattern of the 2008 recession, an expert says. And it could take years to recover
By Emma BurleighFebruary 24, 2026
ghost
AI‘Ghost GDP,’ a white-collar recession, and the death of friction: Substack’s top finance writer warns of the 2028 AI crisis nobody sees coming
By Nick LichtenbergFebruary 23, 2026
broker
CommentaryWe studied 70 countries’ economic data for the last 60 years and something big about market crashes changed 25 years ago
By Josh Ederington, Jenny Minier and The ConversationFebruary 8, 2026
Photo of a boss meeting with workers
SuccessIn 2026, many employers are ditching merit-based pay bumps in favor of ‘peanut butter raises’
By Emma BurleighFebruary 2, 2026
law
LawLaw school admissions expert sees ‘dangerous one-two punch’ as Gen Z seeks shelter from the AI hiring storm in 6-figure debt and law-degree lifeboat
By Jake AngeloJanuary 26, 2026
Young teacher in classroom
SuccessJust like during Great Recession-era job struggle, Gen Z graduates are pouring into education as Teach For America reports a 43% surge in new teachers
By Emma BurleighJanuary 12, 2026
shoplift
EconomyGen Z is rebelling against the economy with ‘disillusionomics,’ tackling near 6-figure debt by turning life into a giant list of income streams
By Jacqueline MunisJanuary 10, 2026
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Magazine
The youngest-ever female CEO of a Fortune 500 company is fighting Trump's cuts to keep Medicaid strongAn image of a popular article
By Fortune EditorsMarch 24, 2026
Commentary
The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed itAn image of a popular article
By Fortune EditorsMarch 23, 2026
Success
Palantir’s billionaire CEO says only two kinds of people will succeed in the AI era: trade workers — ‘or you’re neurodivergent’An image of a popular article
By Fortune EditorsMarch 24, 2026
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