• Home
  • News
  • Fortune 500
  • Tech
  • Finance
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia
Personal Technology

Could wearables become bigger than tablets?

By
Peter Suciu
Peter Suciu
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Peter Suciu
Peter Suciu
Down Arrow Button Icon
April 1, 2014, 9:00 AM ET

The market forecast for mobile gadgets worn on your wrist, hip, or head is stellar, and tech’s biggest players are preparing for the rush.

FORTUNE — Mobile gadgets won’t just be tucked into your purse or your pocket. Soon, they’ll increasingly be on your wrist, as part of your glasses and even in your clothing. While still in its infancy, wearable technology is poised to take off. The market for the wearables business is expected to exceed $1.5 billion in 2014, double its value last year, according to a report from Juniper Research.

Unlike other parts of the consumer electronics market, the wearables category is made up of many small segments, with wearable fitness bands currently leading the way in consumer adoption. But the wearable band market is growing fast, according to a forecast by Canalys, and more than 17 million wearable fitness bands will be sold this year. That figure is estimated to reach 23 million by 2015 and more than 45 million by 2017.

Fitness and health remains the leading application for wearable technology.

“It is still dominant because [fitness and health] is what we are most concerned with,” said Julie Sylvester, producer of the Sports & Fitness Tech Summit at the annual International Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. “People are much more likely to incorporate trackers and heart rate monitors into their daily routine and accessories.”

MORE: What if Apple’s so-called iWatch isn’t a watch at all?

The more fashionable — or conversely, the more “invisible” — trackers and monitors will expand beyond the early adopters, Sylvester said, to the general consumer “who is not adopting the newest trend or is interested from a professional level, but is actually interested in monitoring their health and fitness from a preventive state of mind or if there is a specific health concern.”

The market for the power behind all these devices will also see a significant boost. Worldwide revenue for wearable electronics batteries will reach $77 million by 2018, according to IHS Technology, up from just $6 million this year.

The market in its infancy has been dominated by numerous startups, including Pebble, Fitbit, and Jawbone. But a number of tech giants — including Apple (AAPL), Samsung, and Google (GOOG) — are just now entering the space. And Intel’s (INTC) acquisition of smartwatch maker Basis Science last week — for a reported $100 million — demonstrates continued interest in the wearables market.

Though Google Glass — the “smart” glasses that place a postage-size screen in the line of sight of the wearer — is still limited in its availability, a recent deal with Luxottica stands to change that. Google has also introduced Android Wear, a version of its popular mobile operating system that can be licensed by a number of hardware partners, including Google’s soon-to-be former subsidiary Motorola and partner LG but also Samsung, Asus, Broadcom, Fossil, HTC, Intel, Mediatek, MIPS, and Qualcomm (QCOM).

MORE: Pebble sold 400,000 smartwatches last year, on track to double revenues in 2014

“The catalyst this year for wearables could be Android Wear, which is optimized for smartwatches,” said Michael Wolf, chief analyst at NextMarket Insights. “The big question now is: What is Apple going to do?”

That part of the equation remains unanswered, though Apple retains a U.S. patent for “Wrist Pedometer Step Detection,” suggesting that the Cupertino, Calif.-based company is looking to create something — devotees are calling it the iWatch — along the lines of Nike’s FuelBand or the Fitbit.

It remains to be seen whether wearables will significantly cannibalize existing product categories, Wolf said.

“For now the leading category will likely be smartwatches, but as Google Glass suggests, it could become much broader and in time even be in the clothing we wear,” Wolf said. “Most of the companies developing smartwatches see this as a product that accompanies a smartphone as opposed to any sort of replacement. Certainly the big players view this as a device used with a smartphone, but there could be some cannibalization of other devices. The basic fitness bands will be hit hard, because any time you have a limited product it could be overtaken by the more general products.”

Smaller, niche players must grow or face challenging market forces, said Shane Walker, associate director for Digital Health Research at IHS.

“In sports and fitness there has been a lot of competition,” Walker said. “There could still be growth in the activity and heart rate monitors, but the ‘me too’ type of devices will find it hard to stick around.”

MORE: Meet the designer behind the Fitbit

But for the market to really grow, it will need a breakthrough, “must-have” product, said Rob Enderle, principal analyst for the Enderle Group.

“Right now wearable [product] volumes are around where MP3 players were pre-iPod, and the success surrounds products like the FitBit and Nike offerings focused on exercise,” Enderle said. “It is a decent market but well short of potential. With the right product, this market could grow to rival or even replace the smartphone market, but the right product hasn’t emerged yet and Steve Jobs isn’t around to repeat the iPod cycle. So, for now, it is limited to exercise and health care, the potential is there for more — but we need an iPod-, iPhone-, iPad-like effort to achieve that potential.”

Is that kind of push in the cards? If the business opportunity is to be believed, it’s entirely possible, Wolf said.

“Wearables has the potential from units sold as a category to be bigger than tablets,” Wolf said. “It is a much more expansive category. ‘Wearables’ could be VR headsets. It could be a watch. It could be something on your hip or technology in your clothing. The hurdles to get in on this market are low, so there is going to be serious expansion of the category over the next decade. Yes, that overall pie is going to get a lot bigger.”

About the Author
By Peter Suciu
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in

CryptoBinance
Binance has been proudly nomadic for years. A new announcement suggests it’s finally chosen a headquarters
By Ben WeissDecember 7, 2025
4 hours ago
Big TechStreaming
Trump warns Netflix-Warner deal may pose antitrust ‘problem’
By Hadriana Lowenkron, Se Young Lee and BloombergDecember 7, 2025
7 hours ago
Big TechOpenAI
OpenAI goes from stock market savior to burden as AI risks mount
By Ryan Vlastelica and BloombergDecember 7, 2025
8 hours ago
InvestingStock
What bubble? Asset managers in risk-on mode stick with stocks
By Julien Ponthus, Natalia Kniazhevich, Abhishek Vishnoi and BloombergDecember 7, 2025
8 hours ago
EconomyTariffs and trade
Macron warns EU may hit China with tariffs over trade surplus
By James Regan and BloombergDecember 7, 2025
8 hours ago
EconomyTariffs and trade
U.S. trade chief says China has complied with terms of trade deals
By Hadriana Lowenkron and BloombergDecember 7, 2025
8 hours ago

Most Popular

placeholder alt text
Real Estate
The 'Great Housing Reset' is coming: Income growth will outpace home-price growth in 2026, Redfin forecasts
By Nino PaoliDecember 6, 2025
2 days ago
placeholder alt text
AI
Nvidia CEO says data centers take about 3 years to construct in the U.S., while in China 'they can build a hospital in a weekend'
By Nino PaoliDecember 6, 2025
2 days ago
placeholder alt text
Economy
The most likely solution to the U.S. debt crisis is severe austerity triggered by a fiscal calamity, former White House economic adviser says
By Jason MaDecember 6, 2025
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Economy
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon says Europe has a 'real problem’
By Katherine Chiglinsky and BloombergDecember 6, 2025
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Big Tech
Mark Zuckerberg rebranded Facebook for the metaverse. Four years and $70 billion in losses later, he’s moving on
By Eva RoytburgDecember 5, 2025
3 days ago
placeholder alt text
Politics
Supreme Court to reconsider a 90-year-old unanimous ruling that limits presidential power on removing heads of independent agencies
By Mark Sherman and The Associated PressDecember 7, 2025
16 hours ago
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • Future 50
  • World’s Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
Sections
  • Finance
  • Leadership
  • Success
  • Tech
  • Asia
  • Europe
  • Environment
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Health
  • Retail
  • Lifestyle
  • Politics
  • Newsletters
  • Magazine
  • Features
  • Commentary
  • Mpw
  • CEO Initiative
  • Conferences
  • Personal Finance
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
About Us
  • About Us
  • Editorial Calendar
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Diversity And Inclusion
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map

© 2025 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.