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As tariffs pummel stock prices, venture investors anxiously wait for the impact on consumer spending

Leo Schwartz
By
Leo Schwartz
Leo Schwartz
Senior Writer
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Leo Schwartz
By
Leo Schwartz
Leo Schwartz
Senior Writer
Down Arrow Button Icon
April 7, 2025, 7:25 AM ET
President Donald Trump holds up a copy of a 2025 National Trade Estimate Report
President Donald Trump holds up a copy of a 2025 National Trade Estimate Report as he speaks during a “Make America Wealthy Again” trade announcement event in the Rose Garden at the White House on April 2, 2025.Chip Somodevilla—Getty Images

Around the time that President Donald Trump proudly displayed his master list of tariffs in the White House Rose Garden on Wednesday, a group of founders and investors gathered at the Public Hotel in Manhattan for a summit hosted by Red Sea Ventures on consumer tech. 

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While many venture firms and operators have abandoned the sector for the higher-margin fields of B2B software and ChatGPT wrappers, New York remains a hub for consumer tech, though the direct-to-consumer goods boom of the 2010s has inevitably given way to AI-enabled apps. Consumer goods as a category haven’t completely vanished—just look at Pepsi’s recent $1.95 billion acquisition of the prebiotic soda brand Poppi—and I was curious whether tariffs would have a more outsized and immediate impact on the sector. 

When I’ve asked VCs over the past few months whether the political instability of the Trump administration—from regulatory shifts to tariff threats—is impacting their investing strategy, I’ve typically gotten the same answers: We stay out of politics, or, we think in long-term (think 10-year) time horizons, or, Trump’s bluster is mostly a negotiating tactic and will blow over. 

At the summit, I moderated a panel with a heavy-hitter line-up of consumer investors, including Red Sea Ventures, FirstMark, General Catalyst, and Left Lane Capital. The question, given the blaring red stock tickers responding to Trump’s announcement, seemed even more dire. Still, the panelists all continued to echo the similar rhetoric, while acknowledging that import costs could impact some of their physical good-focused portfolio companies. 

I was surprised by the muted response. Gathered in the room were companies producing everything from baby formula to pet food to eyeglasses. For startups operating with tight margins and limited runways, any shift in prices can be calamitous. 

After the panel, Polina Veksler, the founder and CEO of the inclusive clothing startup Universal Standard, came up to me. She said that her business was getting hammered by the slapdash tariff announcements. In a follow-up email, Veksler told me that she’s spent years finding global manufacturing partners. “The announcement of the new U.S. tariffs now jeopardizes this vital network, our business, and, most importantly, our communities,” she wrote, adding that she’ll have to decide whether to eat the costs or pass them on to customers, potentially costing the company millions of dollars. 

On Friday, I caught up with Scott Birnbaum, the founder and managing partner of Red Sea Ventures, who told me his firm has still been grappling with the fallout. While he’s invested in physical goods brands—including Sweetgreen, whose founder recently joined as an investing partner—he said that only a small group of his portfolio companies, like Universal Standard, will be impacted by tariffs directly. Still, he said, that doesn’t include the second-order effects, such as whether specific customer bases will have less money to spend. “We’re focused on product offerings that get to core necessities of life,” he told me, pointing to startups like Range, a wealth management platform. 

Even if the ever-optimistic VC class proves right, and the tariff tempest proves to be a passing blip, it has still spoiled the banner year of public offerings and acquisitions that investors dreamed of. Two consumer startup bellwethers, Klarna and StubHub, have reportedly delayed their long-anticipated IPOs. 

Filing scoop…One sector that seems to be doing ok? You guessed it: crypto. As the stock market tanked last week, Bitcoin remained relatively stable, though it dropped over the weekend. My colleague Ben Weiss and I dug through recent Securities and Exchange Commission filings to look at the performance of top crypto venture firms, including Polychain, Multicoin, Paradigm, and Haun Ventures. The data is from 2024, so it doesn’t reflect the volatility of the past few months, but it still shows substantial growth in the assets under management for the VCs. You can read it here.

Leo Schwartz
X:
@leomschwartz
Email:leo.schwartz@fortune.com

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VENTURE DEALS

- Redpanda, a San Francisco-based streaming data platform for agentic and operational applications, raised $100 million in Series D funding at a $1 billion valuation. GV led the round and was joined by Lightspeed Venture Partners.

- Hydrolix, a Portland, Ore.-based data lake platform, raised $80 million in Series C funding. QED Investors led the round and was joined by Blumberg Capital, Frontline Ventures, Pruven Capital, Sozo Ventures, existing investors Akamai, AV8 Ventures, Ericsson Ventures, and others.

- Ethic, a New York City-based asset management platform, raised $64 million in Series D funding from State Street Global Advisors.

- Turbine Finance, a Santa Monica-based liquidity provider for venture investors, raised $21.8 million in funding. Alpha Edison and TTV Capital led the $13 million Series A round and were joined by Fin Capital, B Capital, and Sozo Ventures. Alpha Edison and TTV Capital led the $8.8 million seed round and were joined by Fin Capital,B Capital, and Sozo Ventures.

- Sourgum, a Jersey City-based waste and recycling services technology developer, raised $12.5 million in Series A funding. Spark Capital led the round and was joined by Suffolk Technologies, Founder Collective, 186 Ventures, and others.

- SigIQ.ai, a Berkeley-based AI-powered tutor developer, raised $9.5 million in seed funding. House Fund and GSV Ventures led the round and were joined by Duolingo, General Catalyst India, Peak XV Partners, Calibrate Ventures, and angel investors.

-Series, a New York City-based AI-powered social network for college students, raised $3 million in pre-seed funding. Parable led the round and was joined by Pear VC, DGB.VC, 47th Street, angel investors, and others.

- YRIKKA, a New York City-based AI red teaming platform, raised $1.5 million in pre-seed funding from Focal and Garuda Ventures.

PRIVATE EQUITY

- Digicomm International, a portfolio company of Crestview Partners, acquired EasyStreet Systems, a Spokane, Wash.-based smart pole technology company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

- Wilsonart Engineered Surfaces, backed by Clayton, Dubilier & Rice, acquired the woodworking products distribution business of Virginia Tile, a Livonia, Mich.-based ile and surface solutions distributor and division of Artivo Surfaces, which is backed by Transom Capital Group. Financial terms were not disclosed.

OTHER

- Delaware North and LionTree acquired minority stakes inSEREGH, a New York City-based sports and entertainment venues real estate development platform. Financial terms were not disclosed.

- Model ML acquired Flippr, a New York City-based AI-powered presentation review platform. Financial terms were not disclosed.

FUNDS + FUNDS OF FUNDS

- D Capital, a Tokyo-based private equity firm, raised 67 billion yen ($445 million) for its second series of funds focused on digitalization.

PEOPLE

- Red Dot Capital Partners, a Tel Aviv-based venture capital firm, promoted Omri Greenberg to principal.

This is the web version of Term Sheet, a daily newsletter on the biggest deals and dealmakers in venture capital and private equity. Sign up for free.
About the Author
Leo Schwartz
By Leo SchwartzSenior Writer
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Leo Schwartz is a senior writer at Fortune covering fintech, crypto, venture capital, and financial regulation.

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