Is America about to our blow our best—and perhaps last—chance for paid leave?

Leaving out leave. Will the U.S. ever escape its humiliating distinction as the only rich nation in the world that fails to guarantee its citizens paid family leave?

Yesterday, it looked as if that moment might actually be at hand, as the Democrats’ domestic policy bill seemed to be inching through the final stages to approval. Then, late in the day, the news began to trickle out that the paid leave provision may be sacrificed in an attempt to win over West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin, a Democrat, who has publicly wrung his hands over the nation’s ability to fund it. (Manchin also torpedoed his party’s plan for a “billionaire tax,” one of its strategies for how to cover the cost of such programs.)

As of this morning, the fate of the leave provision is still uncertain. New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, who has been the measure’s lead proponent in the Senate, says she and other supporters will continue to fight, but its prospects are dim.

If this modest leave proposal (the latest is down to four weeks from President Biden’s initial proposal of 12) can’t make it through a Democratic Congress, it’s hard to imagine we’ll see it happen in the foreseeable future. The vast majority of Americans support some form of paid family leave. If we can’t pass such a proposal now, after the pandemic cast the essential role of working caregivers into such sharp relief, is there anything that could convince lawmakers that paid leave isn’t just a social policy—it’s also an economic imperative?

The New York Times recently pointed out that four weeks would hardly be impressive, but as Stanford economist Maya Rossin-Slater told the paper, “Any leave is better than zero leave.” The research is clear—allowing parents to recover after childbirth and spend time with their new baby leads to better health outcomes for all involved. One stat that Gillibrand has been sharing with colleagues: women with access to paid family leave are 40% more likely to rejoin the work force after having a baby. Right now, the people who get to realize those benefits are the ones with high-paying jobs that provide leave (or who live in one of the nine U.S. states that guarantee it). The Americans who miss out are those who would most benefit, low-wage workers—who are also less likely to have good insurance or the means to afford unpaid leave or hire the childcare support they need to get back to their jobs.

As Lelaine Bigelow, VP for social impact and congressional relations at the National Partnership for Women & Families, put it in a statement released last night: “We are deeply concerned about reports that paid leave has been removed from the Build Back Better package. Paid leave is one of the most popular components of the package and leaving it out is a missed opportunity to advance a transformational care agenda that addresses the full range of challenges that women, especially low-income women and women of color, are facing.”

To see this opportunity slip through our fingers would be a tragedy for us all.

Kristen Bellstrom
kristen.bellstrom@fortune.com
@kayelbee

The Broadsheet, Fortune’s newsletter for and about the world’s most powerful women, is coauthored by Kristen Bellstrom, Emma Hinchliffe, and Claire Zillman. Today’s edition was curated by Claire Zillman.

ALSO IN THE HEADLINES

- Leave debate. Speaking of paid leave, Joe Lonsdale, a founder of Palantir and mega venture capitalist, tweeted yesterday that any prominent man who takes six months of paternity leave is "a loser." Other VC firm founders like Alexis Ohanian and Garry Tan defended new fathers taking time off. Fortune 

- Milestone moment. Rent the Runway shares started trading on the Nasdaq on Wednesday after the Jennifer Hyman-run company raised $357 million in its IPO. Hyman told Fortune's Maria Aspan in a new interview that she hopes the debut is "a step forward for all women-led companies." Fortune 

- In the running. Letitia James, New York's attorney general, is expected to announce a run for governor as soon as Thursday. James, whose investigation into sexual harassment claims against Andrew Cuomo led to his resignation, would likely face Cuomo's successor, Kathy Hochul, in a Democratic primary next year. If elected, James could be the U.S.'s first Black woman governor. New York Times

MOVERS AND SHAKERS: Instacart added Meredith Kopit Levien, CEO of The New York Times Company, and Lily Sarafan, co-Founder and executive chair of home care assistance, to its board. Benefits platform Elevate named Erika Davison-Aviles as SVP of product, Robin Thrasher as VP of implementation, and Ana Manalo as senior director of sales enablement.

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

- Target of trolls. In 2019, Meghan, Duchess of Sussex, said she was the "most trolled person" in the world. Now, a new report by Twitter analytics provider Bot Sentinel says she and Prince Harry were the target of a coordinated, human-generated hate campaign on the platform. Washington Post 

- Scared away. Blackstone founder Stephen Schwarzman admitted this week that women used to be "scared" of working at the private equity firm. The company tried to address the problem by inviting female college students to visit the firm and experience its culture as a means of recruitment. Women now make up half of Blackstone's hires, up from 10% in 2015. Bloomberg

- Back to work. Of women who left the workforce in the pandemic, two-thirds plan to return, according to a new MetLife report. But they don't want to go back to the pre-COVID status quo. More than three-fourths want more flexibility at their current or future employer. CNBC

ON MY RADAR

Trials begin on vaccine to prevent an aggressive breast cancer The 19th*

She was central in banning Trump on Twitter—and now faces facing thorny issues in democracies abroad CNN

Stacey Abrams group donates more than $1 million to erase medical debts of people in five states NBC

A patriarchal tradition that just won’t budge The Atlantic

PARTING WORDS

“The criticism women candidates hear most often is definitely, ‘How come she doesn’t do as she’s told?’”

- Maiko Takahashi, a 33-year-old former journalist and mother, who's running for a seat in Japan's male-dominated Parliament.