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Predictions

Tarek Mansour
Success
Kalshi’s 30-year-old CEO says most business advice is ‘trash’—he doesn’t read management books or listen to podcasts: ‘I’m gonna make it up as I go’
By Preston ForeAugust 11, 2026
A Kalshi advertisement on a Metro train in Washington, DC, US.
Economy
Kalshi cracks down on insider trading as Trump family looks to increase prediction market presence
By Joshua HongAugust 9, 2026
Fans Watch Super Bowl LX In California beneath tv screens with betting ads
Economy
Gambling becomes America’s favorite pastime as Americans spend more on sports bets than movies, arts, museums, and music combined
By Catherina GioinoJuly 26, 2026
LeBron James wearing Miami Heat jersey.
Arts & Entertainment
The Miami Heat, LeBron James, and prediction markets: How a ‘mistake’ social media post turbocharged a $245 million wager
By Catherina Gioino and Joshua HongJuly 23, 2026
Americans will eat 150 million hot dogs today. One specific American is predicted to eat 70 of them
North America
Americans will eat 150 million hot dogs today. One specific American is predicted to eat 70 of them
By Catherina GioinoJuly 4, 2026
Ned Koh turns in his chair, smiling.
AI
A 21-year-old cofounder’s sales pitch to clients begs them to question the company’s results: ‘Do not trust us. Do not trust our model’
By Eva RoytburgJune 17, 2026
An Osasuna player passes the ball while under pressure from Getafe rival.
Crypto
Controversy swirls over Spanish soccer club accused of using novel $600,000 Kalshi wager to bet on its relegation
By Camila Grigera NaónJune 12, 2026
Polymarket cuts ties with former Rep. George Santos as feds investigate if he illegally bet against his own actions on Kalshi
Politics
Polymarket cuts ties with former Rep. George Santos as feds investigate if he illegally bet against his own actions on Kalshi
By The Associated Press and Jake OffenhartzJune 3, 2026
Betting on the Kentucky Derby is more popular than ever. So why is it so confusing?
Law
Betting on the Kentucky Derby is more popular than ever. So why is it so confusing?
By Catherina GioinoMay 2, 2026
Moreno gestures with his hand
Politics
A ‘no-brainer’: Senate unanimously bans members and staff from using prediction markets
By Mary Clare Jalonick and The Associated PressApril 30, 2026
POLAND - 2026/03/16: In this photo illustration, the Polymarket logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market percentages in the background. (Photo Illustration by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Investing
Kalshi and Polymarket are racing to ban insider trading. The economist who built the theory behind prediction markets says it’s the whole point
By Eva RoytburgApril 26, 2026
‘I’m still here 12 hours a day’: Luana Lopes Lara on building Kalshi as the world’s youngest female self-made billionaire
Newsletters
‘I’m still here 12 hours a day’: Luana Lopes Lara on building Kalshi as the world’s youngest female self-made billionaire
By Emma HinchliffeApril 10, 2026
Shayne Coplan sits.
Investing
New top federal enforcer has his sights set on ending insider trading in prediction markets
By Jacqueline MunisApril 1, 2026
Bobby Witt Jr. throws a baseball. He is standing in front of a FanDuel sign on a baseball field.
Banking
Credit card delinquencies among millennials and Gen Z have soared because of sports betting—even in states where it’s illegal, new Fed study finds
By Sasha RogelbergMarch 31, 2026
Sports-focused prediction market Novig raises $75 million to challenge Kalshi and Polymarket
Banking
Sports-focused prediction market Novig raises $75 million to challenge Kalshi and Polymarket
By Leo SchwartzFebruary 18, 2026
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Success
After donating $8 billion, Steve and Connie Ballmer create three regional philanthropies so people closest to the work can decide how the money is spentplaceholder alt text
By Sydney LakeAugust 11, 2026
Economy
U.S. Treasury is paying $3 billion a day in interest on national debt, says the CBO—having spent $10 billion to prop up the currency of its top lenderplaceholder alt text
By Eleanor PringleAugust 11, 2026
North America
Google cofounder Sergey Brin has now spent $100 million to fight California’s proposed billionaire tax—he could owe $13 billion if he losesplaceholder alt text
By Sasha RogelbergAugust 11, 2026
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