• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Surging Treasury yields expose a brutal truth: America has no margin for error on its $39 trillion debt

2

U.S. says deals with Iran for safe Hormuz transit are prohibited

3

After a judge ordered Trump's name be removed from the Kennedy Center, president says it will 'soon be closed, probably never to open again'

1

Surging Treasury yields expose a brutal truth: America has no margin for error on its $39 trillion debt

2

U.S. says deals with Iran for safe Hormuz transit are prohibited

3

After a judge ordered Trump's name be removed from the Kennedy Center, president says it will 'soon be closed, probably never to open again'
FinanceGlobal Economy

Investors are ‘no longer apocalyptically bearish’, but BofA warns recession expectations have hit an all-time high

By
Chloe Taylor
Chloe Taylor
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Chloe Taylor
Chloe Taylor
Down Arrow Button Icon
August 16, 2022, 10:37 AM ET
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Aug. 5, 2022. Pessimism is still lingering on Wall Street, according to a Bank of America survey.
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Aug. 5, 2022. Pessimism is still lingering on Wall Street, according to a Bank of America survey.Angela Weiss—AFP/Getty Images

Investors are “no longer apocalyptically bearish”—but pessimism is still lingering on Wall Street, according to Bank of America.

The bank’s latest Global Fund Manager Survey, which polled 284 individuals who collectively manage assets worth $836 billion, found that while sentiment had improved enough to increase investors’ risk appetite, recession expectations had surged to an all-time high.

BofA said hopes had risen among investors that inflation and interest rate shocks would end in the coming quarters, with growth expectations rising “from dire July lows.”

However, despite investors being more optimistic on these fronts, BofA’s Bull & Bear Indicator—an analysis of overall investor sentiment—remained at the “max bearish” level.

Recession concerns persisted, with the number of investors expecting a global recession within a year rising to the highest level since the survey began in 1995, according to the results.

A quarter of investors said a global recession was the biggest tail risk, making it the second-biggest concern for fund managers after inflation, which 40% of respondents named the biggest risk to their portfolio.

While inflation staying high was widely considered a risk, 88% of fund managers said they expected lower inflation within the next 12 months.

U.S. inflation finally showed signs of cooling in July, after surging to a four-decade high in June.

Investors monitoring the inflation picture are hoping that lower inflation readings will take some pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue its aggressive rate hike cycle.

However, while a huge majority of fund managers told BofA they were expecting inflation readings to continue normalizing, 90% of investors said they were expecting a stagflation scenario.

Pivoting back to stocks

BofA’s survey was carried out between Aug. 5 and Aug. 11.

Strategists at the bank noted that the findings showed there had been a “big August rotation” toward U.S. stocks, as well as equities in the technology and consumer discretionary sectors.

Meanwhile, investors had retreated from consumer staples, utilities, and U.K. stocks, and defensive cash holdings had dropped slightly since July.

The bank said that notably, investors were saying for the first time in two years that they expected growth stocks to outperform value stocks.

BofA’s findings mirror patterns seen among wealthy investors who are members of Tiger 21, a network for ultrahigh-net-worth entrepreneurs, investors, and executives.

Last week, the exclusive club’s founder told CNBC that its members were pouring their money back into stocks—even though the majority of them believed a recession was looming.

Sign up for the Fortune Features email list so you don’t miss our biggest features, exclusive interviews, and investigations.
About the Author
By Chloe Taylor
LinkedIn iconTwitter icon
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

Elon Musk surrounded by Money symbols
InvestingFinance
If Elon Musk merges SpaceX with Tesla he’ll create a $3.4 trillion behemoth—with zero profits
By Shawn TullyMay 31, 2026
1 hour ago
Oil bosses warn prices will soar in a matter of weeks as inventories near unprecedented lows — ‘I mean really, really low levels’
EnergyOil
Oil bosses warn prices will soar in a matter of weeks as inventories near unprecedented lows — ‘I mean really, really low levels’
By Jason MaMay 30, 2026
9 hours ago
U.S. military fires missile into engine room of blockade runner after it ignored more than 20 warnings while trying to enter an Iranian port
PoliticsIran
U.S. military fires missile into engine room of blockade runner after it ignored more than 20 warnings while trying to enter an Iranian port
By Konstantin Toropin and The Associated PressMay 30, 2026
12 hours ago
Damn the torpedoes — More ships are quietly slipping through the Strait of Hormuz as helicopters scare off Iran’s fast-attack boats
EnergyIran
Damn the torpedoes — More ships are quietly slipping through the Strait of Hormuz as helicopters scare off Iran’s fast-attack boats
By Jason MaMay 30, 2026
15 hours ago
Warren Buffett’s son Peter didn’t know his dad was a billionaire until his 20s—he found out from a rich list
SuccessWarren Buffett
Warren Buffett’s son Peter didn’t know his dad was a billionaire until his 20s—he found out from a rich list
By Sydney LakeMay 30, 2026
16 hours ago
Americans hurt in Kuwait as Trump sends mixed signals on war
PoliticsIran
Americans hurt in Kuwait as Trump sends mixed signals on war
By Kate Sullivan, Michelle Jamrisko, Gerry Doyle and BloombergMay 30, 2026
17 hours ago

Most Popular

Surging Treasury yields expose a brutal truth: America has no margin for error on its $39 trillion debt
Economy
Surging Treasury yields expose a brutal truth: America has no margin for error on its $39 trillion debt
By Shawn TullyMay 30, 2026
1 day ago
U.S. says deals with Iran for safe Hormuz transit are prohibited
Politics
U.S. says deals with Iran for safe Hormuz transit are prohibited
By Jack Wittels and BloombergMay 30, 2026
18 hours ago
After a judge ordered Trump's name be removed from the Kennedy Center, president says it will 'soon be closed, probably never to open again'
Law
After a judge ordered Trump's name be removed from the Kennedy Center, president says it will 'soon be closed, probably never to open again'
By Collin Binkley and The Associated PressMay 30, 2026
11 hours ago
Gen Z is rejecting $200 dates and choosing 'solo-maxxing'—and dating apps are taking a hit
Economy
Gen Z is rejecting $200 dates and choosing 'solo-maxxing'—and dating apps are taking a hit
By Sydney LakeMay 30, 2026
22 hours ago
Current price of oil as of May 29, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of May 29, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 29, 2026
2 days ago
After Blue Origin rocket explosion, NASA's entire moon exploration program depends on SpaceX for now as Musk eyes blockbuster IPO soon
Innovation
After Blue Origin rocket explosion, NASA's entire moon exploration program depends on SpaceX for now as Musk eyes blockbuster IPO soon
By Jason MaMay 30, 2026
13 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.