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Employees say:&nbsp;"What makes S&amp;P Global an exceptional place to work is the thoughtful way it invests in its people, often in ways that aren't typical. From Wellness Days and comprehensive wellness benefits that encourage real recharge, to tuition reimbursement that supports continuous learning and growth, employees are genuinely empowered to thrive. A collaborative, inclusive culture and strong commitment to work-life balance are paired with a generous time-off policy that reflects trust and respect. All of this is reinforced by a clear focus on innovation, giving people both the flexibility and the support to do meaningful, forward-thinking work."

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Employees say:"The company has a fantastic culture, great people, and provides great benefits. Managers are great about caring about you individually, and Directors and Managers are always super supportive of projects, initiatives, or ideas that you have to make our work better. Whenever I have brought up ideas, my directors or managers have been supportive and have recognized good ideas while giving very helpful feedback. You can do meaningful work in a fun environment, and work/life balance is very much respected. It is a great place to work!"

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100 Best Places to Work 2026_S&P Global Inc.

Employees say:"The company has fantastic culture, great people, and provides great benefits. Managers are great about caring about you individually, and Directors and Managers are always super supportive of projects, initiatives, or ideas that you have to make our work better. Whenever I have brought up ideas, my directors or managers have been supportive and have recognized good ideas while giving very helpful feedback. So you can do meaningful work in a fun environment, and work/life balance is very much respected. It is a great place to work!"

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Dealing in financial information and analytics, it is the parent company of subsidiaries such as S&amp;P Global Ratings and S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence. The company also owns a majority stake in the S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices.

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Best Companies

Rank last year

Years on list

U.S. employees

U.S. job openings

Year founded

Benefits

Subsidized childcare

Compressed work weeks

Option to work remotely

Minimum requirement in-office attendance (days per week)

Mental health coverage

Free mental health sessions (per year)

Free backup childcare time off (days)

Maximum $ amount covered for fertility services

Fully paid maternal leave (days)

Fully paid paternal leave (days)

Fully paid adoptive leave (days)

Maternal leave in addition to regular time off (days)

Paid days off for volunteering

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Current All-Star Rank

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Previous Industry Rank

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People Management

Use of Corporate Assets

Social Responsibility

Quality of Management

Financial Soundness

Long-Term Investment Value

Quality of Products/Services

Global Competitiveness

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Revenues ($M)

Profits ($M)

Assets ($M)

Total Stockholder Equity ($M)

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Profit as % of Revenues

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Profits as % of Stockholder Equity

Earnings Per Share (last Fiscal Year)

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EPS % Change (10 year annual rate)

Total Return

Total Return to Investors (last year)

Total Return to Investors (5 year, annualized)

Total Return to Investors (10 year, annualized)

Best Workplaces In New York

Founded

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Best Workplaces In Financial Services And Insurance

S&amp;P Global is a leading provider of transparent and independent ratings, benchmarks, analytics, and data to the capital and commodity markets worldwide. The company delivers markets intelligence through its divisions, including S&amp;P Global Ratings, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices, S&amp;P Global Commodity Insights, S&amp;P Global Mobility, and Sustainable1. These services support decision-making across various sectors, from finance and commodities to sustainability and mobility. With a history dating back to 1860, S&amp;P Global continues to empower customers with the data and insights needed to navigate complex global markets.

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S&P Global (SPGI): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings

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S&P Global

s&p global

Good morning, and welcome to S&P Global's first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. I would now like to introduce Mr. Mark Grant, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer for S&P Global. Sir, you may begin.

Good morning, and thank you for joining today's S&P Global first quarter 2026 earnings call. Presenting on today's call are Martina Cheung, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Eric Aboaf, Chief Financial Officer. We issued a press release with our results earlier today. In addition, we have posted a supplemental slide deck with additional information on our results and guidance.

If you need a copy of the release and financial schedules or the supplemental deck, they can be downloaded at investor.spglobal.com. The matters discussed in today's conference call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including projections, estimates, and descriptions of future events. Any such statements are based on current expectations and current economic conditions and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from results anticipated in these forward-looking statements.

Additional information concerning these risks and uncertainties can be found in our Forms 10-K and 10-Q filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In today's earnings release and during the conference call, we're providing non-GAAP adjusted financial information. This information is provided to enable investors to make meaningful comparisons of the company's operating performance between periods and to view the company's business from the same perspective as management.

The earnings release contains financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP that correspond to the non-GAAP measures we're providing. The press release and the supplemental deck contain reconciliations of such GAAP and non-GAAP measures. The financial metrics we'll be discussing today refer to non-GAAP adjusted metrics unless explicitly noted otherwise. As noted in the press release and slides, financial guidance provided today assumes contributions from Mobility for the full year and excludes any impact from anticipated stranded costs.

The company expects to update adjusted guidance to exclude mobility and institute GAAP guidance upon completion of the spin. I would also like to call your attention to certain European regulations. Any investor who has or expects to obtain ownership of 5% or more of S&P Global should contact investor relations to better understand the potential impact of this legislation on the investor and the company. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Martina Cheung. Martina?

Thank you, Mark. We are pleased with the results that we achieved in the first quarter. Revenue increased 10% year-over-year or 9% on an organic constant currency basis. Revenue from our subscription products increased 6% year-over-year. We saw even stronger growth in our market-driven businesses this quarter, with ratings and indices both showing remarkable resilience.

On a trailing twelve-month basis, we delivered 140 basis points of margin expansion and increased adjusted diluted EPS by 14% year-over-year in the quarter. We demonstrated a continued commitment to disciplined capital allocation, returning $1 billion to shareholders through share repurchases in addition to our cash dividends in the quarter. We delivered these results in an incredibly volatile and dynamic operating environment, making clear progress in each of the three pillars of the strategic vision we outlined at our Investor Day.

While we're pleased with the innovation, execution, and results that we delivered in the first quarter, we acknowledge the macro uncertainty that has increased in recent months. Even if conflicts are resolved quickly from this point, we expect it to take some time for supply chains to return to normal. In recent months, the geopolitical and economic backdrop has shifted and become substantially more challenging for many of our customers.

The conflict in Iran has shocked energy markets and supply chains. This has led to much higher energy and commodity prices while also elevating volatility. The longer the duration of this conflict, the broader and more severe the impact on global supply chains and markets across sectors. This quarter, we also saw private credit navigate increased scrutiny, wider spreads, and elevated redemptions.

We expect strong growth in private markets over the medium term. This growth will require increased transparency from data and benchmarks, which is an important area of focus for S&P Global. Throughout all of this, the pace of technology innovation has only accelerated. Clearly, the markets are reacting quite aggressively to new AI frontier model headlines, shifts in diplomatic initiatives, and the unpredictability of the current environment.

That manifests in volatility across the global markets. We've seen broad dispersion in the performance of different sectors of the equity markets, elevated volatility in equity and commodity markets, and shifting expectations for central bank actions. Despite the turmoil in the macro environment, issuance was resilient. Build issuance increased 14% year-over-year in the first quarter, primarily driven by strength in investment grade. Investment grade benefited from hyperscaler investments in AI infrastructure.

Notably, even without the hyperscaler issuance, investment grade delivered healthy growth, in part benefiting from several large M&A transactions. Growth was partly offset by a high teen decline in bank loan volumes as we lapped a very difficult compare in the first quarter of 2025. We saw spreads widen slightly in the quarter as a reaction to uncertainty around AI, private credit, and geopolitical conflicts. However, spreads are still below historical norms.

While first quarter build issuance was above our initial expectations, much of the outperformance was driven by hyperscaler issuance that our original guidance assumed would be spread more throughout the year. Our full year expectations for the debt markets are largely unchanged. Everything we see reinforces our vision for the company, and our priority remains on executing our strategy.

We are committed to our mission to advance essential intelligence by advancing our market leadership, expanding into high growth adjacencies, and amplifying enterprise capabilities and AI. Customers are coming to S&P Global with increased urgency for our differentiated data and benchmarks, insights and tools to make timely and informed decisions in this rapidly evolving operating and market environment.

For instance, we saw record revenue and attendance at CERAWeek, the premier global conference addressing the intersection of energy, finance, technology, and geopolitics. This year's conference hosted a record 11,000 attendees and more than 2,300 companies from over 90 countries. We are helping our clients make sense of and manage the spike in volatility. We posted record-setting revenue in global trading services and energy and record quarterly average daily volumes for the S&P 500 in indices.

We are also advancing our leadership as we help our customers unlock the potential of AI. As we discussed at our Investor Day, we are deploying AI-native solutions and tools like ChatIQ and Document Intelligence for those seeking speed and scale on our platforms. For those who want to build their own AI-enabled organic solutions, we are increasingly making our data accessible via standard protocols like MCP.

We've seen meaningful enhancement to the value that our products are creating for customers. More than a third of our Capital IQ Pro users engage with the AI features we've launched, including ChatIQ and Document Intelligence. We also saw tremendous growth in the usage of S&P Global data in the quarter. In March, we shared that nearly 150 customers across the Market Intelligence and Energy divisions were interacting with our data through AI applications like Claude and Copilot.

We now have more than 300 customers under contract or in trial periods for Kensho LLM-ready APIs. In addition to the rapid growth in customers, we are seeing large increases in the volume of data that's consumed directly via API calls from customers and through these platforms. For instance, in the first quarter, the volume of API calls made by our customers was more than 5 times the volume that we saw just 1 quarter ago.

Volumes doubled month-over-month just from February to March. We can see early indications of this translating into economic benefits. ACV growth among customers who use our AI solutions is outpacing growth from other customers by a wide margin. Growth in Market Intelligence is 30% higher among AI customers compared to others, and growth among AI customers in Energy is double the growth rate among other customers.

Chief Client Office customers are also actively seeking the deep expertise of our in-house Kensho team. 25% of these clients are engaged with our Kensho Labs technologists to explore opportunities to leverage our technology and data to help solve their most challenging problems. All in, our approach to leveraging AI in S&P Global products and S&P Global data in AI platforms is resonating with customers in a meaningful way.

While it will take some time to see exactly how this manifests in our financial results, we are confident that the value we create for our customers is increasing and the economics will reflect that over time. At our Investor Day, we provided a breakdown of the revenue that S&P Global generates based on different categories of our data, benchmarks, and workflow tools. We noted that less than 5% of total revenue comes from undifferentiated data.

Even within Market Intelligence, undifferentiated data contributes only 12% of revenue, but we wanted to share the full breakdown of the division here. Advisory, consulting, and events constitute about 11% of Market Intelligence revenue, and our workflow tools, which include a portion of Capital IQ and all of Enterprise Solutions, constitute about 37%. Our proprietary and curated data includes proprietary data based on our intellectual property, as well as curated, contributory, and reference data.

For our curated data, perhaps the biggest challenge in replicating some of these datasets like Compustat and SNL, is the means by which we aggregated these datasets to begin with. Often, employees would have to physically scan microfiche and paper documents in local offices. While some of that data may be publicly available, many of these types of datasets are only available in digital formats from S&P Global.

Importantly, Market Intelligence is also the distribution platform for our ratings content through RatingsDirect on Capital IQ Pro and RatingsXpress. Contributory datasets include products and data like Visible Alpha and With Intelligence. We also have reference data in this bucket, which is based on intellectual property owned or co-owned by S&P Global, like the Global Industry Classification Standard or GICS and LoanX IDs or LXIDs.

We also generate unique proprietary data from our events, including our private markets events. The With Intelligence team collects insights through engagement with LPs that help GPs target more accurately based on fund, strategy, sector, and regional capital commitments. This unique insight is available through our intentions and preferences dataset. One important point is that we have attributed the revenue from Capital IQ across three categories, benchmarks, workflow tools, and undifferentiated data.

While many of our customers would likely attribute less value to the undifferentiated data, we wanted to take a conservative approach to this analysis. That breakdown is important because it highlights the multifaceted value proposition for Capital IQ Pro. When we talk about Capital IQ Pro, many investors often focus on our core platform or desktop offering.

However, Cap IQ Pro's value to our customers extends far beyond the desktop to the data, business logic, and tools that are housed within the platform. As I mentioned earlier, we are deploying AI-native solutions and tools for those seeking speed and scale on Cap IQ Pro, including ChatIQ and Chart Explainer. These features are already driving customer engagement, and we expect many of our customers will continue to consume our content and data primarily through an integrated desktop solution.

Other customers will have an interest in interacting with our content in their own AI environments and in third-party productivity tools like Claude and ChatGPT. Much of our data is accessible via Model Context Protocol, or MCP, and other standard protocols to customers in these environments. Our branded custom business logic and calculation engines, as well as many of the tools that exist in S&P Capital IQ Pro, will integrate with platforms like Copilot and Claude.

Our customers are on their own AI journeys and adopting these new platforms in different ways, depending on urgency, comfort level, and regulatory sensitivity. We will continue to invest in new ways to create value for our customers, including delivery through MCP and Agent-to-Agent protocol to ensure that customers can access our data and tools where they need us.

As usage increases and use cases expand, we expect to align the economics with the value we create through price. In the first quarter, we saw a great deal of innovation, including new products, new features, and new services for our customers. Within Market Intelligence, we continued to make progress in the private markets with our partnership with Cambridge Associates and Mercer.

In our Energy division, we just wrapped up the best CERAWeek we've ever had. We unveiled our new AI-native upstream product for data and insights called CERA Titan. As we've discussed with you previously, we are in the process of completely revamping the upstream business within our Energy division. 70 customers were able to demo the new platform, and feedback was overwhelmingly positive.

We immediately saw an increase in leads and sales pipeline for Upstream data and insights. One large strategic customer was so pleased with the new platform that we were able to close a large renewal with a meaningful increase in contract value. In addition to improving our data and insight solutions, we also announced in a separate press release that we have signed an agreement to divest the software portfolio in our Upstream business. We expect that to close in the second half of 2026 or early 2027. This allows us to more tightly focus our efforts on the proprietary data and insights within Upstream. We believe this will allow us to make faster progress toward returning Upstream to sustained positive growth.

We continue to innovate within S&P Dow Jones Indices with the launch of iBoxx U.S. Treasuries Index as the first major index available as a native digital asset on a blockchain. We also launched an additional tokenized S&P 500 index on blockchain in partnership with Centrifuge, and we launched S&P Lincoln U.S. and Europe Senior Debt Indices. We continue to focus on decentralized finance and fixed income as strategic initiatives and are excited about the slate of new products coming to market.

In ratings, we rated the first esoteric ABS issuance backed by Bitcoin as we continue the innovation leadership in digital asset finance that we started in 2018. As we continue to execute our strategy, we are pleased with the results we're delivering for our shareholders, with strong revenue growth and margin expansion in every division. With that, I'll hand it over to Eric Aboaf to walk through the quarter's financial results and the guidance.

Thank you, Martina, and good morning, everyone. Starting with slide 16, we delivered strong first quarter financial results with 10% reported revenue growth, 9% organic constant currency revenue growth, and 14% growth in adjusted diluted EPS. This performance underscores the durability and resilience for our business even amid a period of elevated geopolitical and economic disruption.

Reported revenue growth of 10% includes the acquisition of With Intelligence, which closed in the fourth quarter, offset by the divestitures of EDM and ThinkFolio in January, as well as modest tailwind from FX. Adjusted expenses increased 8%. As Martina mentioned, we began to see volatility and macro risk increase in late February and continue through March. We reacted quickly to make sure we were managing expenses effectively, allowing for better first quarter margins in every division than we had anticipated when we gave initial guidance.

Strong growth and disciplined expense management combined to deliver 100 basis points of year-on-year margin expansion to 51.8% and 12% growth in adjusted operating profit. Excluding Osttra from the prior year period, our first quarter 2026 margin expansion would have been 160 basis points. Turning to our divisions on Slide 17, Market Intelligence revenue grew 8%, and organic constant currency revenue grew 6% in the first quarter.

Subscription revenue increased a solid 6%, both on a reported and organic basis, driven by strong renewals and net sales across the franchise. Subscription growth included a 50 basis point headwind from the timing of revenue recognition that we expect to reverse in the back half of the year. One-time revenue and volume-driven revenue grew 18% in aggregate in the quarter.

This was partly driven by the acquisition of With Intelligence and partly by the rebound of volume-driven activity. Data Analytics and Insights reported revenue increased by 11% driven by our first full quarter of revenue from the With Intelligence acquisition worth 6 percentage points as well as solid 5% organic growth driven by market data and valuations Cap IQ Pro and Visible Alpha.

Enterprise Solutions reported revenue grew 3%, reflecting the divestiture of EDM and ThinkFolio in mid-January. The businesses delivered very strong organic growth of 14% with double-digit growth across all major product lines. We've also included an additional slide in our supplemental deck to provide a breakdown of the workflow tools in our Enterprise Solutions segment, most of which benefit heavily from S&P Global data and strong external networks.

Credit and Risk Solutions revenue grew 6% driven by strong subscription sales of RatingsXpress and RatingsDirect. Market Intelligence's adjusted expenses increased 7% year-over-year, driven by a full quarter of expenses from the With Intelligence acquisition as well as an unfavorable FX impact, higher compensation expense, and long-term strategic investments, partially offset by the impact from the recent divestitures, including the sale of EDM and ThinkFolio.

Market Intelligence delivered 80 basis points of operating margin expansion to 33.6% in the quarter. Turning to Ratings on Slide 18. Ratings revenue increased 13% year-over-year, exceeding our internal expectations for the quarter. Growth was strong across both transactional and non-transactional revenue streams. Transactional revenue increased 15% driven by strength in investment grade, supported by a number of large hyperscale and M&A transactions in the first quarter.

Transaction revenue from governance, high yield, and structured finance also grew in the quarter, but was more than offset by the weakness in bank loans due to a high-teens decline in build issuance. Private markets revenues were up over 25%. Non-transactional revenue grew 11%, driven primarily by higher annual fee and CRISIL revenue. We were also pleased by our growth in Issuer Credit Ratings, or ICRs, and Rating Evaluation Services, or RES, in the quarter.

Adjusted expenses rose 8%, reflecting higher compensation costs and continued strategic investments in our people, technology, and product development. This contributed to the division's 160 basis points of margin expansion to 67.8%. Now turning to S&P Global Energy on Slide 19. The conflict in Iran has brought considerable volatility and uncertainty to the energy markets that has persisted into the second quarter.

Some of the energy customers in the Middle East have experienced a direct impact to their facilities, and many are facing supply chain and or distribution disruptions. Even in this environment, energy revenue grew 7% this quarter as we benefited from very strong events revenue, and we saw a spike in volume-driven transactional activity. At the same time, the conflict weighed on other parts of our Energy Division, including our subscription revenue.

Sanctions continue to be a headwind as well, as we've called out in recent quarters, but the conflict in the Middle East is pressuring clients and could lead to slower growth in the coming quarters. As Martina noted earlier, amid this uncertainty, our customers are turning to S&P Global for data and insights only we can provide. CERAWeek in Houston hit new records, and online, the number of user queries in our energy platform's chat AI feature more than doubled quarter-over-quarter.

Energy resources data and insights and price assessments grew 7% and 6% respectively, driven by strength in petroleum, gas, power, and renewables. The sanctions we discussed last year drove 100 basis point headwind to energy and resources and 140 basis points headwind to price assessments. Advisory and transactional services revenue increased 15%, driven by strong growth in conference and training revenue as CERAWeek delivered record-setting attendance and revenue. We also posted close to 30% growth in Global Trading Services, or GTS, amid elevated energy market volatility. Upstream data and insights revenue declined 5% in the quarter, driven by the absence of a prior year one-time fee.

We continue to streamline this business line and refocus on the areas of proprietary data and insights, as Martina mentioned. Our transformation is on track, including the realignment of the sales teams and the debut of our upgraded client platform at CERAWeek, which already has sparked strong customer interest. Given heightened energy market volatility and uncertainty, we still think it could take several quarters before these management actions drive growth in upstream.

Adjusted expenses grew 4%. Our teams in Energy did a particularly good job moving quickly to keep expense growth low to preserve margins during a volatile period. The expense growth we did see was driven by higher compensation costs and unfavorable FX impact, as well as ongoing investments in growth initiatives. First quarter margin expanded by 120 basis points to 49.3%.

Now turning to S&P Dow Jones Indices on Slide 20. Revenue grew by 17% with double-digit growth across all business lines. Revenue associated with asset-linked fees grew 18% in the first quarter. This was driven by year-over-year equity market appreciation and net inflows into products based on S&P Dow Jones Indices. As we've noted before, in periods of heightened volatility, we often see slower flows in higher-priced indices like sector, factor, and thematics, and higher flows in lower-priced indices like the S&P 500. That was the case in the first quarter as well, and that mix shift drove a modest decline in average realized price year-over-year in our asset-linked fees business.

Exchange traded derivatives revenue was up 18%, driven by strong volumes, particularly in SPX, which continues to demonstrate the natural hedge we have in this business during times of geopolitical and macroeconomic disruptions. Data and custom subscriptions continued to benefit from our focused commercial efforts over the last several quarters, posting its third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.

Revenue increased 12%, largely driven by new business growth in end-of-day contracts. Adjusted expenses were up 13% year-over-year, driven by higher compensation costs and investments in growth initiatives. Indices operating profit grew 18% and operating margin expanded 90 basis points to 73.8%. Now turning to Mobility on slide 21. Revenue grew 8% in the first quarter, underscoring the mission-critical nature of the division's products with high single-digit growth in both dealer and financials and other, and a modest tailwind from FX.

Customers continue to rely on Carfax's unique data and solutions, driving strong subscription growth despite a complicated environment for automotive OEMs. Dealer revenue increased 9%, benefiting from momentum in new customer growth at Carfax and automotiveMastermind. Manufacturing revenue grew 5%, driven by subscription growth and increased discretionary spending. Growth was partially offset by softness in recalls and OEM marketing-related products.

Financials and other grew 8% as the business line continues to benefit from underwriting volumes and commercial momentum. Adjusted expenses grew 5%, driven by advertising and promotional investments. Mobility's operating margin expanded 150 basis points year-over-year to 40%. Looking forward, we remain on track for our planned separation of the Mobility business, including completion of the spin mid-2026.

We will file our Form 10 publicly this quarter, and the Mobility Global team is excited to be hosting their Investor Day in New York City on May 12th, ahead of the launch of its equity roadshow. We also plan to launch a public debt offering for Mobility at some point this quarter, targeting an investment-grade rating. As a reminder, from a financial reporting and guidance perspective, S&P Global will continue to fully consolidate Mobility Global in our financial statements and 2026 guidance until the separation is complete.

Upon completion of the spin, we intend to provide recast financials for the four quarters of 2025 and any 2026 periods reported, adjusted to exclude Mobility's contributions, along with other relevant adjustments as outlined at our Investor Day. We also expect to issue updated 2026 guidance at that time, excluding Mobility. Shifting to our outlook, starting with slide 22. I'd like to review the key macroeconomic assumptions that underpin our guidance, which takes into account the current geopolitical environment.

The conflict in Iran has led to the largest energy shock since the 1970s and counterbalance what was previously a broadly favorable economic environment for our business. Our current outlook assumes the situation stabilizes by the end of the second quarter, we acknowledge the risk of a protracted conflict. We assume 3.2% global GDP growth, including 2.2% growth in the U.S. We also assume 3.2% CPI growth in the U.S. We expect near-term energy client demand to remain suppressed given our expectation for ongoing market uncertainty.

Should the conflict persist longer or escalate, we could see more significant direct headwinds, particularly in our energy business, and significant indirect headwinds in our market-sensitive businesses, depending on equity market reaction and credit market conditions. We continue to see favorable market conditions for issuance in 2026, even though we now only expect 1 rate cut in the U.S.

We also entered the year with encouraging maturity walls, as we discussed on our fourth quarter call, and we are encouraged by the growth of announced M&A. As Martina mentioned, some of the strength in issuance in the first quarter was driven by front-end loading of hyperscaler issuance relative to our initial expectations. Given both the outperformance in the first quarter and the more modest expectations for Q2, we do not expect to see acceleration in Ratings revenue growth in the second quarter.

We continue to expect Ratings growth to moderate in the third quarter before turning negative in the fourth quarter as we lap prior year highs. This leads us to our updated guidance for the enterprise on slide 23. At the consolidated level, we are reiterating our guidance for organic constant currency revenue growth in the range of 6%-8%. We are also reiterating our guidance for 50 to 75 basis points of margin expansion in 2026, excluding the impact of Ostra.

Our adjusted EPS guidance is also unchanged as slightly higher expected interest expense is offset by lower share count due to the additional repurchases we now expect. As you can see on slide 24, our division guidance is also unchanged, with the exception of our energy division. Given the external environment, particularly the impact of the Iran conflict and the energy disruption on both the demand and supply side, we currently expect to deliver organic constant currency revenue growth in the range of 4.5%-6%, 1 percentage point lower than the previous guidance.

Importantly, our guidance assumes that the current elevated level of disruption in the energy market persists through the second quarter, though supply chain disruptions would not fully be resolved until later this year. For our indices business, our full-year guidance is unchanged. However, the underlying assumptions have been adjusted to reflect the current market dynamic. Our guidance now assumes equity markets roughly flat from current levels and low double-digit growth year-over-year in ETD volumes. We also wanted to provide some directional color for the second quarter.

In Market Intelligence, we expect some acceleration in subscription revenue, given what we're seeing in customer traction and sales pipeline. We expect that to be offset somewhat as growth in non-subscription revenue normalizes. In Ratings, we will be lapping the disruption caused after Liberation Day last year, which creates a favorable compare. We expect growth to remain strong, but we do not expect acceleration in 2Q. We do expect investment grade to continue to represent a higher mix of issuance compared to historical averages, particularly if we continue to see elevated hyperscale CapEx driving large volumes in the second quarter.

For Energy, the macro disruption has a concentrated impact in the second quarter, and we have already seen that impacting our near-term sales pipeline. We expect revenue growth in the second quarter to fall slightly below the guidance range for the full year before re-accelerating in the second half. We will be monitoring the sales motion, customer health, and macro environment closely and managing expenses throughout the year to ensure we are preserving margin. For Indices, we expect continued robust growth in the second quarter before growth decelerates in the second half, given the tougher compares in 3Q and 4Q.

For Mobility, we expect growth to accelerate slightly from the first quarter levels, with stronger growth expected in the second half. On second quarter margins, we expect margin expansion to be above the enterprise full-year range for Ratings and Indices, slightly below the range for Mobility and Energy, and within the range for Market Intelligence. This is largely due to the timing and quarterly phasing of expense recognition, as we were very disciplined in our approach in the first quarter. Our full-year expectations in each of these divisions are unchanged.

We want to provide an update on our capital plans for the rest of the year. As you know, we have a target gross leverage range of 2 to 2.5 times trailing 12-month EBITDA. Given the expected loss of Mobility EBITDA, our current leverage of 2.3 times will naturally increase to 2.4 times at the end of the year. We expect to issue approximately $2 billion in debt at Mobility in conjunction with the spin. Proceeds are expected to fund a cash payment to S&P Global, which we would expect to use for a combination of incremental share repurchases and some debt reduction.

Given the strength and resilience of our business and our confidence in its long-term profitable growth, we believe the current share price reflects an attractive opportunity to increase our repurchases from the expected 85% of adjusted free cash flow to at least 100% or to roughly $4.5 billion for the year. With that, let me turn the call back over to Mark for your questions.

Thank you, Eric. For those on the line, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one and record your name. To cancel or withdraw your question, simply press star two. For those joining via telephone, please turn off speakerphone in order to optimize sound quality. Participants will be limited to one question in order to allow time for others during today's Q&A session. Operator, we'll now take the first question.

Thank you. Our first question comes from Toni Kaplan with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Thank you. Martina, thanks for the color on what you're doing with regard to the AI distribution channels. I was hoping that you could expand on how you're thinking about the partnership strategy with the large AI players. Are you building S&P MCP apps on the platforms, or do you just plan to continue to provide the data through the MCP integrations and the APIs? Maybe if you could just talk about the monetization model and directional economics between the different distribution channels. Thank you.

Hi, Toni. Thanks for the question. The quick answer to the first part of that around MCP applications is yes, that is our intention. I think we're going to be very thoughtful around how we build those applications and for what. Particularly, this is one of the reasons why we wanted to highlight the value that exists in the workflows in CapIQ Pro today, for example. It's not just the data, it is the standards, the business logic, as well as the tools, and all three of those will be part of that strategy. The first step to doing that has actually been the announcement of the S&P Global Plugin, which was announced in line with the Cloud for Financial Services announcement in the first quarter.

That's essentially a series of agents that teach AI agents within the platform how to actually conduct specific tasks for data, AI-ready data that the client might be licensed to. Maybe to give you an example, one of our buy-side clients working with Kensho was looking at our financial data via an AI-ready API. Kensho helped them to understand how to use the plugin to perform tasks like creating tear sheets or creating earnings calls previews. As a result, the client liked it so much that they actually canceled their existing provider and went with our data and plugin, even though it was about 20% more expensive. Now look, it's early days. Obviously, we just launched that in Q1, but I think it's an interesting signal.

For how clients are testing the value of our IP, whether it's our logic, our standards, as well as our data, in the context of these of these providers. The point I would make on monetization is that we are really thinking about monetization through the lens of enterprise value. As you know, we don't do seat-based licensing. We don't do usage only. We track usage channels, the value we create, and a number of other metrics as part of the discussions that we have with our clients on value and price accordingly, that's gonna be true for Plugin, it's gonna be true for MCP, it's gonna be true for AI-ready data as well. We're seeing clients, you know, who are quite interested in the value that we bring through all of that.

Perhaps maybe one other example I would provide is, in the quarter, two financial clients who are just subscribing to our data at renewal, were opting to get that data available in an AI-ready format, and were willing to pay in the range of 35%-45% on the renewal increase to get the AI access. Again, early days, but some very strong signal here around the monetization from an enterprise value standpoint. Thanks for the question.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Faiza Alwy with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

Yes. Hi. Thank you. Good morning. Martina, I wanted to follow up on the same topic. You know, on slide 11 where you talk about Market Intelligence data differentiation, I'm curious, when we look at workflow solutions, how would you attribute sort of the value of the proprietary data versus sort of the, you know, the software component of the workflow tools here?

Hi, Faiza. Thanks for the question. With regards to workflow, you'll see a lot of these products embedded in our Enterprise Solutions business. There we operate many mission-critical software and workflows for our customers. These would be workflows that are scaled, require robust controls, risk management, and compliance layers, and really require a lot of intervention through our managed services to make sure that they're continuing to deliver. So, you know, there's a very much a mission-critical nature to many of these. There are several of them that actually function as networks for industry groups, not just for an individual client.

You know, there we would see perhaps a Wall Street Office, for example, or a ClearPar in that category, and again, serving, you know, not just a client, but the benefit of it being derived because it is actually informing a whole ecosystem. In many cases, the, you know, the value that our clients get from these tools is a function of some of the proprietary content that we embed in the tools.

A good example there would be the loan reference data that is provided through Wall Street Office. You know, we think of it more as the value that we are bringing to the clients through the workflow tools and the importance and criticality of those systems to clients' very, very critical processes. That's one of the reasons why we continue to see good growth in these tools across Enterprise Solutions as well. Thanks for the question.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ashish Sabadra with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Thanks for taking my question. In regards to MI, the subscription growth is expected to accelerate in 2Q. I was just wondering if you could unpack that some more, what's driving it, how much of it is driven by AI products, the Chief Client Office, or any other color that you can provide. Thanks.

S&P Global (SPGI) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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