Shawn Tully

Shawn Tully

Shawn Tully is a senior editor-at-large at Fortune.

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U.S. President Donald Trump waves while walking on the South Lawn of the White House before boarding Marine One in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Friday, Oct. 30, 2020.

To win, Trump needs 11 million more votes than he got in 2016

Trump's narrowing path to victory runs through these two states, according to betting sites

Trump’s narrowing path to victory runs through two states

TOPSHOT – (COMBO) This combination of pictures created on September 29, 2020 shows US President Donald Trump (L) and Democratic Presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio on September 29, 2020.

This data scientist’s model shows Biden is still a 3-to-1 favorite to win—but he’s fading in the home stretch

Pennsylvania seniors election

Who will decide the election? It may come down to Pennsylvania seniors

LITITZ, PA – OCTOBER 26: A man wearing a patriotic suit and Donald Trump themed tie joins supporters queueing before President Donald Trump holds a rally on October 26, 2020 in Lititz, Pennsylvania. With 8 days to go before the election, Trump is holding 3 rallies across Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state.

When COVID cases rise, Trump’s odds of winning the election drop

TOPSHOT – US President Donald Trump takes off his facemask as he arrives at the White House upon his return from Walter Reed Medical Center, where he underwent treatment for Covid-19, in Washington, DC, on October 5, 2020. (Photo by NICHOLAS KAMM / AFP)

Trump’s odds of winning rise or fall based on one overriding force

UKRAINE – 2020/10/23: In this photo illustration the US President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential candidate and former US Vice President Joe Biden are seen during the final presidential debate displayed on a screen of a smartphone. The final presidential debate between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden took place at Belmont University in Nashville, the U.S. on Thursday, October 22. United States presidential election scheduled for November 3, 2020. (Photo Illustration by Pavlo Conchar/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

The debate gave Trump a bump in a crucial swing state, betting data suggests

Joe Biden, 2020 Democratic presidential nominee, speaks during the first U.S. presidential debate hosted by Case Western Reserve University and the Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio, U.S., on Tuesday, Sept. 29, 2020. Trump and Biden kick off their first debate with contentious topics like the Supreme Court and the coronavirus pandemic suddenly joined by yet another potentially explosive question — whether the president ducked paying his taxes.<br />
(Photographer: Kevin Dietsch/UPI/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Joe Biden’s tax plan could take a bite out of some small businesses

(Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)

Can Trump close the gap and win in November? Here’s what data from betting sites suggests

TOPSHOT – US President Donald Trump holds a Make America Great Again rally as he campaigns at John Murtha Johnstown-Cambria County Airport in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, October 13, 2020. (Photo by SAUL LOEB / AFP)

How Trump could repeat his 2016 upset in Pennsylvania

KDP’s trucks deliver merchandise directly to store shelves—so the company can see firsthand what is selling.

Keurig is a machine: How the beverage giant is leveraging A.I. to fuel growth

Brian Moynihan, chief executive officer of Bank of America, at the World Economic Forum in January 2020.

Bank of America just ended a weak quarter—but there were 3 little-noticed bright spots

American Flag-Stock Market

Stocks in ‘election-sensitive’ sectors seem oblivious to which candidate wins. Why?

BTS-IPO Big Hit Entertainment-K-Pop

By this measure, K-pop megastars BTS struck the wrong note with their IPO

Jamie Dimon, pictured here in 2019, ran the numbers for investors on Tuesday.

How JPMorgan Chase is proceeding with extreme caution—and still making plenty of money