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Economynational debt

President Trump just missed a key legal deadline for his spending plans—stoking economists’ fears over the $38.5 trillion national debt

Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
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Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
February 3, 2026, 7:01 AM ET
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters and members of the media at Mar-a-Lago on February 1, 2026 in Palm Beach, Florida.
President Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago, Feb. 1, 2026, in Palm Beach.Al Drago—Getty Images
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If there’s one thing budget committees like, it’s foresight on government spending. However, the second Trump administration has yet to share its plans for expenditure in the coming fiscal year: With deficits notching higher, economists are urging the White House to take a more transparent approach.

By law, the White House should have submitted its budget proposal for fiscal year 2027 (starting in October) yesterday. The Budget and Accounting Act of 1921 requires budgets to be submitted on the first Monday in February, though delays are accepted in transitional years between administrations, and 2026 is not one of them.

The delayed filing is adding to concerns about how seriously the White House is taking America’s fiscal situation: Uncle Sam has borrowed more than $38.5 trillion, and the government ran a deficit of $1.78 trillion for fiscal year 2025, which ended in September. President Trump isn’t alone in missing the deadline: No president has submitted a budget on time since 2015.

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Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), is concerned that, despite President Trump being in office for more than a year, no fiscal plan or priorities have been shared. She said in a statement: “If you don’t budget, you can’t govern … When the president does release his budget, it should include an actionable plan for getting our nation’s finances on sustainable footing.”

MacGuineas urged the White House to share a fiscal target, such as reducing deficits to at least 3% of GDP, and specific tax and spending policies which directly address how to get debt on a sustainable path.

The bipartisan committee chief added: “With debt approaching record levels and deficits projected to average over 6% of GDP per year, significant reforms will be needed. We won’t be able to fix the debt without touching Social Security, Medicare, defense, or revenue—the math just doesn’t work. And we can’t count on heroic growth rates or crashing interest rates.

“Most forecasters expect long-term economic growth of less than 2% per year; a budget that assumes 3% sustained annual growth over the next decade is not a serious budget.”

The White House has exhibited a more optimistic outlook on growth, at least in the short term. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, for example, told reporters at Davos last month that he’s expecting GDP to exceed 5% in the early part of 2026, maybe even 6% if rates were lowered.

Trump and his team had made some noises reassuring nervous economists that federal budgets would be addressed in his second term, namely, how tariffs would bring in billions in revenue directed at addressing debt concerns. Other unusual fundraising initiatives included “gold card” visas, which were billed to wealthy individuals at $5 million for fast-track entry into the U.S.

Since then, President Trump has suggested that tariff revenues will be shared with voters in the form of $2,000 rebate checks (emptying the coffers generated by tariffs, and more), and further details about gold cards have yet to be made clear.

MacGuineas urged the White House to deliver, adding: “The president’s budget offers an opportunity to start turning things around. We need the president to lead.”

Political appeal

It seems voters are also becoming increasingly concerned about America’s spending habits and would like to see deficits addressed: According to a study from the Peter G. Peterson Foundation (a think tank working for a more responsible federal spending environment) released last week, 81% of voters believe lawmakers should spend more time addressing the debt, with 77% agreeing that reducing the debt should be a top-three priority.

Of course, asking voters (the Peterson Foundation surveyed more than 1,000 people) whether they are concerned by debt levels produces something of a foregone conclusion: In a perfect world, many would choose debt levels to be lower—whether or not voters would support the economic measures needed to improve deficits is another matter.

Despite the fact that potential cost-cutting initiatives to rebalance the books may prove unpopular, it seems politicians are also supportive of targets to reduce deficit levels. Last month, Representatives Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.) and Scott Peters (D-Calif.), cochairs of the Bipartisan Fiscal Forum (BFF), introduced a congressional resolution on how government “should reduce and maintain the federal unified budget deficit at or below 3% of GDP.”

“Congress should adopt a fiscal target to reduce the federal budget deficit … as soon as possible and no later than the end of fiscal year 2030,” the resolution reads. “Following the achievement of the target, Congress should continue to pursue further deficit reduction with the goal of achieving a balanced federal budget.”

Subscribe to Fortune Gulf Brief. Every Tuesday, this new newsletter delivers clear-eyed, authoritative intelligence on the deals, decisions, policies, and power shifts shaping one of the world’s most consequential regions, written for the people who need to act on it. Sign up here.
About the Author
Eleanor Pringle
By Eleanor PringleSenior Reporter, Economics and Markets
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Eleanor Pringle is an award-winning senior reporter at Fortune covering news, the economy, and personal finance. Eleanor previously worked as a business correspondent and news editor in regional news in the U.K. She completed her journalism training with the Press Association after earning a degree from the University of East Anglia.

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