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Fortune 500

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Employees say:"The company's strong commitment to building not just homes, but thriving communities, is unique. There's a deep sense of purpose in knowing that our work has a lasting impact on families and neighborhoods. The culture here supports innovation, collaboration, and continuous learning, especially in cross-functional roles like mine, where land development, HOA management, and resident experience intersect. Leaders truly empower employees to lead with integrity and heart, which makes it both fulfilling and inspiring to be part of the team."

Best Large Workplaces in Construction

Almost $20 trillion in revenue—and a record-breaking $1.87 trillion in profits. Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500, the definitive list of the biggest companies in America.

Industries included in the sector are construction and engineering services and homebuilders.

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F500-2021-452-Taylor Morrison Home

Taylor Morrison builds mid-to-upscale, first-time, and mid-market homes in 10 U.S. states. It makes its Fortune 500 debut this year.

For an astounding 13th straight year, Apple claims the top spot in Fortune’s annual ranking of corporate reputation, based on a survey of almost 3,800 executives, directors, and analysts.

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This year's Fortune 500 marks the 65th running of the list.

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Wal-Mart stayed on top as its sales crept closer to half-a-trillion dollars. Apple moved into the top five. And UnitedHealth Group continued its steady climb. 

Best Workplaces In Construction

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Founded in 1936, Taylor Morrison Home Corporation is a land developer and homebuilder that designs, builds, and sells single-family and multifamily detached and attached homes. It also develops various types of planned communities. Under the Urban Form brand name, it develops and constructs multiuse properties that include commercial space, as well as multifamily properties. Under the Yardly brand, it operates a build-to-rent homebuilding business. Other brands it holds include Darling Homes Collection by Taylor Morrison and Esplanade.

Q1 2026

Q4 2025

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q1 2025

Q4 2024

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings

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Taylor Morrison Home

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Good morning and welcome to Taylor Morrison's fourth quarter 2025 earnings webcast. Currently, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will be given at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce Mackenzie Aron, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Thank you and good morning. We appreciate you joining us today. Before we begin, let me remind you that this call, including the question-and-answer session, will include forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to the Safe Harbor Statement for forward-looking information that you can review in our earnings release on the Investor Relations portion of our website at taylormorrison.com. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to those factors identified in the release and in our filings with the SEC, and we do not undertake any obligation to update our forward-looking statements. In addition, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures on the call, which are reconciled to GAAP figures in the release where applicable.

Now I will turn the call over to our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Sheryl Palmer.

Thank you, Mackenzie, and good morning, everyone. Joining me is Curt VanHyfte, our Chief Financial Officer, and Erik Heuser, our Chief Corporate Operations Officer. I am pleased to share the results of our fourth quarter performance and look forward to sharing an update on our strategic priorities for 2026. Our fourth quarter results met or exceeded our expectations across nearly all key operational metrics despite challenging market conditions. These results concluded a solid year of performance in 2025, during which we delivered nearly 13,000 homes at an adjusted home closings gross margin of 23% and generated 40 basis points of SG&A expense leverage on essentially flat home closings revenue. Coupled with $381 million of share repurchases, these results drove a 13% return on equity and 14% growth in our book value per share.

With the majority of homebuilders having already reported year-end results, it's clear that Taylor Morrison's 2025 performance stands apart. Among our peers, we delivered one of the highest home closings gross margin in the industry, were the only two to achieve YoY SG&A leverage, and modestly increased our closings volume while the industry was generally flat to down, which together drove more resilient bottom-line earnings and returns. In a year characterized by softer consumer confidence and heightened pricing competition and inventory levels, we believe that these results reflect the effectiveness of our diversified operating model and broad consumer reach across our national footprint of well-located communities. Given the market's persistent affordability constraints, which are felt most heavily among first-time homebuyers, our portfolio's unique concentration on move-up and resort lifestyle customers has helped us to navigate the market's headwinds.

We pride ourselves on developing thoughtfully designed communities, often with amenities in prime locations, and offering a balanced mix of spec and to-be-built home offerings that meet the needs and aspirations of our customers. I believe this is perhaps Taylor Morrison's greatest competitive advantage: the desire to deeply understand our consumers, respond to their feedback, and deliver a home-buying experience that is second to none. It is this unrelenting focus on our customers that has recently earned us the reputation as America's Most Trusted Builder for the 11th consecutive year and a Fortune's Most Admired Companies list. I believe these strengths, our diversification, attractive product offerings, and consumer-centric philosophy, will be even more critical to our success as we move forward.

While there are reasons for optimism, industry-wide inventory levels remain elevated, and consumers remain highly attuned to competitive dynamics in the marketplace and are closely weighing incentives, pricing, and spec offerings in their purchase decisions. While affordability has improved over the last year alongside lower interest rates, wage growth, and price discovery, I believe consumer confidence in the broader economic and political outlook will be critical for further demand recovery. That said, I'm cautiously encouraged by the sales success we achieved in the fourth quarter of 2025 and by the early momentum thus far in 2026. Our fourth quarter monthly absorptions outperform typical seasonal patterns, as our pace held steady from the third quarter, defying the average mid-single-digit sequential decline we have historically experienced.

This is notable considering that we carefully managed pace and price community by community and, in some cases, chose to be more patient as peers pushed through inventory into year-end and held incentives on new orders stable sequentially. This momentum continued into January, even with the winter storm disruptions, and early signs are positive as the spring selling season generally kicks off in full force this week. The fourth quarter strength was driven primarily by our premier Esplanade resort lifestyle communities, which experienced 7% YoY net order growth. This was followed by a low single-digit decline in move-up sales, while non-Esplanade resort lifestyle and entry-level orders were down in the mid to high single digits. On a mix basis, our orders by buyer group stayed relatively consistent QoQ at 31% entry level, 49% move-up, and 20% resort lifestyle.

From a market perspective, sales were strongest in our east and west areas, with most of our Florida markets, California, and Phoenix increasing YoY, while our central region was slower due to softness across Texas, particularly in Austin. As we look ahead, I expect 2026 to be another solid year for our organization, albeit one focused on setting the stage for a reacceleration of growth in 2027 and beyond. I'd like to walk through the moving pieces that are influencing our outlook for this year, while Curt will provide the specifics of our guidance in just a moment. Given slower sales of to-be-built homes in 2025, we entered this year with a lower-than-normal backlog of just over 2,800 homes. As a result, this year's home closing deliveries and margins will be more dependent on sales during the spring selling season than is typical for our business.

Positively, we expect to accelerate the number of new community openings in 2026 from 2025, with well over 100 new outlets planned, including over 20 new Esplanade outlets, which are already supported by deep interest lists. The majority of these outlets will open for sales in the first half of the year and begin contributing closings in the second half and into 2027. In addition, the improvement in construction cycle times over the last two years has greatly enhanced our production flexibility, with homes now able to start well into the third quarter and still close by year-end in many of our markets. Based on targeted consumer groups in the move-up and resort lifestyle segments where personalization is valued, we expect new community openings to help shift our sales mix back to a more balanced mix of spec and to-be-built orders.

We are already seeing signs of this shift back to more historic preferences, with to-be-built sales in January gaining 700 basis points of share versus the fourth quarter when we sold a record number of intra-quarter spec closings. Given the meaningfully higher average gross margin on to-be-built homes, we believe this mix shift will be an important driver of our long-term margin potential. However, in the near term, while we have reduced our spec home inventory by 24% since the second quarter of 2025, we still ended the year with nearly 3,000 unsold homes, including just over 1,200 finished homes. We are focused on continuing to responsibly sell through this inventory while being highly selective in putting new specs into production. This inventory management is expected to temporarily impact our gross margins in the first half of the year.

Looking further out, we continue to target outsized growth over the next many years, including a continued aspiration to reach 20,000 closings, but we will not do so simply for growth's sake. Our capital allocation and strategic priorities are firmly rooted in generating attractive returns on our invested capital throughout housing cycles, with competitive pricing pressures unlikely to meaningfully abate in the foreseeable future and housing fundamentals continuing to evolve. We are taking proactive steps to ensure our portfolio remains well-positioned to perform regardless of the market backdrop. For one, we are limiting incremental land investment in non-core submarkets that primarily cater to the most price-sensitive buyers. While these locations make up only a small portion of our overall portfolio, greater pricing pressure and a reliance on spec inventory in these areas have compressed margin opportunities versus comparable core markets.

Over time, this shift will allow us to concentrate our efforts on serving more discerning entry-level demand where our offerings are more strategically aligned. As Erik will discuss, we believe we are best able to meet the need for affordable single-family housing through our differentiated build-to-rent platform, Yardly, with a model that is both financially sustainable and supported by compelling demand tailwinds. We also expect to reinforce our focus on the first and second move-up segments, which have long represented the core of our company's expertise and customer base. These buyers value the choice, community development, and prime locations that distinguish our offerings and often invest in lot and option selections that help sustain above-average margin and returns. In 2025, these combined lot and option premiums represented nearly 19% of our base price.

In addition, demographics in the move-up segment are highly supportive of future growth with outsized net population gains projected among 40- to 55-year-olds over the next decade, behind only those age 70-plus. At the other end of the consumer spectrum, we will also continue to invest in the differentiated strength of our resort lifestyle brand, Esplanade. Unlike traditional active adult offerings, Esplanade communities deliver a lifestyle-first experience complete with luxury amenities and concierge-level services that extends well beyond the home itself. This unique value proposition drives superior home prices and gross margins that consistently exceed the balance of our business. With a strong pipeline of Esplanade communities coming soon and opportunities for brand expansion in many of our markets, we expect this segment's contribution to our bottom line to grow meaningfully in the years ahead. And finally, we are doubling down on innovation across the organization.

From the sales floor to purchasing, land due diligence, financial services, and back-office functions, we have made significant strides in deploying our proprietary digital sales tools to reduce friction during the customer journey and AI-enabled processes to enhance efficiency and manage costs. For example, we have developed a proprietary AI-powered platform that today houses digital tools and AI agents spanning purchasing, sales, customer service, financial services, and employee resources. On the sales floor, our Customer 360 agent gives field leaders a comprehensive, real-time view of our customer's journey from contract through warranty. In purchasing, AI-powered tools allow our teams to analyze purchase orders and query procurement data using natural language while also enabling our purchasing standardization initiatives. We will continue to scale these technologies to better serve our customers, streamline our operations, and strengthen our competitive position. With that, let me now turn the call over to Erik.

Thanks, Sheryl, and good morning, everyone. At year-end, we owned or controlled 78,835 home-building lots, of which 54% were controlled off balance sheet. This compares to 86,153 lots at the end of 2024, of which 57% were controlled. The decline in our controlled ratio, which we expect to be temporary, reflects the impact of normal course takedowns in a few of our larger assets that were being seller-financed, as well as recent walkaways from controlled lot deals as we have reevaluated our pipeline against current market conditions. Over the long term, we continue to target a controlled ratio of at least 65% as we seek to optimize our capital efficiency and manage portfolio risk. Based on trailing 12-month home closings, we owned 2.8 years of lots out of a total of 6.1 years of controlled supply at year-end.

This was similar to 2.8 years owned and 6.6 years controlled at the end of 2024. The majority of our lots remain in prime locations within core submarkets where we see the strongest long-term fundamentals. While we selectively invested in tertiary locations as work-from-home expanded, we have since shifted that limited portion of investment allocations back to core markets. Notably, 85% of our 2025 investment approvals were deemed to be in core locations based on consumer desirability. Our recent consumer research reinforces this focus. Most of our buyers view their chosen community as core, and they consistently tell us that the overall community design is as or more important than the home itself. Furthermore, 80% of our buyers say that wellness is important to their purchase decision, and even a higher percentage in our Esplanade communities where hundreds of residents hold wellness club memberships.

As a result, we believe our emphasis on prime locations, thoughtful community development, and amenity offerings position us well, particularly as national new home supply remains elevated, especially at the entry level. In 2025, home-building land investment was approximately $2.2 billion, down slightly from $2.4 billion in 2024. This was below our prior full-year target of approximately $2.3 billion, reflecting our cautiousness in approving new land deals and additional phases in the current market environment. With a healthy land pipeline already controlled, we expect to invest around $2 billion in 2026, with a renewed emphasis on opportunities in move-up and resort lifestyle positions, consistent with the strategic priorities discussed by Sheryl. Before wrapping up, I'd like to now spend a moment discussing our build-to-rent business, Yardly.

Yardly develops rental communities akin to horizontal apartments that blend a single-family living experience, complete with private backyards and amenities, with the affordability and flexibility of renting. Developed exclusively as rental homes, these communities provide a desirable and affordable solution for consumers looking for an alternative to traditional multifamily rental options. Unlike traditional single-family rentals of scattered home sites, our Yardly communities are zoned and mapped as single-tax parcels and transact like multifamily assets. As a result, and given what we have come to understand to date, we do not anticipate any impact from the administration's recent executive order aimed at the single-family rental market. In the fourth quarter, we sold one Yardly community for approximately $55 million.

At year-end, we had a total of 46 Yardly projects owned and controlled, representing approximately 10,400 home sites across nine markets in Arizona, Texas, Florida, and the Carolinas, representing one of the industry's largest build-to-rent pipelines. Approximately 17 of these projects will be in profitable leasing operations this year, seven of which are expected to reach targeted stabilization levels over the next 12 months. Once stabilized, we evaluate individual or packaged disposition strategies dependent on market dynamics and purchaser and equity sentiment. Supported by our $3 billion land bank with Kennedy Lewis, we believe that we are well-positioned to continue to efficiently and prudently scale this unique rental offering in the years ahead, as less than 10% of Yardly's total units are fully on our balance sheet. Now, I will turn the call to Curt.

Thanks, Erik, and good morning, everyone. I will review the details of our fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial performance. For the fourth quarter, reported net income was $174 million or $1.76 per diluted share, while our adjusted net income was $188 million or $1.91 per diluted share, after excluding the impact of pre-acquisition abandonment charges and the loss on the extinguishment of debt related primarily to the redemption of our 2027 senior notes. For the full year, reported net income was $783 million or $7.77 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $830 million or $8.24 per diluted share. In addition to the fourth quarter adjustments noted previously, full-year earnings were also adjusted for real estate impairments, additional pre-acquisition abandonments, and warranty charges incurred earlier in the year. Now to sales. Net orders in the fourth quarter totaled 2,499 homes, which was down 5% YoY.

This decline was driven by moderation in our monthly absorption pace to 2.4 homes per community from 2.6 a year ago, partially offset by a 1% increase in our ending community count to 341 outlets. This was supported in part by improved cancellation trends, as a percentage of gross orders, cancellations were 12.5%, down from 15.4% in the prior quarter and 13.1% a year ago. As Sheryl noted, we have well over 100 communities expected to open this year, including over 20 new outlets in Esplanade communities. These openings are expected to drive high single-digit outlet growth to 365-370 outlets by year-end. For the first quarter, we expect to end with around 360 communities. Turning to closings, we delivered 3,285 homes in the fourth quarter at an average price of $596,000, generating home closings revenue of approximately $2 billion.

Compared to our guidance, closings volume was at the high end of our expected range, and the average price was slightly ahead of expectations. For the full year, we delivered 12,997 homes at an average price of $597,000, producing approximately $7.8 billion of home closings revenue. Cycle time improvements continue to be a major driver of efficiency. During the quarter, we achieved about one week of sequential improvement, leaving us more than five weeks faster YoY and over nine weeks faster than two years ago. These improvements enhance our ability to flex production and manage inventory, allowing us to start homes later for year-end closing dates. In the fourth quarter, we started 2.1 homes per community, equating to 2,136 total starts. We ended the quarter with 5,682 homes under construction, including 2,956 specs, of which 1,232 were finished.

Our total spec count was down 11% sequentially as our teams continued making progress in right-sizing our inventory positions by community, with these focused sales efforts expected to continue through the first half of 2026. Based on our backlog, sales expectations, and cycle times, we currently expect to deliver around 11,000 homes this year, including around 2,200 homes in the first quarter. We expect the average closing price to be approximately $580,000 in the first quarter and between $580,000-$590,000 for the full year. Turning to margins, our home closings gross margin was 21.8%, slightly above our prior guidance of approximately 21.5%. This compares to 22.1% in the third quarter of 2025 and 24.8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting higher incentive levels and a greater mix of lower-margin spec home closings.

During the quarter, spec homes accounted for 72% of sales and 66% of closings, up from 61% and 54%, respectively, in the fourth quarter of 2024. For the full year, our home closings gross margin was 22.5% on a reported basis and 23% adjusted for inventory impairments and warranty charges. This compares to a reported margin of 24.4% and an adjusted margin of 24.5% for the full year 2024. In the first quarter, we expect our home closings gross margin, exclusive of any inventory-related charges, to be approximately 20%, reflecting a higher share of spec homes as we prioritize the sale of existing inventory. Beyond the first quarter, we expect gross margins to improve gradually throughout the year, driven primarily by an increase in the share of to-be-built home deliveries and a modest reduction in incentives as the year progresses.

However, the ultimate level of incentives will be highly dependent on consumer demand during the spring selling season and interest rates. We expect construction costs to be relatively stable, while lot costs are expected to be up in the mid-single-digit range. As we gain greater visibility into the spring selling season, we will look to provide greater detail on our full-year margin expectations. We also maintain strong overhead discipline. Our SG&A ratio was 9.9% of home closings revenue in the fourth quarter and 9.5% for the full year, a 40 basis point improvement compared to 2024. This expense leverage was driven primarily by lower payroll-related costs, while ongoing strategic consolidation efforts and efficiencies created by our digital tools further improved our cost management. For 2026, we expect our SG&A ratio to be in the mid-10% range.

During the quarter, we incurred net interest expense of approximately $12 million, up from approximately $6 million a year ago due to an increase in land banking activity. In 2026, we expect net interest expense to increase modestly YoY. Financial services posted another strong quarter with revenue of approximately $49 million. The team achieved an 88% capture rate, supported by competitive mortgage offerings and strategic alignment with our home-building operations. Among buyers using our mortgage company, qualification metrics remained strong in the quarter, with an average credit score of 750, down payment of 21%, and household income above $183,000. In addition to the strong average credit profile, our customers' backlog were secured by average deposits of approximately $44,000 at quarter-end. Now, onto our balance sheet. We ended the quarter with strong liquidity of approximately $1.8 billion.

This included $850 million of unrestricted cash and $928 million of available capacity on our revolving credit facility. At quarter-end, our net home-building debt-to-capitalization ratio was 17.8%, down from 20% a year ago. During the quarter, we repurchased 1.2 million shares of our common stock outstanding for $71 million. For the full year, we repurchased a total of 6.5 million shares, representing approximately 6% of our beginning diluted share count for approximately $381 million. As seen in this morning's earnings release, our board of directors approved an increase and extension of our share repurchase authorization to $1 billion. This program expires on December 31, 2027, and replaces our prior authorization. We remain committed to disciplined and returns-driven capital allocation strategies, including the return of excess capital to our shareholders after investing in profitable growth opportunities and prudently managing our liabilities.

In 2026, we expect to repurchase approximately $400 million of our common stock. Inclusive of this repurchase target, we expect our diluted shares outstanding to average approximately 95 million in the full year, including approximately 98 million in the first quarter. Now, I will turn the call back over to Sheryl.

Thank you, Curt. To wrap up, I'd like to share a few closing thoughts on recent news headlines regarding the administration's focus on addressing the need for greater housing affordability and accessibility. As I shared last quarter, we have been encouraged by constructive dialogue with the administration and progress being made in Congress to advance housing legislation, and are prepared to participate in meaningful policy solutions. As you heard this morning, our focus on delivering the right product to our customers, whether that be homebuyers or renters, is this organization's guiding mission. We believe we have the platform to greatly scale our business as market opportunities present themselves, and we will maintain our longstanding discipline around capital allocation and investment strategies to create long-term value for our customers, communities, and shareholders.

Before I close, I want to express my sincere gratitude to our entire team for delivering a strong finish to 2025 and for the effort and dedication I know you will demonstrate as we move through 2026. Together, we will continue to push our company forward and achieve even greater success as we refocus and recommit to all that makes Taylor Morrison so unique. Thank you to everyone who joined us today, and let's now open the call to your questions. Operator, please provide our participants with instructions.

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. Pick up your handset when asking a question. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by now while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Matthew Bouley with Barclays. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Hey. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking the questions. Wanted to start around sort of the long-term view around the mix of the business, the buyer segments, and geographies. Some interesting commentary there around where you'll be leaning in and out of land investments in the future and sort of the favorable demographics for the move-up population going forward. So I guess the question is, number one, where do you see the entry-level mix going over time? And number two, just kind of anything around the specific geographies or submarkets to kind of help us understand where do you think you have the right scale, where you want to continue to lean into, versus sort of where do you want to de-emphasize? Thank you.

Thanks so much, Matt. Appreciate the question. As far as the ultimate mix of entry-level to the business, we've generally been running something like a third, a third, and a third. And I would expect that you'll see the first-time buyer come down a bit. But once again, it's not necessarily about departing from the first-time buyer business. It's refocusing the business geographically where we don't buy land in what I would call those more fringe or tertiary locations that attract a very different entry-level buyer. And as we see movements in the markets, I think we've proven, we've seen over the years, and we thought maybe it could be a little bit different during COVID that those more tertiary locations might provide a different experience coming out of COVID. But the honest truth is it's just not the case.

That the further out you get, when markets slow down a bit, we see those come to a very different stop. And the level of incentives required to get those first-time buyers into a house, it's tough. So it's not necessarily about, once again, leaving you've heard us over the years talk about the professional first-time buyer, Matt, where that's generally a dual income. I mean, more than 50% of our business today is millennials, and we're seeing more than half, if I'm not mistaken, Erik, of those millennials already buying their second house. So it's really a subset of the first time. As far as geographic penetrations, I think we've talked over the last few quarters that we've pulled back some investment in California a bit, recognizing some of the underwriting constraints that we've seen there. So I think you'll see that geographic shift mix.

But beyond that, I would think you'll continue to see us invest across our markets. When I look at the business, Florida continues to be where we continue to be very bullish on it, and it continues to be the home of our Esplanade brand. So I think you'll see continued penetrations: Florida, Texas, slight difference in California, Phoenix very steady for us, Colorado. So I don't think you'll see huge shifts in the geography.

Okay. No, that's perfect. Thank you for that color, Sheryl, really detailed. Second one, spec versus to-be-built mix. I think I heard you say 72% spec sales in Q4 and that you've sort of mixed somewhat back towards to-be-built year to date, if I heard you correctly. So is the intention to get back to 50/50, and can that happen in 2026, or sort of what's the timeline and intention around that mix? Thank you.

Yeah. It's a great question. Hard for me to be 100% certain in where that mix lands. What I'm excited about is we are seeing the consumer show up differently, Matt. I mean, last year, it's not like we ever changed our strategy and we wanted to sell less to-be-builts. But what we definitely saw is the consumer our industry trained them. And the honest truth is that the incentives were stronger with an inventory home. And the closer that home got to completion, the stronger the incentives. And the buyer really began to appreciate the impact of that. What we've seen since the first of the year is they're showing up with more of a desire to buy what they want, where they want it, how they want it. They want to appoint the house in a way. Lot premiums have become quite important again.

So, yeah, we've seen 700 basis points in January over the average of to-be-built in the fourth quarter. We have seen that continue in February. So I'm very encouraged about that. I'm not sure we were ever 50/50. We were probably 60/40-ish, Curt. It's kind of moved on the margin by percentage points. 50/50 would be ideal. Maybe over time, Matt, as we continue to evolve the portfolio further away from the more attainable buyer, we might see that. I would be pleased but surprised if we saw a 50/50 mix in 2026. You agree?

No, I agree. And I think, Matt, over the course of the year, we're going to work our way through that. That's something that's not going to happen overnight, just kind of where we've made great progress with our spec inventory. I think, as Sheryl.

Yeah. But we still have a little bit higher number of finished inventory than maybe we would like. So we'll continue to work our way through that and balance that with bringing in some of these to-be-built sales, especially on some of the new outlets that we'll be opening over the course of the year.

New Esplanades. Yep, I hope that helps, Matt.

Your next question comes from the line of Alan Ratner with Zelman. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for all the detail so far. I appreciate it. First question, similarly on the mix of the business, I just want to make sure I'm thinking about kind of Esplanade the right way in terms of it sounds like a lot of the community growth, or at least the share coming from Esplanade, is going to continue to rise. I know you showed that off at your analyst day last year. When we look at absorptions, kind of where they were running at in 2025 and where you see that in 2026 and beyond, should we think of any mix shift there, either higher or lower, as more of the business comes from Esplanade? I think generally, those are higher absorption communities, but just wanted to confirm that.

Yeah. I'd say, actually, Alan, I think they're actually quite consistent with the rest of the business. We might have a couple of positions within—I mean, as you know, we probably have four or five communities per Esplanade. So we might have some that run in a low three, some that run in a high two. But I think on average, they're pretty consistent. Just for clarity, as we talk about those 20 new outlets, that's probably four or five new communities. But I wouldn't see any significant change in the pace. We'll continue to aspire, as we see some market wind, to get back to that annualized pace of a low three.

But as I said in the prepared remarks, it's just not our intention to just throw inventory in the ground and sell at all costs, given, I think, the value creation that we have with our land holdings.

Makes sense. Second question on the cost side. I know you mentioned that your outlook is for pretty flat-ish construction costs this year. Certainly, I think cost has been a nice tailwind in general for builders over the last year. We're starting to see lumber prices tick back up again. There's a little bit of increased chatter about maybe some cost increase announcements around the new year, which I think is fairly normal for this time of year. But you have the headlines around ICE raids still out there. I'm just curious, is there any risk to that outlook based on what you're seeing here the first six weeks or so of the year? Generally speaking, where do you see cost trending beyond?

Hi, Alan. Great question. Just kind of a little backdrop on the cost side. We saw tremendous teams did a lot of work in 2025 on our house cost initiatives. Very proud of what we were able to accomplish. To your point, lumber here more recently is starting to run up a little bit. But our teams continue to focus on house cost reduction strategies, working with our trade partners, working with our suppliers. So we think we have the ability to hope to offset some of those potential headwinds that are out there through just our continued work on optimizing the business, whether it's through our discussion with our trade partners, our suppliers, or just our continued work on optimizing our floor plans, value engineering, our new communities, all those different types of tactical things.

It's something that we're looking at and watching and something the teams are very focused on.

Your next question comes from the line of Trevor Allinson with Wolfe Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Good morning. Actually, you've got Paul Przybylski on. I apologize if I missed this, but good morning. Could you bridge the sequential gross margin decline for 1Q among leverage, incentives, land inflation mix, etc.? And I think you said the incentive environment was stable in 4Q. If that remains the case, in 1Q, should we expect a gross margin in 2Q similar to 1Q?

Great question, Paul. Yeah. We're not going to probably talk further beyond Q1 today. I think in our prepared comments, we did talk about a gradual increase in margins over the course of the year just because of the change in mix to a higher concentration of to-be-built homes. And of course, as we work our way through our existing inventory. From Q4 to Q1, sequentially, the margins are down, I think, 180 basis points. And that is in large part from a mix standpoint. A, we pulled in some higher ASP and higher margin homes in 2025 into Q4. And as a result, now we have a few more of those entry-level kind of tertiary kind of community closings coming through Q1. And so as we work our way through that, we'll see our margins in line with that guide that we put out there.

Relative to incentives, as Sheryl alluded to in her talking points, they were modestly in line from an order perspective. They were kind of at the end of the day, they're remaining elevated, so to speak, from Q4 into Q1 from a closing perspective.

Maybe, Curt, the only other thing I might add is, obviously, Paul, we're going to take price as the market allows. I was interested that in the fourth quarter, we did see base prices increase in more than half of the communities that had been open the prior year and more than a quarter of our total communities. And so if the opportunity exists, we're going to continue to take base price increases, reduce incentives, which is where we're getting the confidence to say we expect Q1 to be the low point of the margin.

Okay. Thank you. And then I guess you talked a lot about the 100 new community openings this year. How have absorptions been performing in your new communities relative to legacy? Are they still seeing that historical spread?

Historical spread. I mean, I'm excited about the new communities we're opening. I can give you a couple of examples. I might have mentioned in prior quarters that we were opening a new community in Phoenix. It's over 1,200 lots. I think we have five positions. We opened it in the fourth, some of it the end of September, one position in October. We've got well over 100 units sold in there already. So I would say pace is there really, really strong. One that's, it's a beautiful master plan called Verdin. When I look at some of our Esplanade pre-opening activities and what we call our signature VIP events, I mean, some of these communities have waiting lists or interest lists, not waiting. We haven't started sales. Interest lists of hundreds to thousands of names. So there is this activity that we're seeing.

We're also seeing traffic generally has picked up in the first of the year. When I look at web traffic, YoY, up in most all of our divisions. So both new and old, I think we are starting to see a little traction. And it's early days. Like I said, generally, we see spring kickoff after Super Bowl. So here we are. So if we can continue that, then I think that gives us some upside to the year.

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Dahl with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Sheryl, just to pick up on the last comment around kind of the seasonal improvement and similarly, your opening comments about the improvement. Obviously, it hasn't been a very normal period of time the past number of months. So can you just help us dial that in a little bit more? Obviously, seasonally, you should see traffic pick up. 4Q better than normal seasonal sequential change in orders, but off worse than normal. So what are we actually talking about in terms of quantifying kind of the pace dynamics that you've seen over the past couple of months or January into February, more specifically?

Yeah. No, it's a fair question. And I don't want to get too over my ski tips, Mike. But what I would tell you is the improvement we saw through the fourth quarter, December, being better than November, that would be something relatively unusual in my tenure. January, better than December. Okay. We should expect that. And the good news is we got it. And like you said, given the volatility that we've seen over the last year, I take each of these as positive green shoots. I'd say it's a little and honestly, and I think we said it in our prepared remarks, what made January even more I don't want to probably a better word than sensational, but strong was the fact that we had a real significant weather event in a large part of the country.

We were closed in many of our communities for days in Texas and the Southeast. We still saw a nice January finish. I give a lot of credit to our virtual tools on the ability to be able to continue to work with these consumers, even when they couldn't come into the sales office. February, we're 10 days in, a little early. I would say generally similar. It's hard to make a trend in 10 days. We've got some communities that are doing really well and ahead of pace and some that aren't quite there yet. We had a strong finish. We've also had weather into early February. All in all, I'd say generally supportive of kind of normal seasonal trends, to your point, we haven't seen in some time. It's nice to see that momentum building.

Okay. Thanks. And maybe just one quick one on that, just to put an even finer point on that. Are we talking absorptions now flat year-on-year, up year-on-year, still down a little year-on-year? But then my second question is really then on the. I want to make sure I understand the incentive comments, appreciating you're not guiding beyond one Q. When you consider conceptually 1Q being the low and incentives improving, are you really just saying incentives should improve as a function of your build-to-order mix, or do you also expect just from a market level, incentives to improve through the year?

Well, obviously, if we get continued traction and continued pickup in market, like I said, we'll continue to take price when we can reduce incentives. We've also seen some relief from interest rates. I mean, still somewhat volatile. I think we're probably in the 6.1 range over the last few days. Sometime last year, that was closer to mid- to high-6s. So I think you've got a number of things working. And I think, once again, we have the programs, Mike, to help the customer and not spread those incentives like peanut butter. The to-be-built mix will certainly be a piece of it as well. But I wouldn't just point to that. I think there's a number of factors that would help us.

Now, having said that, competitive pressure and seeing what others offer is going to continue to also have an impact on the incentives the consumer continues to expect. But all in all, I'm hoping there's some discipline across the market, and we see a pullback in incentives and have the ability to take price. Pace, I don't know that I've seen. I've looked at, Curt, YoY. I mean, I think we had a strong first quarter last year. So my instinct, it's probably a little down YoY, Mike, but I need to verify that. But just going into the Investor Day last year, we had a really nice, strong first quarter. But offsetting that, you're going to see some good community count growth, as you saw us going from low 340 to something closer to 360 in the first quarter.

Okay. Great. Appreciate it. Thanks, Sheryl.

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Rehaut with J.P. Morgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. First, I just wanted to make sure I heard it correctly. And sorry if this is being a little repetitive, but just wanted to appreciate the trend of incentives that you guys have offered from the beginning of the fourth quarter to the end of the fourth quarter. I think you said it was relatively consistent, but I just want to make sure I heard that right. And also, when you think about the first quarter gross margin guidance, how much of that is reflective of just higher incentives flowing through more broadly versus mix and maybe flushing out some of the impact of selling some of the excess spec that you have in inventory?

I'll let Curt get into the particulars. But Mike, as Curt said in his prepared remarks, I mean, we have a lot of inventory that we want to even though we're going to continue to get those to-be-builts. It's hopefully a different customer. We need to work through that inventory in the first quarter. So we are expecting some pressure there. And if you look at just the ASP that we articulated for the first quarter and how it's slightly lower than what we saw in the fourth quarter, I think it speaks to the mix. And as we've said, the more affordable positions require greater incentives. So we're anxious to work through those and then see the to-be-built be a healthier piece of the mix.

Yeah. Then, Mike, on the incentives, in our prepared comments, you did hear it correctly. They were relatively flat sequentially from Q3 to Q4. As we kind of I think we alluded to that last quarter, that we would have elevated incentives to move through based on that spec penetration for Q4 closings as we work through the inventory.

Your next question comes from Rafe Jadrosich with Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Just following up on the comment on incremental land investment in the non-core submarket, sort of shifting away from that, obviously, makes sense given the context of what's going in the market at the entry level today. When you think about are you finding better land deals at the move-up and resort lifestyle sort of price points? Is there just less competition in those markets? Are you just more bullish on the long-term fundamentals on move-up, resort lifestyle, versus entry level? Can you just talk a little bit more about the shift there and why the returns will be higher at move-up and then compared to entry level?

Hi, Rafe, Erik. Yeah, good question. It's really kind of a light pivot to where we've come from, right? If we were to look historically, we've really been at that 15% kind of exposure to kind of that tertiary entry level. Coming out of COVID, as Sheryl suggested, we saw such strong demand there. Really, we're discerning how much of that work from home was going to be kind of sustainable. So it moved up to 20%-25%, call it. So it's really a repivot back to 15%. Direct to your question, I would say, yes, when you think about the competitive landscape and some of the peer group that's very focused on that entry level, I would suggest that the land market has yielded some opportunity for us, especially as the market has evolved.

I would say, yes, it's what we're good at. It's what we've been historically focused on. From an opportunity standpoint, that's where we're seeing some of the opportunity. I would expect some good performance looking forward.

And the only thing I'd throw on top of that, Rafe, is when we're talking about the first-time buyer environment today, with every sale, it's really working through with them, can they make this work? When you look at the move-up and the Esplanade buyer, it's really, should I, given just the confidence things we've talked about? They have the capabilities. They have the balance sheet. They just want to make sure that the time it makes sense for them, and they have the time. It's the right time to do it. It's a very different formula when you're dealing with this first-time buyer and how many consumers we have to pre-approve to try to get folks that actually can make the final purchase. And we don't see that that is going to significantly change in the foreseeable future.

Okay. That's helpful. That makes sense. And then just following up on the land side, mid-single-digit lot inflation for 2026. For the land that you're contracting today, what's the inflation that you're seeing? And is there a point here where we'd expect some relief? Does it roll over in 2027? How do we think about that through the year?

Yeah. As far as the land conditions out there, and as you know, when we expressed in fourth quarter, we really focused on paring to really the core opportunities, the cream of the crop for us. I think others have done that too. So you are seeing kind of a stabilization in the land market that's resulting in something that approximates 0. So kind of low, low single digits in terms of land appreciation expectations in the market today. We are seeing, and as we expressed in third quarter too, we've experienced a lot of success in working with sellers and renegotiating pretty much everything that comes through the Investment Committee.

Your next question comes from the line of Kenneth Zener with Seaport. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Could you comment on the, I know, Central, and you mentioned Austin, but could you talk about what the dynamics were that saw the order rates for that whole segment come down first? And then second, are you guys going to try to, it sounds like you're probably going to run starts in line with orders, or is there going to be more of a front-end load this year? That's it. Thank you.

Yeah. Maybe I'll take the first one, and then Curt can grab the second. When I think about Texas, it has been a little bit more of a mixed bag, Ken. Austin has probably seen the greatest pullback of volume. But honestly, our locations are, I believe, best in market. And so we continue to see a strong margin. So we've been okay holding the line a bit there and not giving away quality irreplaceable communities. The good news in Austin is we have seen spec inventory drop in more than half over the last year. Land activity continues to be tough, but the teams are being very diligent and making sure we don't get ahead of ourselves. Houston and Dallas slowed down YoY, but not what we saw in Austin. We did see paces hold serve in Dallas.

Houston and paces are ahead of the company average. So like I said, a little bit of a couple of different stories. Similar to Austin, though, margins have held up well in all of Texas. So I think Texas provides the perfect example of the important trade-offs we'll make between price and pace, where we'll take a lower volume to protect the margin. As I look forward, Texas is an important part of the portfolio. I expect the state of Texas to be the highest population growth over the next three to four years.

And then on the starts front, Ken, the last couple of quarters, we've, I guess, understarted relative to sales as we've kind of worked our way through our inventory. But on a go-forward basis, I envision us being more sticky to the sales standpoint from a start standpoint on a go-forward basis. So that's what kind of we're looking at as we're sitting here today.

Your next question comes from the line of Alex Barron with Housing Research Center, LLC. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Yes. Thank you. I think you just answered one of my questions. The other one was, I think there was more price discounting activity from yourselves and other builders in the fourth quarter. But do you feel like that's mainly a 2025 thing and that the type of incentives that are now in 2026 has gone back to primarily rate buydowns and that type of thing, closing costs?

Yeah. I think that will continue to be part of the mix. Alex, as we've said, we continue to personalize our incentives by consumer. When you're dealing with the resort lifestyle, honestly, for them, it's not as much about mortgage buydowns as it is maybe credit in the design center as they customize their home. I think the competitive market will help guide us there. But once again, I think we're going to try to hold the line. Certainly, we have some quality assets in large master plans where we're going to be very careful about the inventory we leak in to make sure that we can protect the values.

How are you guys thinking in terms of specs per community or spec starts? I know there's different price points that you guys are working with, but maybe especially at the entry level, how are you guys thinking about what's the ideal number of specs for your strategy?

Yeah, Alex. We have what I would call a spec management kind of program that we kind of follow. It's a subdivision by subdivision or community by community kind of basis analysis. In entry-level communities or multifamily communities, we'll tend to have maybe a little bit higher spec counts in those communities. And then as we work our way up the consumer segmentation kind of profile to the move-up and resort lifestyles, we'll have less specs that we'll have in the program. But at the end of the day, it all comes down to it's a community-by-community analysis and what the demand is. And so we're looking at those all on an individual basis.

Got it. Okay. Best of luck, guys. Thank you.

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Sheryl Palmer, CEO and Chairman, for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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