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F500 2023 057 Raytheon Technologies_PW-WPB-A10-Test-Stand-PW1100G-JM_Engine

The aerospace and defense industry manufacturer had another year of improved sales in 2022, and in April 2023 reported $21 billion in new orders and a record backlog of $180 billion across its portfolio. 
<ul> 
 	<li>Raytheon has set out to realign its business units into three segments—Collins Aerospace, Pratt &amp; Whitney, and Raytheon—to more fully leverage its scale and realize cost savings.</li> 
 	<li>The post-COVID travel recovery strengthened sales in the quarter ended in April 2023, as Raytheon’s Collins Aerospace unit drew in $5.58 billion and its Pratt &amp; Whitney engine unit sales trailed just behind.</li> 
 	<li>In April 2023 a former Pratt &amp; Whitney manager was among a handful of aerospace industry executives who were acquitted of criminal charges in a case brought by the Justice Department that accused the group of agreeing to not hire the others’ workers. Still, workers who say they were harmed by the alleged conspiracy brought a separate civil suit against Raytheon in Connecticut federal court.</li> 
</ul>

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F500 2022-Raytheon Technologies

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G500-2021-183-RAYTHEON TECHNOLOGIES

<span data-sheets-value="{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;The newly created aerospace giant emerged in April 2020 from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon Co. Former UT CEO Greg Hayes took over as chief executive, while Raytheon boss Thomas Kennedy became the board’s executive chairman. The pair focused the new company on winning more government orders, including a $320 million NASA contract to support operations at the International Space Station. It was a strategy created partly out of necessity, because Raytheon’s other major customer base—the commercial airline industry—was decimated by the pandemic. The company laid off 16,500 workers and cut costs by $2 billion; even so, operating profits at Raytheon’s two aerospace units dropped 67% and 131% in 2020 compared with the prior year. &quot;}" data-sheets-userformat="{&quot;2&quot;:12673,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;10&quot;:2,&quot;11&quot;:4,&quot;15&quot;:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;16&quot;:11}">The newly created aerospace giant emerged in April 2020 from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon Co. Former UT CEO Greg Hayes took over as chief executive, while Raytheon boss Thomas Kennedy became the board’s executive chairman. The pair focused the new company on winning more government orders, including a $320 million NASA contract to support operations at the International Space Station. It was a strategy created partly out of necessity, because Raytheon’s other major customer base—the commercial airline industry—was decimated by the pandemic. The company laid off 16,500 workers and cut costs by $2 billion; even so, operating profits at Raytheon’s two aerospace units dropped 67% and 131% in 2020 compared with the prior year.

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F500-2021-57-Raytheon Technologies

<span data-sheets-value="{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;The newly created aerospace giant emerged in April 2020 from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon Co. Former UT CEO Greg Hayes took over as chief executive, while Raytheon boss Thomas Kennedy became the board’s executive chairman. The pair focused the new company on winning more government orders, including a $320 million NASA contract to support operations at the International Space Station. It was a strategy created partly out of necessity, because Raytheon’s other major customer base—the commercial airline industry—was decimated by the pandemic. The company laid off 16,500 workers and cut costs by $2 billion; even so, operating profits at Raytheon’s two aerospace units dropped 67% and 131% in 2020 compared with the prior year. &quot;}" data-sheets-userformat="{&quot;2&quot;:12673,&quot;3&quot;:{&quot;1&quot;:0},&quot;10&quot;:2,&quot;11&quot;:4,&quot;15&quot;:&quot;Calibri&quot;,&quot;16&quot;:11}">The newly created aerospace giant emerged in April 2020 from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon Co. Former UT CEO Greg Hayes took over as chief executive, while Raytheon boss Thomas Kennedy became the board’s executive chairman. The pair focused the new company on winning more government orders, including a $320 million NASA contract to support operations at the International Space Station. It was a strategy created partly out of necessity, because Raytheon’s other major customer base—the commercial airline industry—was decimated by the pandemic. The company laid off 16,500 workers and cut costs by $2 billion; even so, operating profits at Raytheon’s two aerospace units dropped 67% and 131% in 2020 compared with the prior year.

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G500-2020-119-Raytheon-Technologies

Raytheon Technologies was created in April of this year when United Technologies merged its aerospace units Pratt &amp; Whitney and Collins Aerospace with the Raytheon Company in a deal valued at $86 billion. United spun off its Carrier HVAC and Otis elevator businesses in separate transactions. Greg Hayes, who was serving as United’s CEO, continues in that role at the newly merged company, which specializes in everything from aircraft to missile defense systems.

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F500-2020-108-Raytheon

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RTX, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers in the United States and internationally. It operates through three firms: Collins Aerospace, Pratt &amp; Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins Aerospace Systems segment designs, produces, and supports cabin interiors, including oxygen systems, food and beverage preparation, storage and galley systems, and lavatory and wastewater management systems; battlespace, test and training range systems, crew escape systems, and simulation and training solutions. Pratt &amp; Whitney supplies aircraft engines for commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation customers; and produces, sells, and services military and commercial auxiliary power units. Raytheon provides defensive and offensive threat detection, tracking, and mitigation capabilities for U.S., foreign government, and commercial customers. The company, incorporated in 1934, was formerly known as Raytheon Technologies Corp. and changed its name to RTX Corp. in July 2023.

Q2 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2025

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q1 2025

Q4 2024

RTX (RTX): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings

legacy

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the RTX Second Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. My name is Latif, and I will be your operator for today. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. On the call today are Chris Scalio, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Neil Mitchell, Chief Financial Officer and Nathan Ware, Vice President of Investor Relations. This call is being webcast live on the Internet, and there is a presentation available for download from RTX website at www.rtx.com.

Please note, except where otherwise noted, the company will speak to results from continuing operations, excluding acquisition accounting adjustments, and net nonrecurring and or significant items often referred to by management as other significant items. The company also reminds listeners that the earnings and cash flow expectations and any other forward looking statements provided in this call are subject to risks and uncertainties. RTX SEC filings, including its forms eight ks, 10 Q, and 10 ks provide details on important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in the forward looking statements. Once the call becomes open for questions, we ask that you limit your first round to one call one question per caller to give everyone the opportunity to participate. To ask a question, you will need to press star one 1 on your telephone.

You may ask further questions by reinserting yourself into the queue as time permits. With that, I will turn the call over to Mr. Calio.

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. We delivered very solid results in the second quarter as we continue to execute in a dynamic operating environment. On the top line, sales were up 9% organically year over year, including 16% commercial aftermarket growth, continuing the momentum from Q1. Segment operating profit was up 12% year over year, supported by growth across all three of our segments. And free cash flow for the quarter was approximately breakeven as we previously discussed, primarily related to the four week work stoppage at Pratt in May, which we expect to recover in the second half of this year.

We also continue to see exceptionally strong demand for our products, with a Q2 book to bill of 1.86, and our backlog now stands at $236,000,000,000 up 15% year over year and 9% sequentially driven by several notable wins in the quarter. Pratt booked over 1,000 GTF engine orders, including up to 177 aircraft for Wizz Air and 91 aircraft for Frontier Airlines as they further expand their GTF powered fleets. And Raytheon booked over $5,000,000,000 of integrated air and missile defense awards, including $1,100,000,000 for AIM-9X effectors. This is the largest order in the history of the program and will benefit The U. S.

And international customers. I'll now turn to the current operating environment. In commercial aerospace, OE production was strong and in line with our expectations for the first half of the year, and we remain positive on the ramp continuing in the back half, supporting growing demand for our products. Global RPKs are also expected to continue to grow over 5% for the year, which supports low retirement levels and strong commercial aftermarket demand. For example, our V2500 powered aircraft fleet has seen a 1% retirement rate so far this year.

On the defense side, the growing need for air dominance is creating unprecedented demand for our core defense products across RTX. The US budget reconciliation legislation that passed earlier this month contains over $150,000,000,000 for additional defense spending, with about $50,000,000,000 of funding for Golden Dome and munitions, again, both core areas for RTX. In longer term, NATO allies have agreed to increase core defense spending to 3.5% of GDP over the next decade, with an increased focus on integrated air and missile defense. To support the growing demand across Europe, we continue to expand our regional partnerships. For example, in the quarter Raytheon entered into an industrial cooperation agreement with the Spanish Ministry of Defense that will support the production ramp for Patriot in the local region.

So overall, demand remains strong across our end markets and supports continued top line growth across the business. On the trade front, it continues to be fluid, but our outlook on the impact of tariffs has improved for the year as there have been some positive announcements to date, such as The UK agreement, which provides exemptions for aerospace components. We also continue to improve our ability to mitigate tariff headwinds, including optimizing material flow where possible and through pricing actions. As a result of these developments and our strong first half performance, we're increasing our adjusted sales outlook for the full year. We're also revising our adjusted EPS outlook to incorporate drop through on the higher sales, continued cost discipline across the business, and our current assessment of tariff impacts.

And for free cash flow, we are maintaining our full year outlook. Neil will take you through these details in a few minutes, but before he does, let me provide an update on the progress we're making on our strategic priorities on slide four. First is executing on our commitments. On the GTF Fleet Management Plan, our financial and technical outlook remains consistent with our prior comments. Isothermal forging output was up 12% versus the prior year and 10% sequentially, which supported a 22% year over year improvement in PW1100 MRR output this quarter despite the Pratt Work stoppage.

And we remain on track for over a 30% MRR output improvement for the full year, which is the key enabler to reducing AOGs in the second half. And at Raytheon, the team is leveraging our core operating system to significantly increase production this year for multiple sectors, including GemT, Coyote, and AMRAAM. In the quarter, both GemT and Coyote saw output more than double year over year. Next is innovating for future growth. Autonomy and AI are significant parts of our RTX cross company technology roadmap.

Earlier this month, we announced a new partnership with Shield AI to integrate AI based sensor and target recognition capabilities into select Raytheon products. This includes loitering munitions and our multispectral targeting system, which is a battle tested sensor package that provides long range surveillance and target tracking for a variety of munitions. Also in the quarter, Raytheon announced a collaboration with Kongsberg to co develop subassemblies of the Ghost Eye radar. The Ghost Eye system adapts the fundamental technology of LTANs into a smaller, three sixty degree solution for advanced medium range tracking that will detect drones, cruise missiles, and other airborne threats. This system builds on the battle tested NASAM solution, which has 13 partner countries and over 1,000 intercepts over just the last few years, and it's another example of how we're expanding our regional partnerships in Europe.

And lastly, we continue to leverage the breadth and scale of RTX. Across the company, we're implementing our proprietary data analytics and AI platform to accelerate our backlog and increase productivity across our operations. This platform is our digital backbone that connects our enterprise systems, thousands of shop floor machines, and millions of hours of product data to enable more efficient operations and smarter and faster decision making. For example, in Collins Avionics business, our engineers are using this platform to reduce software development times by around 30%, allowing us to deliver faster and more frequent software upgrades to our customers. Shifting to the portfolio, in the quarter, we entered into an agreement to sell Collins' Simmons Precision Products business for $765,000,000 And yesterday, we completed the $1,800,000,000 sale of our actuation business.

Both transactions highlight our efforts to focus and invest in our core capabilities, with proceeds to be used to further strengthen our balance sheet. Lastly, we raised our dividend by 8% in the quarter, reflecting our confidence in executing our backlog and the long term cash generation capability of our company. With this dividend increase, we now expect to deliver $37,000,000,000 of capital to shareowners from the date of the merger through the end of this year, and we remain committed to a long term capital return policy that includes growing our dividend and returning excess capital to shareowners. Overall, we continue to make steady progress on our key priorities, and I'm pleased with the performance and momentum through the first half of the year. With that, let me turn it over to Neil to take you through the results and our updated outlook for the full

year. Neil? All right, Chris. Thanks. I'm on slide five.

In the second quarter, adjusted sales of 21,600,000,000 were up 9% on both an adjusted and organic basis. Growth was led by strength across all three channels with commercial aftermarket up 16%, commercial OE up 7%, and defense up 6%. Segment operating profit of $2,700,000,000 was up 12% driven by drop through on higher volume and improved defense mix, and we saw 30 basis points of consolidated segment margin expansion. Adjusted earnings per share of $1.56 was up 11% from the prior year driven by segment operating profit growth and a lower effective tax rate. Earnings per share included approximately $06 of higher tariff costs.

On a GAAP basis, EPS from continuing operations was 1.22 and included $0.28 of acquisition accounting adjustments and $06 of restructuring and other items. As expected, free cash flow was an outflow of $72,000,000 This included approximately $250,000,000 for powder metal related compensation and $175,000,000 related to tariff impacts. So overall, our first half results were strong, driven by end market demand and execution across all three segments. Now let's turn to slide six and I'll take you through our outlook. Starting with the top line, given our strong first half performance, we are increasing our full year adjusted sales outlook to a range of $84,750,000,000 to $85,500,000,000 up from our prior range of $83,000,000,000 to $84,000,000,000 This translates to between 67% organic sales growth for the year, up from our prior range of 4% to 6%.

Looking at it by channel at the RTX level and adjusting for divestitures, we now expect commercial aftermarket sales to grow low teens, up from our prior outlook of around 10% growth. On the commercial OE side, sales are expected to grow high single digits year over year, up from our prior outlook of mid single digits. And we continue to expect defense sales to grow mid single digits across the company. On the bottom line, we continue to improve our ability to mitigate tariff headwinds, including expanding USMCA coverage, qualifying additional parts for military duty free exemptions, and maximizing the use of free trade zones in addition to the items that Chris mentioned. As a result, our current assessment of 2025 tariff costs net of mitigations is around $500,000,000 with approximately $125,000,000 already incurred in the first half of the year.

In addition, we see the associated cash impact to be around $600,000,000 for the full year, again, a notable improvement. We have incorporated these impacts into our updated full year outlook. With respect to taxes, we are pleased with several elements of the recently enacted legislation that restores the full expensing of research and development costs and maintains stability in the corporate tax rate, and we continue to expect an effective tax rate of 19.5% for the full year. In addition, improved operating performance, including additional profit growth at Raytheon and volume drop through at Pratt and Collins is providing $0.10 of EPS improvement, which partially offsets the $0.30 tariff headwind. All in, we now see adjusted EPS at a new range of $5.8 to $5.95 for the full year versus our prior range of $6 to $6.15 On free cash flow, we continue to expect between 7,000,000,000 and $7,500,000,000 for the full year as the headwind from tariffs will be offset by the benefit from improved cash taxes.

The primary drivers of our second half cash flow growth will come from segment profit and working capital improvements, including the recovery from the work stoppage at Pratt. With that, let me hand it over to Nathan to take you through the segment results for the second quarter.

Okay. Thanks, Neil. Starting with Collins on Slide seven. Sales were $7,600,000,000 in the quarter, up 9% on both an adjusted and organic basis, driven by strength in Commercial Aftermarket and Defense. Adjusting for divestitures, by channel, Commercial Aftermarket sales were up 13%, driven by a 20% increase in Mods and Upgrades, a 12% increase in Parts and Repair, and a 9% increase in Provisioning.

Defense sales were up 11%, driven by higher volume across multiple programs and platforms, including the F-thirty five and the Survivable Airborne Operations Center programs. Commercial OE sales were up 1% versus the prior year, as expected lower volume on the seven thirty seven MAX was more than offset by higher volume on other platforms, including the seven eighty seven. Adjusted operating profit of $1,200,000,000 was up $104,000,000 versus the prior year as drop through on higher commercial aftermarket and defense volume, favorable defense mix, and lower R and D expense more than offset unfavorable commercial OE mix and the impact of higher tariffs across the business. Turning to Collins' full year outlook, we now expect sales to grow mid single digits on an adjusted basis and high single digits organically, up from our prior range of up low single digits on an adjusted basis and up mid single digits organically, driven by strength in commercial aftermarket and defense. With respect to operating profit, we now expect growth between $275,000,000 and $350,000,000 versus 2024, compared to our prior expectation of up between $500,000,000 and $600,000,000 driven by the expected impact of tariffs, which was partially offset by increased volume drop through.

Shifting to Pratt and Whitney on slide eight. Despite the impact of the four week work stoppage that occurred in the quarter, sales of $7,600,000,000 were up 12% on both an adjusted and organic basis, driven by strength in commercial aftermarket and commercial OE. Commercial aftermarket sales were up 19%, driven by higher volume in large commercial engines and favorable mix in Pratt Canada. Commercial OE sales were up 15%, driven by favorable mix in large commercial engines and higher Pratt Canada volume. In military engines, sales were flat, driven by F135 volume, including the impact of contract award timing.

Adjusted operating profit of $6.00 $8,000,000 was up $71,000,000 versus the prior year as favorable commercial OE mix, drop through on higher commercial aftermarket volume, and lower R and D expense more than offset unfavorable commercial aftermarket mix, the impact of higher tariffs across the business, and the four week work stoppage. Turning to Pratt's full year outlook, we now expect sales to grow low double digits on an adjusted and organic basis, an increase from our prior range of up high single digit, driven by strength in commercial aftermarket and commercial OE mix. With respect to operating profit, we now expect growth between 200,000,000 and $275,000,000 versus 2024, compared to our prior expectation of up between $325,000,000 and 400,000,000 driven by the expected impact of tariffs, partially offset by increased volume drop through. Now turning to Raytheon on slide nine. Sales of $7,000,000,000 in the quarter were up 6% on both an adjusted and organic basis, driven by higher volume on land and air defense systems, including International Patriot and NESAMs, and higher volume on naval programs, including SPY-six and EVOLVE Sea Sparrow missile.

This was partially offset by expected lower development program volume within air and space defense systems. Adjusted operating profit of $8.00 $9,000,000 was up $100,000,000 versus the prior year, driven by favorable program mix, including International Patriot, and higher volume. Bookings in the quarter were $9,400,000,000 resulting in a book to bill of 1,350,000,000.00 and a backlog of $63,500,000,000 On a rolling twelve month basis, Raytheon's book to bill is 1.49. Other key awards in the quarter included over $1,200,000,000 for SM3 production and approximately $650,000,000 for SPY six production. Turning to Raytheon's full year outlook, we continue to expect sales to grow low single digits on an adjusted basis and mid single digits organically, with operating profit growth between $225,000,000 and $300,000,000 versus 2024, up from our prior expectation of between 150,000,000 and $225,000,000 driven by favorable international program mix.

With that, I'll hand it back over to Chris for some closing remarks.

Okay. Thanks, Nathan. I'm on slide 10. We have great momentum across RTX through the first half of the year. We delivered strong top and bottom line growth, and our end markets remain robust, as seen by our recent customer wins and 1.86 book to bill in the quarter, and our backlog now stands at $236,000,000,000 Looking toward the second half of the year, we are focused on what we can control, executing our backlog, driving cost discipline, and investing in innovation. With that, let's open it up for questions.

In the interest of time and to allow for broader participation, you are asked to limit yourself to one question. To ask a question, you will need to press 11 on your telephone. Our first question comes from the line of Jason Gursky of Citi. Please go ahead, Jason.

morning, Hey, Chris, I was wondering if you wouldn't spend a few minutes on Raytheon and maybe talk about the multiyear outlook here. You've got a really solid book to bill here over the trailing twelve months as you just highlighted and you also highlighted the upward pressure on budgets both domestically and internationally, the partnerships that you're setting up in Europe for Patriot production for example. So just kind of curious when you think based on the feedback that you're getting from customers, we might begin to see some awards flowing on some of this outlook and how quickly you think you can convert that into revenue once you begin seeing awards for example on Golden Dome. And just kind of the opportunities and challenges that you have ahead of you to go convert all of this pipeline and backlog into revenue? Just kind of what the multiyear outlook looks like here from a growth perspective. Thanks for the thoughts.

Yeah. Well, thanks, Jason. And I think you sort of led off with how I would start this story, which is really on the demand profile. I mean Raytheon did have another very strong quarter of demand, a 1.35 book to bill. If you look at our backlog, since the end of twenty twenty three, it's up about 25%.

And it's in those areas, Jason, that we've said before, are really core, right? Integrated air and missile defense, sectors, sensing. You mentioned the international demand, again, Europe, the 3.5%, that's going to play out over the next decade or so. We continue to see strong demand in MENA Region and Asia Pacific given the INDOPACOM threat. If you just think also just about reconciliation, you mentioned it, dollars 25,000,000,000 for Golden Dome, another $25,000,000,000 for effectors.

We think Golden Dome in particular is really well aligned with our core capabilities and product portfolio. Again, battle tested and proven systems at each layer. Think Patriot, Naysams, Coyote, additional levels of potential protection on the coast with our TPE-two radar and the long range SM-3s. And so really, demand across the board. And our focus this year has really been on ramping.

We're going to see significant increases this year on a number of key programs. GemT and Coyote are going to double in particular, AMRAAM. And so when we talk about ramping, it's about capacity and it's about the supply chain. We're investing about $250,000,000 this year in capacity, Tucson, McKinney, Camden, and we're injecting people into the supply chain, which is again why you're seeing material growth for the ninth straight quarter at Raytheon. So the demand signal is again super strong.

We continue to form key partnerships in Europe, set up second sources, co production, all the things to help drive this backlog and execute on this demand. I won't speculate on when some of this stuff like Golden Dome turns into sales and awards, but, you know, there's a significant opportunity there for us, and, you know, we are well positioned and highly engaged in that process.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Robert Stallard of Vertical Research. Please go ahead, Robert.

Chris and Neil, thanks for the update on the tariff situation, which is obviously tough to predict. But I was wondering if you could give us a bit more detail on some of the moving parts you've given in Q2 versus Q1, whether you factored in or seen any negative developments on the demand side, particularly from U. S. Airlines? Thank you.

Yeah. Well, I'll start on tariff front, Rob, give a little more color there. As we said upfront in the prepared remarks, our initial outlook was $850,000,000 We've now reduced that to $500,000,000 About half of that reduction comes from the reduced rates and the pausing. The other half comes from the improved mitigation actions that we've talked about. Think USMCA, think some certain pricing actions, optimizing the flow of material around our network.

So that's the tariff piece. And again, as an overall sort of macro look at tariffs, I think countries want to get deals done. I think there's going to continue to be some escalation and flare ups. That's sort of the nature of how these things work. But I think even with some of the more difficult negotiations that are out there, generally speaking, people want stability, they want predictability, and we're confident that those deals will get done.

We haven't seen it at this stage bleed through into demand. You just look at the commercial aftermarket here in the first half, again, really strong 18% organic growth. We've seen increased shop visits in the platforms, both the V2500 and the Pratt Canada. If you look at Collins, all their channels had book to bills over one, some very strong demand on mods upgrades. And again, on a more macro level, I would say the consumer sentiment index continues to rise.

Unemployment remains low. I think the airline commentary has been around a more stable environment, which provides a good platform for continued strength in the aftermarket. So again, I think we've got our arms around tariffs as we see them today and continue to see strength in the market.

And Rob, let me give you a little bit of color on the segments. So if you think about the $500,000,000 about $275,000,000 pertains to Collins, and that's reflected in their revised outlook, and about $225,000,000 relates to Pratt and Whitney. And if you think about the second quarter, so what's behind us, we got about $100,000,000 or so behind us, 60,000,000 of it is sitting inside of the Collins numbers in the second quarter and $40,000,000 is sitting inside of the Pratt numbers. And I already mentioned how much cash we've incurred to date in terms of an outflow. It's about 175,000,000 So we've got about $425,000,000 to go for the rest of the year, just a little extra color from a segment perspective.

Our next question comes from the line of Myles Walton of Wolfe Research.

Thanks. Good morning. Maybe just one clarification first and then a question. So the clarification, in terms of the tariff assumptions, are you assuming that they revert on August 1 back to the Liberation Day levels or the new levels or just they continue at pace where they are. And then the real question is on the reconciliation bill.

If you can just put a finer point on the specific benefit you got from the R and D capitalization reversal and how that proceeds over the coming few years? Thanks.

Sure. Thanks, Myles, for the question. Just to clarify on the tariff piece. So our $500,000,000 contemplates the rates that are currently in effect today. So we haven't contemplated something going up on August 1 or anything that might transpire after that.

However, I'll make a couple of comments on that. The first is, should rates change, go up, we'll probably see about a couple of months of that hit the income statement. The rest would sit in inventory at the end of the year. We think that between the way we're looking at the year in terms of our recent opportunities as well as the range we provided on the earnings per share, we'd be able to absorb that. I would say the same thing on the free cash flow side.

So that's why we've got a range around those two particular metrics. And as we sit here today, there's still a lot to learn over the next couple of months, and we'll be monitoring that. And of course, as Chris just said, we're working our mitigations to continue to offset any additional headwind that might come. On the tax side, again, pleased to see the permanent restoration of R and D in particular. As you all know, the tax rules are very complicated.

So we're dealing with a number of provisions that are embedded in that legislation. We do see a little bit of income statement headwind this year. We're offsetting that with some other operational tax items for the year. So no net impact there, keeping our effective tax rate at 19.5%. On the cash side, as you probably all know, this bill was effective as of the beginning of twenty twenty five.

And so again, a lot of complexities there. We do expect a cash benefit to come this year. It's fairly moderate. It probably accounts for 25%, 30% of the offset to the tariff headwind that we're seeing this year. But we'll expect that to continue to be a benefit going forward in 2026, '27 and '28 as we continue to work through the varying provisions of that bill, including the capitalization versus expensing of research and development and how we handle that and the interplay with some corporate alternative minimum taxes.

So very complex, but big picture, it's favorable, great to see the corporate tax rate maintained at 21%. I think that's really important for American companies to maintain our competitive global edge. And we're continuing to invest research and development here in The United States as well as capital, and we get a bonus deduction for that as well from the provision. So all good, and you'll see that in the numbers as we get into next year.

Our next question comes from the line of Scott Deuschla of Deutsche Bank.

Sorry to ask another question on tariffs. But Neil, should we expect the net impact of tariffs to decline in 2026 relative to 2025 assuming these current rates hold? And then does that net impact decline more for cash than does for EBIT as you go into next year?

Scott, thanks for the question. I don't want to get too far ahead of us for 2026, but what I will tell you is that we're continuing to aggressively work the mitigation strategies here. We've been very successful in identifying opportunities to qualify more of our imports under the USMCA provisions, military duty free exemptions, putting bonds in place for goods that get re exported. So I think we have a number of things Chris alluded to, some of the pricing actions as well. Right now, I would say, we've made good progress there, and I'm seeing good traction.

Don't want to put a number on it today, but our intent here is to continue to aggressively mitigate these headwinds so that we don't see a larger year over year headwind coming into 'twenty six.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Sheila Kahyaoglu of Jefferies. Please go ahead, Sheila.

Good morning, guys, and thank you so much. Maybe we could talk about the core business because it performed very well at Pratt. So the guidance is now double digit aftermarket growth for Pratt after 24% in H1 implies a steep deceleration. How are we thinking about aftermarket, whether it's spares, work scopes, the 22% MRO output on GTF despite the strike? And I think you mentioned B2500 retirements at 1% year to date.

So maybe just based on GE commentary last week, they're extending their shop visit peak as well. How are you thinking about volume profit drop through on the two large commercial engine programs?

Hey, good morning, Sheila. So I'll sort of pick up to kind of where you were going here. On the MRO output, Brad, on the GTF-eleven 100, again, were pretty pleased, up 22% in Q2. You mentioned that's despite sort of the parts supply impact from the four week work stoppage, also on heavier work scopes. So feel good about that output.

And that's key, obviously, to continuing to move the AOGs down here in the second half of the year. On the V2500, continue to see sort of strength in that program. We're obviously halfway through the year and feel really good about the 800 or so shop visits we forecasted for the year. And I'll tell you, when you look a little bit longer term there, I think that program is going to continue to have strength, frankly, where we thought it would three, four years ago. That platform continues to perform exceptionally well.

Demand is there. And even as shop visits potentially start to come down at some point, I think you'll start to see the content go up. So feel really good about GTF and the V2500. And then, of course, there's also Pratt Canada, continued strength there in their shop visits and on their portfolio. So feel good about the Pratt commercial aftermarket story.

And maybe just to put a finer point on some of the changes in our outlook, Sheila. We talked about Pratt sales now being up low double digits for the year. Think about that as about $800,000,000 of the $1,600,000,000 top line increase at the RTX level at the midpoint. About half of that is going to be aftermarket. So we now see the aftermarket up mid teens.

We've been working, as you know, to balance our deliveries between installs, spares and MRO. So again, we see good growth in the back half as well. The compares get more difficult, not just at Prep, but also at Collins. About $300,000,000 of the $800,000,000 increase is on the OE side. We continue to see good mix there, and the rest is sitting in the defense business.

So just a little extra color on the prep business.

Our next question comes from the line of Ron Epstein of Bank of America. Your question please,

Hey, good morning guys. Good morning I want to speak a bit about what you're seeing in OE production rates. It does seem we're starting to see some stability and lift in the Boeing narrow body rates and wide body rates and what are you seeing on your end? Then on the Airbus side, it seems like A350 is still kind of challenged and what's that mean for Collins and what's going on with A320?

Rod, let me start maybe a little bit and then Chris can pile on. At Collins, 1% OE growth here in the second quarter. We expected the first half of the year to be a little bit lighter. The compares get a lot easier as we get into the second half of the year, particularly because we're overcoming the Boeing strike from last year. So at Collins, we're encouraged by the ramp that we're seeing there.

We're expecting a little bit of mix headwind as the wide bodies, seven eighty seven, in particular, as you all know the story there, ramps up in second half. But I would say, just to put a little color on the Collins segment, I just did Pratt, we see about $800,000,000 of sales uplift in our outlook, about $200,000,000 of that is on the OE side because of that strength that we're seeing on the ramp side. Another $250,000,000 is in the aftermarket just to keep going here, and the rest is in defense. We had a really strong year start to the year for the Collins defense business. Chris, anything you want

I would just agree with your overall sentiment, Ron, which is I think we are seeing stability in the rates at Boeing. They continue to grow with the focus there on the production system. So that's great. And for Collins, it's just making sure that we stay out of their way and continue to deliver at the rates that they need, making sure that we got the supply chain in place on some of the constrained material. Again, as we've said before in the past, we've got capacity for much higher rates.

So this will just come down to making sure we've got the material where we need it, when we need it. But feel good about that. And then on the A320, again, agreed, continue to ramp there as well, Ron. We had the work stoppage, of course, which impacted a little bit here in the quarter. But again, I think we're going to make that up in the balance of the year.

And on the engine side, it really is still about allocating material between MRO and production. And we work closely with Airbus in doing that because we've got to make sure that we balance the continued ramp there, especially as it relates to structural castings and isothermal forgings, with what we need on the MRO side because, again, got to continue to support that fleet and move the AOGs down here in the second half of the year, which is our plan.

Welcome. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Seth Seifman of JPMorgan. Your line is open, Seth.

Chris, I was wondering, there's been some reports in the press about upgrades at the FAA and the role that RTX might play in that. I was wondering if you could help us out in terms of how to think about that opportunity.

Yeah, absolutely, Seth. Good morning. FAA modernization, I think, is something that's pretty critical. I think that's a bipartisan sort of agreement. We were pleased to see the funding that was in the reconciliation bill, the $12,500,000,000 which I think is a pretty good down payment on what you're going to need to overhaul the air traffic system.

Again, we play in some very specific areas in there. We've got very strong market share on the radars that are installed, and so there's an opportunity there. There's also an opportunity on just the automation that goes into the towers and whatnot, where we have a very strong position. So, again, working with the FAA on modernizing and upgrading those systems. And then again, there's an opportunity, I think, on the aircraft equipage side.

As you know, Collins has a number of packages there that help with ground control and other things that happen on the runway. So, these are all opportunities, I think, that I'd put into the FAA modernization bucket. Again, a big opportunity for Collins.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Peter Arment of Baird. Please go ahead, Peter.

Chris, circling back to big picture questions on on sort of where we're going with related to the development and missile defense activities. There's obviously in the most recent budget request, we saw a big step up for PAC-three missile.

I was just thinking about the knockdown effects for LTAMDS. How do we think about the longer term production output there as we see a big ramp or are there any impacts there?

Peter was a little bit choppy. I think you were asking me about effector production on Patriot, is that where you were going? Yeah, sure. Well look, as it relates to just Golden Dome, think Patriot, we believe, is gonna be a very important part of that, especially if you want to make a significant impact over the next two to three years. I think there are opportunities to take Patriots that are potentially in inventory today, deploy those as part of the Golden Dome architecture.

And of course, we'd have to go and then backfill those. And you're seeing Patriot demand all across Europe as well. There's been some recent reporting there. And again, I think that presents an opportunity for Raytheon. And then on LTAMDS, again, we're really pleased to achieve Milestone C earlier this year, initiating the production phase there.

We delivered about six to the US government, and the Army has plans to procure many more over the next decade or so. And I think the critical thing there about LTAMDS is the integration potential it has with Patriot. You've got 19 Patriot countries out there today leveraging their investment, leveraging the upgrade that they've made by integrating LTAMDS with Patriot, I think, could be pretty powerful. Appreciate it.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Christine Lewog of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, Christine.

Hey. Morning, Chris, Neil and Nathan. Maybe on long term free cash flow, it sounds like the company's end markets have significant multiyear tailwinds. You've talked about commercial aerospace OE improving, aftermarket is still strong, defense bookings up and your supply chain investment should accelerate earnings in the next few years. So if we think about 90% to 100 free cash flow conversion to net income, reversal of some of the working capital you've invested and the end of the GTF cash outflows from the powdered metal issue, should $10,000,000,000 be the minimum free cash flow in 2027 and beyond?

Christine, let me start. Thanks for the question. I know there's a lot of interest in our free cash flow. First of all, I want to emphasize the fact that we're confident in our 7,000,000,000 to $7,500,000,000 for this year. Obviously, there's work to do in the second half.

There's a few things that are going to drive that. Just to remind everyone, we'll see a recovery from the Pratt strike, which is what impacted us here in the second quarter. And that's about $1,000,000,000 So we expect most of that to recover in the third quarter. We've got a number of delivery milestones that are attached to cash receipts as well, particularly in the Raytheon business. There's some international advances.

Those can be lumpy, but certainly feel confident those are within the year. And then you'll notice when you get to look at our balance sheet, the receivables are a little higher. So we expect to collect that naturally here in the third quarter. And then we haven't talked about it, but the contract award timing for Pratt with respect to lots eighteen and nineteen on the F135 is expected to come into play here in the third quarter and that will drive some upside in both sales and cash. So starting with this year.

RTX (RTX) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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