Real Estate

    This housing data is the ‘most critical economic variable’ for predicting recessions, and it’s now at the lowest level since pandemic shutdowns

    This housing data is the ‘most critical economic variable’ for predicting recessions, and it’s now at the lowest level since pandemic shutdowns

    Moody’s own leading economic indicator that uses machine learning has estimated the odds of a recession in the next 12 months are now at 48%.

    By
    September 14, 2025

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