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Sirius XM is one of the biggest audio entertainment companies in North America. Its flagship satellite and streaming radio service offers exclusive music, sports, talk, news, and comedy programming. It also operates an expansive podcast network and owns music streaming platform Pandora. The company was formed through the merger of industry pioneers Sirius Satellite Radio and XM Satellite Radio in 2008.

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Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings

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Sirius XM Holdings

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Greetings. Welcome to the SiriusXM Second Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce Hooper Stevens, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Finance. Thank you, Hooper. You may now begin.

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to SiriusXM's second quarter twenty twenty five earnings conference call. Today, we will have prepared remarks from Jennifer Witz, our Chief Executive Officer and Tom Barry, our Chief Financial Officer Scott Greenstein, our President and Chief Content Officer and Wayne Thorson, our Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, will join Jennifer and Tom to take your questions during the Q and A portion of this call. I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during the call might be forward looking statements as the term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These and all forward looking statements are based upon management's current beliefs and expectations and necessarily depend upon assumptions, data or methods that may be incorrect or imprecise.

Such forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For more information about these risks and uncertainties, please view SiriusXM's SEC filings and today's earnings release. We advise listeners to not rely unduly on forward looking statements and disclaim any intent or obligation to update them. As we begin, I'd like to remind our listeners that today's call will include discussions about both actual results and adjusted results. All discussions of adjusted operating results exclude the effects of stock based compensation.

Additionally, we have posted a supplementary presentation on our IR website for your convenience. With that, I'll hand the call over to Jennifer.

Thank you, Hooper. Good morning, everyone. The second quarter was a period of great progress as we continued to deliver meaningful value to our subscribers, listeners and advertising partners and optimize our organization through the lens of our renewed strategic focus. From deeper engagement with our loyal listeners to early momentum associated with our operational improvements and continued strong results across key performance indicators, we are confident we are on the right path for the long term success of the business. Beginning with content, it's been an exciting few months as we announced new talent and programming, produced one of a kind subscriber events and tapped into the full power of our platform with major moments in news and culture.

One of the highlights of the quarter included our new agreement with Stephen A. Smith, who will be joining us this fall. SiriusXM offers multifaceted personalities and creators a place to connect deeply with their fans on many topics. This deal, for example, has Stephen A helming both a live daily sports show on Mad Dog Sports Radio and a political and culture program expected to air on the POTUS channel and then run as a broadly distributed podcast. The collaboration with Steve and A leans into many of our strengths, including our leadership in sports audio, live coverage, real time fan interaction and effective monetization of listeners across both subscription and advertising supported audio.

These are the types of thoughtful content investments we will continue to make moving forward. Within our SiriusXM subscription business, we're pleased to deliver year over year improvement in self pay net adds for the fifth quarter in a row, which in Q2 improved by 32,000 over the same quarter last year. This quarter's results were primarily driven by the expansion and positive impact of new acquisition initiatives combined with continued low churn. These initiatives include our automotive dealer three year subscription program, which earlier this month kicked off with Audi, our eighth OEM partner, enhancements to our used car owner data, our EV expansion and podcast plus package. We still anticipate the headwinds we highlighted heading into 2025, particularly our intentional pullback of streaming marketing spend to impact comparisons in the back half of the year.

But while our full year subscriber expectations remain unchanged, the 2025 underscores the success of these acquisition efforts and the strength, health and resilience of our core subscriber base. We are committed to delivering even greater value to our dedicated customers. After successfully incorporating additional content into various packages last fall, we are pursuing further value adds as well as continuous enhancements to our in app experience as a complement to in car listening. This quarter, we launched a new call in button, which appears on live talk programming in the app as the phone lines open up for listeners, making it as easy as one tap to chat live with favorite hosts. This is just one of the ways we are super serving our core audience, deepening their connection with our content through the timeliness of our service.

We are also seeing increased usage of our streaming offering more broadly, with in app time spent listening up year over year in both listening hours and days for our self pay subscribers. Additionally, consumption of our streaming extra channels and artist stations continues to increase both in car and in app. Building engagement across content types and devices has been a major factor in sustaining our incredibly high customer satisfaction and low churn. As we look to highlight our unique differentiators to new potential customers and thoughtfully grow our subscriber base, we are building additional packages to meet their needs. Earlier this month, we began rolling out SiriusXM Play, our new in car and in app ad supported subscription plan.

Featuring a compelling subset of our music and talk programming available at a low monthly price, we expect Play to be available in almost 100,000,000 vehicles by the end of this year. Play presents a logical solution for price sensitive customers with SiriusXM already built into their vehicles who are looking to complement their on demand audio platform of choice with a more curated, live and connected experience with the same ease of traditional radio. The introduction of Play rounds out our broader pricing and packaging work, which now includes a variety of plans and price points suited to different types of listeners. While we believe Play has the potential to contribute to improved subscriber results, we are scaling this new solution at a thoughtful rate, leveraging the marketing investments we've made to target the right potential customers with the right content and package. Play also introduces opportunities into our portfolio of advertising solutions, taking advantage of the continuous improvements we are making to our ad tech stack.

This includes the addition of ad replacement capabilities on 360L vehicles toward the end of this year and updates which will make it easier for marketers to seamlessly purchase across satellite broadcast, streaming and podcasting in a single order. This quarter, we announced an agreement to improve audio's representation within media mix models, an important step forward in the measurement landscape. We also launched a new capability, which allows advertisers to leverage AI voice replicas and audio ad creative to quickly launch more scalable campaigns at a lower cost. Each of these advancements is part of our larger goal of getting audio in every media plan by addressing many of the complexities in creative, planning, buying, measuring and targeting that have traditionally held marketers back. We continue to see challenges in the ad market due to economic, consumer and tariff uncertainty ranging from budget pullbacks to dollars shifting to lower funnel channels to drive short term sales with categories such as retail more adversely impacted.

Additionally, we are seeing pricing pressure in streaming from an excess of CTV inventory and audio competitors reacting. Podcasting, however, remains a bright spot. While overall advertising was down approximately 2% from Q2 twenty twenty four, podcast ad revenue climbed almost 50% year over year. The investments we've made in the podcast space, new content, significantly expanded video and social inventory and ongoing measurement and technology enhancements are paying off for both our creators and our business. This week, we announced an agreement with one of the top true crime podcasts, Morbid.

And in Q2, we signed a deal with comedian Trevor Noah, which brought his show, What Now, to our network this month. When a creator's reach suddenly expands, such as Mel Robbins show, which is up more than 500% year over year, or Conan O'Brien adding full length podcast video on YouTube, we are able to quickly and effectively monetize that growth. This quarter, we also hosted a variety of live events, including John Mayer joining Smartless Live in Los Angeles, which provide both subscriber exclusives and opportunities for deeper brand integrations. Overall, we've made strong progress across many of our key initiatives in the quarter with disciplined investments that will enhance experiences for our subscribers and advertisers to support the future growth in our business. At the same time, we continue to drive efficiencies across our organization, and we remain focused on delivering on our guidance for the year.

And now I'll turn it over to Tom for details on the quarter's financial results.

Thank you, Jennifer, and good morning, everyone. In the second quarter, we executed a strong financial discipline, delivering results that highlight the strength of our model and the consistency of our strategy. We maintained healthy margins, accelerated our cost savings program and generated substantial free cash flow, all while continuing to invest in what matters for long term success. With that, let's jump into the results. Revenue for the quarter totaled $2,140,000,000 down 2% compared to the second quarter last year with similar results across our subscription and advertising revenue streams.

Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was $668,000,000 down 5% on a year over year basis, reflecting a healthy margin of 31%. Free cash flow rose 27% to $4.00 $2,000,000 driven by timing of payments, lower capital expenditures and the elimination of Liberty level overhead in prior year. On the topic of costs, we had previously articulated a $200,000,000 run rate cost savings goal across OpEx and CapEx exiting this year. Thanks to early action, we now expect to achieve approximately $200,000,000 of gross savings in period this year. While the majority of this is in OpEx, we also now expect to land near the lower end of our previously articulated non satellite CapEx range of $450,000,000 to $500,000,000 this year.

We expect non satellite CapEx to decline to approximately $400,000,000 next year in addition to the significant decline we will see in satellite CapEx. The success of our cost program reflects continued strong discipline in execution across our business. In the quarter, sales and marketing expense declined 20% year over year, benefiting from a more efficient campaign mix and the timing of planned brand and in car initiatives. That said, we do expect some reinvestment in the second half as we reaccelerate select campaigns and of course, we begin to lap lower spending quarters from late last year. Product and technology costs fell by 20 in the quarter to $48,000,000 driven by ongoing optimization of vendor contracts and cloud infrastructure.

Gross cost savings were partially offset by several anticipated items. G and A was $124,000,000 an increase of 23%, reflecting higher legal expenses against a positive insurance recovery in the prior year period. During the quarter, we took decisive steps to sharpen our organizational and product focus with a comprehensive technology and workforce realignment. This included a non cash write off of approximately $100,000,000 in capitalized software assets that are no longer aligned with our streamlined roadmap. We also reduced our product and tech workforce by 20% among contractors and 10% among full time employees.

These changes position us to operate more nimbly and with greater use of AI enhanced development in the future, enabling stronger execution of our core mission. Subscriber acquisition costs were $107,000,000 in the quarter, up 16% year over year. This rise reflects continued investment in high quality subscriber acquisition channels, including contractual changes with select automakers. SAC per installation was about $18 reflecting our focus on expanding penetration and encouraging adoption of SiriusXM three sixty L in the latest generation of our chipset in vehicles. These investments are part of our broader strategy to optimize expenses across revenue share, data costs and marketing.

Looking at the segments, SiriusXM revenue was $1,610,000,000 down 2% from prior year, driven by a smaller self pay subscriber base. ARPU was essentially flat at $15.22 improving our recent trends as the impact of the March rate increase continued to roll through. Segment gross profit was $966,000,000 with a gross margin of 60%. Subscriber performance improved meaningfully year over year, driven by strength in gross adds and continued strength in self pay retention. Self pay net sub additions were negative $68,000 in the second quarter, an improvement of $32,000 compared to the prior year.

This improvement reflects meaningful contributions from our new acquisition programs paired with continued low churn rate of 1.5% with strong performance across canceled demand, non pay and vehicle related deactivations. In our Pandora and off platform segment, revenue was $524,000,000 down 3% on a year over year basis. Subscriber revenue declined 6%, driven by a smaller average subscriber base, while advertising revenue fell 2% reflecting reduced advertiser demand in streaming music and broader competitive pressures. These trends were partially offset by growth in podcast monetization with podcast advertising revenue increasing substantially year over year at close to 50%. We also saw expanded reach through video and social platforms, including contributions from new creator partnerships.

Segment gross profit was $154,000,000 with a 29% margin. Our capital structure remains healthy and flexible. We ended the quarter with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.8 times. We returned approximately $137,000,000 to shareholders in the quarter by $92,000,000 in dividends and $45,000,000 share buybacks. Finally, we are reaffirming our full year 2025 guidance.

Approximately $8,500,000,000 in total revenue, dollars 2,600,000,000.0 in adjusted EBITDA and $1,150,000,000 in free cash flow, reflecting continued confidence in our strategy and execution. While the advertising environment remains the largest risk to our outlook, the company is closely monitoring the related macroeconomic trends. At the same time, we see potential upside to our free cash flow guidance given potential tax related benefits from recent legislation and some degree of lower CapEx. We plan to update you in the fall. To close, we remain confident in our strategic priorities and our ability to deliver on our financial targets.

Strong cash generation and ongoing focus on cost efficiency positions us well to navigate near term headwinds. At the same time, we're investing in what matters, our core subscription business, enhanced in car experiences and growing off platform monetization. We are optimistic about our future and committed to driving meaningful value to our listeners and shareholders. With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for Q and A.

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question and answer session. And the first question today comes from the line of Jessica Reif Ehrlich with Bank of America. Please proceed with your questions.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. A quick question on maybe what Tom just two questions, but what Tom just mentioned. On the guidance for free cash flow, it was you said you may you'll revisit maybe because of tax and CapEx, but it was a huge beat in the second quarter. I'm just wondering why not the flow through for the full year?

And then a question for Scott. You've been so creative consistently introducing new content. How are you thinking now about like trying to skew younger? And particularly when that's maybe more challenged from a subscription level, it would seem like it would be more like advertising supported. So any commentary on that would be great.

So Jessica, good morning. It's Tom. So to address the first one as it relates to free cash flow, yes, we did have a sizable beat on free cash flow year over year in the quarter. Some of it was timing and as you look at the first quarter, we were a little bit behind as far as where we were looking number wise year over year. So year to date, we think we're in pretty good shape when we look at the timing of the payments going into the full year.

We do have two things that have been going on. The team has been working on the cost structure and continuing to focus on CapEx and the optimization of CapEx. And honestly, the new tax act, we're just looking through the final strokes of it just to make sure that we got the spread of it between multiple years because you can actually spread it over twenty five and twenty six the benefit. And so we're just working through that. We should have an update on that in this fall timeframe.

Great. And on the question about getting younger, a couple of things. One, obviously, the podcast market has been right for us to look at that and still monetize heavily in that. When you look at Alex Cooper, Smartless, even Mel Robbins and Rotten Mango, those are younger than our core. And even Stephen A.

Smith, which is in radio and podcasting is a little younger than our core. So, with that, we have the ability to see how that works. Now, Cooper's music channel on Sirius is doing really well and that's obviously geared to a younger audience. So we're going to look at where that calibration is and start to see where something might be younger, but yet right for subscription. And while we're waiting that out, we're going to continue to monetize heavily younger content in the podcast market.

Yeah, I just add on to that Jessica. We just heard this week that with Edison's new Q2 report, we're going to be the number one podcast network in monthly listener reach for audiences 18 and up. So as you highlighted, we've got a much broader audience with our podcast content, and that does give us the opportunity, as Scott outlined, to perhaps bring more of those younger listeners into SiriusXM. But as you know, we're being very disciplined in focusing on our core audience there.

Our next questions come from the line of Barton Crockett with Rosenblatt Securities. Please proceed with your questions.

Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to maybe lean in a little bit more on what you're doing with podcasting and the digital side of advertising. And I guess a couple of things. One is, if you could give us just some type of sense of how to think about podcast in the mix. It was up 50%.

Just to get try and get a sense of when that's going to be large enough to really move the needle on the overall kind of ad line. And then secondarily, I know that there's some development, some efforts on your side and also some others in the sector on more fulsomely developing the digital kind of programmatic ad tech capabilities. And I was just wondering if you could update us on where you guys are with that? And how you think that could contribute over time to that ad revenue line for you?

Thanks, Barton. We are really pleased with our podcast offering. It's we were up nearly 50% in the quarter. We continue to see strong growth going forward there. In terms of the mix, so I think we've said in the past that Pandora represents about 55 to 60% of our total advertising revenue.

So that gives you some indication. The rest is obviously SiriusXM, Pandora or SiriusXM podcasting and other off platform. But we do think there's room for this to continue to grow as a portion of our total ad revenue. We have a lot of opportunities, not only just given the talent and as Scott mentioned, sort of creators coming to us because of our industry leading monetization and how we've approached cross platform distribution more broadly. We've worked really well in terms of distribution with YouTube and others to take advantage of the massive growth in video podcasting as well as monetizing through social.

So I think on the programmatic side or maybe to speak a little bit more broadly about the advertising revenue outside of podcasting on music streaming and other digital audio. Our biggest opportunity there, so Pandora RPM was down in the quarter And we continue to see challenges with really the macroeconomic backdrop and the flood of inventory from CTV. And what we need to better do is to make sure audio isn't competing with CTV, but is increasingly seen as a way to extend reach. And we've talked about this before, audio is significantly under monetized relative to other media. One of the ways to unlock that is through things like better targeting and measurement.

We did announce a deal with Innovid to improve our integration with models. We'll have more of those to come, but we are seeing some nice take up by advertisers there and it really does help extend the value of audio and prove the ROI where in this environment, obviously advertisers are really focused on making sure that they're seeing those specific returns.

Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Cahall with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your questions.

So Jennifer, I think you all have done a lot of simplifying of the in car plans. I think the most notable one is your all music plan. I think prior to this, music has always had a bit of a tiering structure to it. So can you just update us a little bit on that strategy? And like what kind of customer benefits or churn benefits you're seeing as you step into these new simplified plans?

And what does it mean for ARPU over the medium term? Should we still expect growth in the second half of the year? And then just on net adds, historically, Q4, I think, has been your best quarter for net adds. This is kind of an abnormal year given all the tariff impacts on the auto market. So how do we think about net add trends as we get through the year?

And should we still expect that year on year improvement in net adds excluding the impact from streaming? Thank you.

Sure. Thanks, Stephen. So first on pricing and packaging, I'm really pleased with the progress we've made here. We continue to focus on three primary efforts. One is enhancing value of our full price subscription plans.

As you know, we did a rate increase in March and we were really well positioned, I think, to manage through that because of the content we provided to more subscribers last fall. And that is going to be sort of an operating model for the future. In our in car modular pricing and packaging with a 9.99 price point you mentioned, we're rolling this out slowly to new customers only and trial first with alongside shorter term promos, which means they roll to these full price packages more quickly. So we have a number of different price points there as you alluded to with $9.99 being kind of the entry level price point all the way up to $25 The vast majority of customers coming through those marketing campaigns are choosing the $25 package. And the real benefit of this is that we see stronger retention ultimately on these full price packages.

So we not only get off of these longer term discounts we've been using in acquisition more quickly, but we also retain customers on these full price packages. We think that has a lot to do with the enhanced transparency there. And I'll turn to Wayne in a minute to talk a little bit about the introduction of Play, which is part of the good, better, best packaging structure we've put in place. But I really feel good about the balance of demand and retention in terms of this full packaging structure. And I think we've said in the past and we still believe that ARPU trends will continue to improve as you go out through this year, generally because of the roll through of the rate increase we did in March.

And then I'll come back to net adds after Rain comments on Play.

Yes. And thanks. As Jennifer said, I mean, this is priced Play, which we just launched about two weeks ago, is in The U. S. And Canada.

It's priced below our lowest music only offering, which you're noting. And it does extend our good, better, best pricing strategy, which we're getting much more disciplined with. And the goal here is to reach these new price sensitive audiences, but still preserving the ARPU that we have through a balanced mix of subscription and of course advertising revenue and very similar to what we've seen become quite standard with SVODs. So we're still testing price points as we're moving through, but we expect it to stay under seven for the MSRP to the user, of course, with the advertising revenue on top of that. And as noted in the last call and as noted elsewhere, a big part of this is being thoughtfully as we thoughtfully roll this out and being guided by some of the investments that we've made in our Martech stack to be able to target to people who we found in the past or we have targeted and modeled as much more price sensitive or in the past have been guided towards other plans or deep discounts from the beginning.

So back to net adds and the trend line, I do expect to see some change in seasonality this year relative to years past. And some of that has to do with the year over year comps and the fact that we had a relatively strong quarter in the fourth quarter last year on streaming. So just maybe to give you a bit more color on that. Obviously with the suspension of the federal regulation on click to cancel, we should see a slightly better outcome as a result of not having that in place, although it is rolling out in several states. So we continue to watch that.

But on the streaming side, we would expect about a reduction of 300,000 net adds this year on streaming subs. So that gives you some sense as when we talk a bit about that we would be better year over year absent some of these one time items or pull forward impacts. It gives you a better sense as to how that looks. On the in car side of the business, I feel really good about what we've been delivering. We are really focused on executing against the strategy reset we did in December, focusing on our in car business.

We have a number of acquisition programs that are delivering better demand ultimately and we continue to see very impressively low churn and that has a lot to do with increased engagement and I think we have more to come there.

The next questions are from the line of David Joyce with Seaport Research Partners. Please proceed with your question.

Thank you. A couple of things. I was wondering about the expenses in G and A and what was driving the legal expenses and was any of that kind of non recurring? And then secondly, a little bit more detail please on the strength in podcasting ad revenue. Are you seeing greater marketer adoption?

Like are there more marketers coming to the platform? Or are they allocating more? Or is the or is it the volume the trend of adding more content or monetizing more of that content, just pricing and volume kind of concept, if you could provide some more color there? Thanks.

David, it's Tom. Good morning. To answer the first part of your question as it relates to expenses, in G and A, we have a legal settlement for about $28,000,000 in this year. So that skewed the expense on the G and A side. And also just as background, last year, we had an insurance recovery of legal expenses, which was $10,000,000 benefit last year.

So that closes the broader differential as it relates to G and A. And overall, SG and A is slightly down because of the reduction we've done in sales and marketing in the quarter.

Yes. And on podcasting, it's really all of the above. We continue to attract more creators to our sales and tech platforms. We are distributing broadly, of course, their podcasts and including video distribution in many cases. We're helping monetize across audio, video and social with our Creator Connect products.

And we've seen both improvements in pricing. We're taking advantage of the strong demand by including more inventory units in the podcast in certain cases. I think advertisers generally want to be associated with this great talent. So there's a real opportunity to continue to expand on that demand and add to their buying, their media plans, a broader set of our inventory across satellite broadcast and streaming, especially as we bring more measurement capabilities. And this includes on the satellite broadcast side, bringing more visibility into 360L with ad replacement capability that we think will be coming online towards the end of the year.

Our next question is from the line of Ketan Maral with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your questions.

Great. Good morning and thanks for taking the questions. Maybe following up on Steve's question on net adds, you mentioned that the full year subscriber outlook hasn't changed despite the encouraging strength in the quarter given the expected headwinds you previously called out dragging the back half. So I was hoping you could unpack the Q2 trends a bit more and talk about the forward outlook. Thinking about Q2, I'm not sure how much you can share, but how should we think about the mix of the upside in terms of core trends being better than expected from the benefits from the new acquisition initiatives and continued execution on churn as opposed to maybe some of the timing shifts on the one off headwinds.

And longer term, maybe thinking about the new acquisition initiatives, can you maybe expand on the uptick you're seeing from what you have in place today and what the pipeline of initiatives looks like longer term, whether that's in the back half of this year or even 2026, just in terms of giving us better confidence on the trajectory of sustainability of improvement in core net adds? Thank you.

Sure. So I'd say on net adds for the quarter, we saw year over year improvements on both the acquisition side and the retention side. So very low churn, strong performance across cancel demand, non pay, vehicle related and came in sort of slightly better absent the rounding on the churn rate. So, we feel really good about that especially again with the ratings having gone in place you know, in March. And then on the acquisition side, it had a lot to do with the new programs we've been putting in place over the last, say, twelve to fifteen months.

And, you know, these include the three year OEM programs where dealers are ordering three years of SiriusXM with their vehicle orders and we continue to roll that out to more and more OEMs. We announced that we added Ford and that'll be launching later this year. So, I think we'll continue to see strong performance there. And then we have things like enhancement of data in our used car funnel, which is just adding volume to our opportunities of subscribers coming through on the used car side of the business. We have our podcast plus and we have of course EV launches that we've put in place.

So I would expect some of those to continue to contribute and perhaps on a larger level. And of course, we've got a number of initiatives in place. As Wayne discussed with Play and the rollout of our broader pricing and packaging structure, we're selectively adding content like Steve and A. We are continuing our three sixty rollout and adding features there. We're improving our marketing capabilities.

And all of these things are going to take time. But I am pleased with the execution we have on these various initiatives. We've kind of talked about these acquisition programs as helping improve the business while we get some of these bigger capabilities online. And I think those are the ones that are ultimately going to help move us to a place where we are stabilizing subscribers and revenue and setting ourselves up for future growth.

And Kuck, and I'd only add that this is the fifth quarter that we've beaten year over year self pay net adds, which we've got a good trend. We as Jennifer outlined, a lot of these initiatives are starting to click.

The next question comes from the line of Cameron Perrone with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your questions.

Thanks. Good morning. A couple if I can. First for Jennifer, Wayne can weigh in. You called out leveraging AI to generate approved voice creation in the release in your comments.

I was wondering if you could speak a little more on how you envision leveraging AI, Gen whatever you want to term it by going forward, both in advertising, but also more broadly across the business going forward? And then one for Tom on capital allocation. You were a little bit more active this quarter in terms of share repurchase activity. Could you talk a little bit about how your thinking is evolving and how you weigh balancing moving towards your target leverage range, also buying back stock? Thanks.

Yes. Thanks, Cameron. So on AI, we've talked a lot about how we've used conversational AI with Sierra to help on the customer service side at SiriusXM. And we're really pleased with the results we're seeing there. We continue to see strong business metrics, good and solid customer response and lower cost of course.

And we are containing a significant amount of our chat messages through Sierra and we're starting to ramp up the capabilities in voice as well. And there's a lot more to come in terms of better building out an engine to offer the right packages to the right customers based on listening data and other data. So we're just getting started there. On the agreement with Narrative, so this is really about using synthetic voices. Actual sorry, it's actually using real talent voices and approved by the talent to be able to create versioning.

And we'll be working closely with our ad maker tool with Studio Resonate to be able to deliver this. And it just provides an opportunity for advertisers to scale their campaigns much more significantly and allows us to work with a broader set of advertisers. And then Wayne, do want to touch on some other areas for AI opportunities?

Yes, for sure. I mean, outside of Sierra, which we've had so much success, there's other places where we've been using it that's maybe a little bit less visible, such as in search and adding to our capabilities in semantic and relational search, an example, where seeing much, much better results than we had before for users. But at the same time, our costs have been taken down to a fraction of where they were before. Have a lot of our new marketing initiatives that are, of course, being driven by what we're able to do with AI, everything from being able to use some of those capabilities of Salesforce to some of the targeting capabilities that are making our rollout of play so carefully targeted to avoid trade downs. We have other things that we hope to announce soon and things like tagging and improving our search abilities for our broader corpus across all of our content.

And Cameron, just to close down, I mean, I would step back for a second and say, we're very happy, as we outlined in the release, of where we are on our cost savings initiatives. We're focused on, obviously, optimizing the cost structure, optimizing our CapEx. We've made a lot of progress. I think there's a lot of initiatives we have going on. We're very happy with that.

So looking broadly at generating our free cash flow, we continue to be focused in that area. As far as the capital allocation, we continue and we hold to our previous format or premises. We're reinvesting in the business, which we've done in the instances Smith and some of the other things that we've invested more deeply in. We're maintaining our dividend at the current level right now at 4.5% yield approximately.

We're delevering. In the quarter, we did delever and pay down some of the term loan A. So that is our third priority. And then buybacks, which came in at $45,000,000 for the quarter, was a little higher, but obviously, it's dependent on the stock price. But we're staying to the same structure that we've had on capital allocation.

We're happy with the way it's structured and we're going to continue to work on free cash flow and continue to work on paying down our debt and leaning towards the back half of next year more focused on buyback.

Thank you. Our next and final question is from the line of Steven LeShak with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

Maybe one on the ad supported subscription plan. Jennifer Wayne, I'm curious, you called out the $100,000,000 customer opportunity over the long term. I'm curious if could talk a little bit more about the pace of that rollout and what's going to govern the pace of that product rollout over the next couple of years? How much of it is supply demand driven on the ad market side with creating a marketplace for advertising versus maybe something on the technological or the way you plan to set this product in amongst the different tiers? And then second on conversion trends, Jennifer, just to be curious if you could update us on the conversion trends you're seeing across the base, new versus you, high end versus low end, any certain demos that are standing out to you or that changed meaningfully over the last couple of quarters for better or for worse? Thank you.

Thanks. And I appreciate the question. And so the way I would think about the rollout for us as we're moving through this is we're following the plan we had talked a little bit about quarter where we're selecting in the very beginning cohorts across new and used in a very targeted way. They're focused on people where in the past we have had not had the same success from a conversion perspective. So we selected an initial group and locked that on in about two weeks ago. And so right now, what we're going do is we're going to continue to build the number of cohorts we're targeting with this. And then also, as we select those cohorts, as you know, every day, those volumes fill then in those cohorts.

So we're going to continue to build the number of people who this is available to. And then as we're going forward, in addition to that, inside the actual package itself, we're adding more added supported channels. So that is we're doing that, then we also add replacement and then that improves overall in addition to the things that Jennifer had said in the prepared remarks, the advertising and monetization opportunities. So as we get more subscribers, we also get more ad slots and then those ad slots, of course, are we're able to monetize that more effectively with new tools. So and then between now and the end of the year, we are ramping the number of cars where this is available.

So it is the target is to get to about 100,000,000 cars by the end of the year and more as we move forward. So and as we're moving through in Canada, we're here, we're using this for initial trials in Canada. We're trying we're launching it with saves, we're going to thoughtfully extend where we're testing and launching through saves, win backs, not just trialers.

Yes. So I think we'll get a lot more information over the next through the rest of the year and would expect us to contribute more in 2026 to results. Just on conversion rates, so we are seeing the rate of decline, at least on the new car side, slowing a bit. And I think there's a lot to do with 360L penetration and our improved results there. Of course, the new car side, we're at about 50% of new car sales that have 360L and that will continue to grow with the launch of some bigger programs in the early part of next year.

So the conversion rates on new, again, the rate of decline is slowing a bit. We're seeing a little less of that on used as we continue to expand. Mean, penetration now is at about 60% on the used car side. But what I would just note is that we brought a lot of these other acquisition programs to market, adjusting our availability and distribution really based on our two core strengths, our in car availability and our content offering. So you see that come through in the three year programs with OEMs, the enhanced data that we have with Lexus Nexus, our EV launches.

And this all takes advantage of, you know, what we have in terms of unmatched distribution in the car. But then on the content side, you know, we've taken advantage of the great podcast portfolio we have. We've launched podcast plus as a subscription available through Apple and everywhere else through supporting cast. And these are just unique opportunities that we have given the strength that we have on the in car side and our content offering. And those are not necessarily going to show up in conversion rates.

So while we watch conversion rates very closely as a mechanism to assess demand, it really goes beyond that in terms of looking at demand to these other programs.

Thank you very much everybody for your participation in today's call.

Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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