• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Mark Cuban says he has the solution to growing income inequality, and it's to reward every employee—from CEO to janitor—with company stock

2

‘I want to die broke’: Billionaire philanthropist Denny Sanford dies after giving away $4 billion

3

'Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini says we're headed for universal basic income or 'some form of socialism' as AI revolutionizes work—He calls that optimistic

1

Mark Cuban says he has the solution to growing income inequality, and it's to reward every employee—from CEO to janitor—with company stock

2

‘I want to die broke’: Billionaire philanthropist Denny Sanford dies after giving away $4 billion

3

'Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini says we're headed for universal basic income or 'some form of socialism' as AI revolutionizes work—He calls that optimistic

Pimco’s Gross betting against U.S. debt

By
Colin Barr
Colin Barr
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Colin Barr
Colin Barr
Down Arrow Button Icon
April 10, 2011, 11:51 PM ET
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Bill Gross is putting his investors’ money where his sizable mouth is.

Gross, who manages the world’s biggest bond fund and has spent recent months jawboning about the dangers of U.S. debt, has placed a $7 billion bet against Treasury bonds, according to the latest statistics released by his Pimco Total Return fund.



At the breaking point?

Gross made a splash last month by selling all the big bond fund’s Treasury holdings and calling the federal budget a Greek tragedy in the making. Now he has gone one better, leaving the $236 billion fund with a short position in U.S government debt for the first time since February 2009 – and putting a third of the fund’s assets in cash.

The last time Gross was short Treasuries, he was also short cash, in a timely bet that the U.S. economy and financial markets would rebound from their meltdown lows. This time, however, he appears to be expecting something altogether different.

His fund is holding a staggering $73 billion of cash, in an apparent bet that the market recovery is on borrowed time. Gross’ wager against Treasury debt was first reported on ZeroHedge.

The bet comes at a time when the government is struggling, to put it mildly, to get its budgetary act together. Congress and the White House agreed Friday to $38 billion in spending cuts, narrowly averting a government shutdown. But the agreement hardly won much of a reprieve: all eyes will now turn to the fight over raising the debt ceiling that the United States is expected to hit next month.

Gross hasn’t been optimistic that our political class will avert a crisis. His Greek tragedy commentary reasons that unfunded U.S. entitlement spending amounts to five times gross domestic product – a bigger debt burden than the one in bailed-out Greece. When you consider the government came within two hours of a shutdown Friday when the sides were just a few billion apart, it is easy to be pessimistic.

Massive federal spending and full-throated political posturing is certainly a toxic combination, and the news that Gross is wagering U.S. rates will go higher won’t ease the pressure on the Treasury market. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond has risen to a recent 3.59% from a 2011 low of 3.22% on March 16.

Treasury securities aren’t the only bonds Gross is betting against. Gross cut the Total Return Fund’s holdings of mortgage securities to 28% of assets from 34% — putting him on the other side of a bet that many investors, including the guys who run AIG (AIG),  are making for a further recovery in that asset class.

And as Gross has made clear, it isn’t just the bond market that he expects to take a hit in coming months as the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing winds down. It is not very hard to find people who expect to see the stock market take its lumps too.

All the same, it is clear that it wouldn’t take much of a dip in Treasury prices to bring Pimco back to the lot to start kicking the tires again. In spite of his posturing about bond market turkey shoots and the like, Gross told Bloomberg last month he believes U.S. economic growth dictates that the 10-year Treasury should trade “with a 4% type of yield.” That was before everyone started downgrading their U.S. growth forecasts, mind you.

In any case, a half-point increase in Treasury rates hardly sounds like the sort of disaster Gross has been invoking. If Treasuries do sell off in coming weeks, don’t be shocked if Pimco’s next report shows it nibbling again at this tepid buffet.

Also on Fortune.com:

  • Gross calls U.S. budget a Greek tragedy
  • Gross wants Treasury yields north of 4%
  • Gross calls for bond market turkey shoot

Follow me on Twitter @ColinCBarr.

About the Author
By Colin Barr
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in

Current ARM mortgage rates report for July 21, 2026
Personal FinanceReal Estate
Current ARM mortgage rates report for July 21, 2026
By Glen Luke FlanaganJuly 21, 2026
40 minutes ago
Current refi mortgage rates report for July 21, 2026
Personal Financemortgage rates
Current refi mortgage rates report for July 21, 2026
By Glen Luke FlanaganJuly 21, 2026
40 minutes ago
Mortgage rates today, July 21, 2026
Personal Financemortgages
Mortgage rates today, July 21, 2026
By Glen Luke FlanaganJuly 21, 2026
40 minutes ago
$5 billion tech CEO says unemployed Gen Z should be out 3 days a week building their network: ‘Sometimes those jobs you want, they’re never published’
SuccessCareers
$5 billion tech CEO says unemployed Gen Z should be out 3 days a week building their network: ‘Sometimes those jobs you want, they’re never published’
By Orianna Rosa RoyleJuly 21, 2026
41 minutes ago
FIFA’s $15 billion World Cup payday shows commercialization is the real tournament champion
North AmericaWorld Cup
FIFA’s $15 billion World Cup payday shows commercialization is the real tournament champion
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezJuly 21, 2026
41 minutes ago
A Jersey Mike's logo is displayed outside one of their stores in San Diego, California.
InvestingIPOs
Jersey Mike’s IPO valuation could reach eight times Sweetgreen’s market cap
By Sheryl EstradaJuly 21, 2026
41 minutes ago

Most Popular

Mark Cuban says he has the solution to growing income inequality, and it's to reward every employee—from CEO to janitor—with company stock
Success
Mark Cuban says he has the solution to growing income inequality, and it's to reward every employee—from CEO to janitor—with company stock
By Sasha RogelbergJuly 20, 2026
14 hours ago
‘I want to die broke’: Billionaire philanthropist Denny Sanford dies after giving away $4 billion
Success
‘I want to die broke’: Billionaire philanthropist Denny Sanford dies after giving away $4 billion
By Sydney LakeJuly 20, 2026
18 hours ago
'Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini says we're headed for universal basic income or 'some form of socialism' as AI revolutionizes work—He calls that optimistic
AI
'Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini says we're headed for universal basic income or 'some form of socialism' as AI revolutionizes work—He calls that optimistic
By Jason MaJuly 18, 2026
2 days ago
Warren Buffett says his $147 billion investing career was an accident: ‘I may be one of the 10 luckiest in the world’
Future of Work
Warren Buffett says his $147 billion investing career was an accident: ‘I may be one of the 10 luckiest in the world’
By Sarah GlodekJuly 20, 2026
1 day ago
Current price of silver as of Monday, July 20, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of silver as of Monday, July 20, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJuly 20, 2026
22 hours ago
It’s not just Taco Bell lettuce and possible glass in Pillsbury rolls: Food and drink recall events reached a 6-year year-over-year high
Retail
It’s not just Taco Bell lettuce and possible glass in Pillsbury rolls: Food and drink recall events reached a 6-year year-over-year high
By Sasha RogelbergJuly 20, 2026
22 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.