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Inflation

Consumer prices see their biggest decline in six years

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January 16, 2015, 8:53 AM ET
Oil Boom Shifts The Landscape Of Rural North Dakota
WATFORD CITY, ND - JULY 28: Scott Berreth, a derrick hand for Raven Drilling, works on an oil rig drilling into the Bakken shale formation on July 28, 2013 outside Watford City, North Dakota. North Dakota has been experiencing an oil boom in recent years, due in part to new drilling techniques including hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling. In April 2013, The United States Geological Survey released a new study estimating the Bakken formation and surrounding oil fields could yield up to 7.4 billion barrels of oil, doubling their estimate of 2008, which was stated at 3.65 billion barrels of oil. Workers for Raven Drilling work twelve hour days fourteen days straight, staying at a camp nearby, followed by fourteen days. (Photo by Andrew Burton/Getty Images)Photograph by Andrew Burton — Getty Images
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U.S. consumer prices recorded their biggest decline in six years in December and underlying inflation pressures were benign, which could bolster the case for delaying the first interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve.

The Labor Department said on Friday its Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% last month, the largest drop since December 2008, after sliding 0.3% in November. In the 12 months through December, CPI increased 0.8%.

It was the weakest year-on-year reading since October 2009, and followed a 1.3% rise in November. Last month’s readings were in line with expectations.

While Fed officials have viewed the energy-driven inflation weakness as transitory, a strong dollar is taming underlying price pressures, which could cause some discomfort.

Darkening prospects for the global economy could also complicate matters for the U.S. central bank.

Inflation is running below the Fed’s 2% target, despite a strengthening labor market and overall economy.

Many economists expect the central bank will raise interest rates by June, but the chances for a second-half hike have risen after December’s surprise declines in retail sales and average hourly earnings.

The so-called core CPI, which strips out food and energy, was unchanged in December. It was only the second time since 2010 that it did not increase. The core CPI had nudged up 0.1% in November.

In the 12 months through December, the core CPI rose 1.6%, the smallest gain since February, after increasing 1.7% in November.

Slower global demand and increased shale production in the U.S. have caused an oil glut, sending crude prices tumbling.

Brent crude prices approached a six-year low this week, a sign that overall inflation pressures will remain subdued in the months ahead.

Gasoline prices tumbled 9.4%, the biggest drop since December 2008, after declining 6.6% in November. Gasoline has now declined for six straight months. Energy prices recorded their biggest decline since 2008.

Food prices rose 0.3% after rising 0.2% the prior month. Within the core CPI, shelter costs increased 0.2% last month after rising 0.3% in November.

There were declines in the prices for apparel, transportation and used cars and trucks.

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