With a combined revenue of $21 trillion and $2.1 trillion in profits, the 2026 Fortune 500 is the definitive list of America's largest companies.

Fortune 500

Almost $20 trillion in revenue—and a record-breaking $1.87 trillion in profits. Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500, the definitive list of the biggest companies in America.

Industries included in the sector are automotive retail, general merchandisers, internet retail, and specialty retail.

Fortune Sector Leaders: Retailing

The Fortune 500, in its 70th year in 2024, ranks the biggest U.S. companies by revenue.

The Fortune 500, in its 69th year in 2023, ranks the biggest U.S. companies by revenue.

This year’s Fortune 500 marks the 68th running of the list.

This year’s Fortune 500 marks the 67th running of the list.

F500-2021-301-Advance Auto Parts

As one of the leading aftermarket auto parts retailers, the company serves professional installers and vehicle owners with automotive goods and services at over 4,000 locations.

This year's Fortune 500 marks the 66th running of the list.

F500-2020-330-Advance-Auto-Parts

The automotive retailer sells aftermarket parts, accessories, and maintenance items to both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers.

This year's Fortune 500 marks the 65th running of the list.

This year's Fortune 500 marks the 64th running of the list.

This year's Fortune 500 marks the 63rd running of the list.

This year's Fortune 500 marks the 62nd running of the list.

This year's Fortune 500 marks the 61st running of the list. Wal-Mart claims the top spot again. See who made the list.

Wal-Mart stayed on top as its sales crept closer to half-a-trillion dollars. Apple moved into the top five. And UnitedHealth Group continued its steady climb. 

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Advance Auto Parts is an automotive aftermarket parts provider. Founded in 1929, the company offers replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for a variety of vehicles including cars, vans, SUVs, and trucks. The company operates over 4,200 stores and serves more than 800 Carquest-branded stores across these locations.

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Advance Auto Parts (AAP): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings

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Advance Auto Parts

advance auto parts

Good morning and thank you for participating in today's call. I'm joined by Shane O'Kelly, President and Chief Executive Officer and Ryan Grimsland, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. During today's call, we will be referencing slides, which have been posted to our Investor Relations website. Before we begin, please be advised that management's remarks today will contain forward looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements regarding initiatives, plans, projections, guidance and expectations for the future.

Actual results could differ materially from those projected or implied by the forward looking statements. Additional information can be found on the forward looking statements in our earnings release and risk factors in our most recent Form 10 ks and subsequent filings made with the SEC. Shane will begin today's call with an update on the business and our strategic priorities. Later, Orion will discuss results for the second quarter and provide an update on full year 2025 guidance. Following management's prepared remarks, we will open the line for questions.

Now, let me turn over the call to our CEO, Shane O'Kelly. Shane?

Thank you, Lavesh, and good morning, everyone. I would like to take a moment to express my gratitude for the hard work and dedication of the Advance team. Their focus on providing excellent customer service and driving progress in our initiatives enabled the company to deliver solid second quarter results that were in line with the upper end of our expectations. In Q2, we also achieved an important milestone in our turnaround journey with the return to profitability. This was supported by actions to optimize our store footprint and progress with our strategic initiatives.

Comparable sales growth was about flat for the quarter and our performance was driven by strength in the Pro business, which continued to deliver positive comp growth. In our DIY business, we are encouraged by emerging signs of stabilization as comparable sales were consistent with Q1 and improved on a two year basis. Notably, we concluded the quarter on a strong note with both Pro and DIY delivering positive results and this momentum has continued into the first four weeks of Q3. We are working with our vendor partners to effectively manage tariff related cost increases while thoughtfully adjusting retail prices in response to market dynamics. We anticipate that tariffs will have a more pronounced impact in the second half of this year.

Importantly, more than 90% of our business is non discretionary with demand driven by maintenance work and break fix repair for an aging and growing vehicle fleet in The United States. We believe that this puts us in a strong position to navigate a higher product cost environment. Our industry has consistently demonstrated a disciplined approach to adjusting prices in response to rising costs. This rational behavior is evident in the current tariff environment and we expect that to continue. From our perspective, the market is in a transition phase and while recent trade deals are expected to provide further clarity in vendor negotiations, consumers are still adapting to an evolving landscape of higher prices.

We are closely monitoring consumer behavior and the potential for recalibration in purchasing habits, especially within our DIY business. While we have not observed any significant shifts to date and remain encouraged with our recent DIY trajectory, we believe it is prudent to take a cautious approach in planning for the remainder of the year. This is reflected in our assumptions for the 2025 and we are reaffirming our full year sales, operating margin and free cash flow guidance. As a management team, we have maintained transparency in our efforts to take decisive actions that drive progress on our turnaround. These include the decision to divest Worldpac, optimize our store footprint and consolidate our supply chain. In line with this commitment to take decisive actions, we proactively reorganized our debt capital structure earlier this month to ensure financial flexibility in the turnaround. We believe this action will enable us to support our current supplier financing program while also allowing us to strategically optimize its utilization for the long term. I would also like to note that we view this as a bridge structure as we work to return to an investment grade credit rating in the future.

We are confident that the long term advantages of a stable supply chain financing program and enhanced financial flexibility will serve as catalysts for driving EPS growth and value creation over time. Let us now turn to an update on our strategic initiatives. To recap, our turnaround plan is built around three strategic pillars, each supported by targeted initiatives that we believe will position us to deliver profitable growth. I will share updates on the progress we have made within each pillar before Ryan discusses our financial performance. Let's begin with merchandising.

Approximately a year ago, the merchandising team embarked on a transformation journey following the appointment of our Chief Merchant, Bruce Starnes, and other key leaders in pivotal roles. They have been focused on reestablishing Advance as a premier destination for high quality auto parts and rebuilding trust as a long term growth partner for vendors. The team is engaged in line reviews and several rounds of negotiations with vendors to secure products at a more competitive cost. They have undertaken joint business planning with vendors to discuss category strategies, SKU development and growth plans that establish mutual trust for a long term partnership. We have completed about two thirds of our line reviews and continue to march towards our goal of delivering about 50 basis points of annualized cost reductions in the 2025.

We expect to build on this next year as the remaining activities are completed over the next few months. The groundwork laid by this team over the last year is also supporting productive negotiations with vendors on sharing the tariff burden. As we have indicated previously, approximately 40% of our reported cost of goods is exposed to tariffs at a blended rate of approximately 30%. The dynamic tariff environment has certainly presented challenges across the industry. However, we have been able to navigate through this complex landscape, thanks to our much improved price management capabilities.

Our pricing team has been successful in identifying dutiable components across product lines, which is enabling more effective discussions with vendors around cost increases. Simultaneously, the team has been proactive in exploring alternative sources of supply and diversifying countries of origin to mitigate costs. In addition, to handle external tariff discussions, the team is internally optimizing product promotion strategies to minimize reliance on ineffective promotions. This work involves close collaboration with store teams to refine the use of unproductive discounting mechanisms. We view promotion management as an important lever to balance the impact of higher costs and to maximize profit dollars.

We expect to make progress on this initiative later this year with a bigger impact in 2026. Moving to assortment management, the team has made great strides in accelerating new SKU growth and the speed at which we bring parts to market. Over the past year, we have made considerable progress on analyzing customer needs, identifying gaps within our assortment and improving internal processes to introduce new products in the market. This has enabled us to add more than 60,000 new SKUs in our network year to date, which is up nearly 300% compared to last year. Providing faster access to parts enables us to respond to demand signals more quickly, driving more effective placement of SKUs across our network.

The progress we have achieved in SKU expansion has also contributed to the improvement in our store availability KPI which increased by approximately 100 basis points compared to Q1 and is currently in the mid-90s range. Next, I'd like to provide an update on the rollout of our new assortment framework, which is designed to enhance parts coverage across each store, hub and market hub within a designated market area. We have been able to accelerate this rollout by harnessing advanced technological tools including the use of AI. These innovative tools are enabling us to introduce greater intelligence in the assortment planning process, which has traditionally been done manually. Today, are better equipped to make data driven decisions and swiftly adapt to SKU requirements by market.

We are successfully increasing coverage in key hard parts categories by rebalancing hundreds of SKUs per store to better align inventory with market specific needs. We recently completed this rollout in an additional 19 DMAs and currently operate the new framework in the top 30 DMAs. We expect to substantially complete the rollout across the top 50 DMAs representing approximately 70% of our sales by the end of the third quarter well ahead of our original schedule. While it is still early to assess the results of the recent rollout, the improvements in the newer DMAs are tracking directionally in line with the DMAs completed earlier in the year. The initial DMAs continued to deliver an average comp uplift of approximately 50 basis points.

Notably in some of these markets, we are beginning to observe a comp uplift exceeding the average, which in our view is a promising indicator of this initiative's growth potential. Based on our expectations, the complete benefit of this initiative will become more apparent over a twelve to eighteen month horizon due to the slow turning nature of inventory in the industry. We are energized by the progress achieved thus far and optimistic about the potential to meaningfully advance our goal of enhancing parts availability. Turning to supply successfully closed or converted nine DCs in The U. S.

And remain on track to achieve a total of 12 closures by year end, bringing us to a total of 16 DCs in The U. S. In parallel, we are enhancing productivity within these facilities by refining processes, which we anticipate will drive sustained improvements in product throughput measured as lines per hour. Year to date, we have achieved a low single digit increase in this metric. The operational efficiencies of our DCs has a direct and significant impact on parts availability for our stores.

Our supply chain team is actively identifying and sharing best practices across all facilities while fostering a culture of operational excellence. These efforts are aimed at ensuring high product availability and reliable service for our stores. Recent operational changes in our DCs are already yielding measurable results. Over the past six months, we have reduced shipment errors from the DCs to stores by approximately 33% and also improved DC to store order fill rates. To unlock further productivity, we are optimizing our warehouse management system that was fully rolled out at the end of last year.

Our efforts are focused on the execution of key functions such as product picking, packing and routing deliveries to stores. We expect these efforts to improve the efficiency of our DC to store operations as we strive to leverage fixed costs and narrow our margin gap relative to the industry. Moving to an update on Market Hubs. As a reminder, we introduced the Market Hub last year as a new node in our multi echelon supply network. The Market Hub carries 75,000 to 85,000 SKUs expanding same day parts availability for a service area of about 60 to 90 stores.

It plays an important role in improving customer service. With stores receiving multiple shipments from a market hub each day, they are able to more quickly access and deliver parts to customers. Our commitment to delivering complete job quantity parts within a reasonable timeframe reinforces our reputation as a reliable and trusted service provider for our customers. We remain on track to open a total of 10 market hubs this year. During the quarter, we opened three market hubs, including two Greenfield locations.

These newly established locations represent a key component of our growth strategy. Greenfield locations are set to become a primary driver of expanding our market hub network and we believe they have the potential to drive stronger sales growth over the long run. We are building a robust pipeline for openings in 2026 and 2027 to achieve our goal of establishing 60 market hubs by mid-twenty twenty seven. Based on the aggregate performance of hubs through Q2 along with the performance of the stores that they service, we continue to see an average estimated comparable sales uplift of 100 basis points, which continues to validate the effectiveness of this strategy. In our stores, we remain committed to delivering consistent high quality service aimed at strengthening customer relationships.

During Q2, our Pro business led the sequential improvement in comps achieving another quarter of positive low single digit growth which translated into mid single digit growth on a two year basis. From a category perspective, the strength in Pro was delivered by core hard parts categories, which reflects the benefits of collaborative efforts across the organization. Initiative has expanded the number of parts available in the backrooms of our stores with an emphasis on meeting the needs of our pro customers. In addition, we are leveraging technology to enhance customer data visibility and to streamline territory planning for our frontline teams. These advancements are enabling us to build trust with customers and are contributing to a motivated pro workforce.

Furthermore, we have made significant strides in improving our speed of service with our time to serve moving into the target range of thirty to forty minutes. As a result, Pro customers are gaining further confidence in our ability to serve as a reliable parts provider across the marketplace. This confidence is evident in the continued sales growth in our Main Street Pro accounts, which has been an important area of focus for the team over the past year. Looking ahead, our Pro team is dedicated to maintaining consistency in customer service to carry forward the positive momentum. Shifting to DIY.

In the second quarter, our DIY comps were in line with Q1 and improved on a two year basis. While we are encouraged to see emerging signs of stabilization, we still have a lot of work ahead of us to fully turn around the trajectory of the DIY business. We have a passionate store team that is eager to serve customers and we are prioritizing initiatives to set them up for success. We are putting in robust training plans to develop stronger product knowledge. This includes seasonal product training, vendor collaboration and the introduction of a playbook for new team members on how to serve customers.

Separately, our store team is reinforcing the value provided by our service offerings to build long term customer relationships and drive sales. We offer a range of services, including battery testing, wiper installation and engine light scanning along with a robust portfolio of high quality national and private label brands. In addition to the focus on training and service execution, we are also allocating incremental capital expenditure to refresh our stores. We have been upgrading HVAC systems, roofing, parking lots, paint and signage in our stores. Year to date, we have already invested about three times more on maintenance CapEx than in 2024.

This spend has been allocated to major upgrades at more than 1,000 stores compared to approximately 400 stores upgraded in all of 2024. These store infrastructure investments are part of a multi year plan to improve the in store experience for our customers and our store team. To conclude, I want to reiterate our strong commitment to driving sustained improvement in our turnaround efforts and I want to thank the team for their hard work on delivering progress thus far. I'll now hand the call over to Ryan to discuss our financials. Ryan?

Thank you, Shane, and good morning, everyone. I want to begin by thanking our frontline associates for their commitment to serving our customers and delivering solid Q2 results. For the second quarter, net sales from continuing operations were $2,000,000,000 an 8% decline compared to last year. This decline is mainly attributable to the store optimization activity that was completed during Q1. Comparable sales growth was positive 0.1% for the quarter, which included an approximately 25 basis points headwind due to the shift in timing of Easter from late Q1 into early Q2.

During the second quarter, sales growth in the first four weeks were in line with trends exiting Q1. In the middle four weeks of the quarter, trends softened. We believe this was driven by higher than normal precipitation levels, which contributed to softer transaction growth. Sales growth was strongest in the final four weeks of the quarter with both DIY and pro channels comping positive. This improvement was driven by a recovery in transactions and strength in our core hard parts business.

Undercar components, engine management and the brake category led performance during the quarter. For the quarter, transactions declined in the low single digit range, while ticket was positive and improved compared to Q1. We estimate that inflation was about 2% during the quarter and included tariff related price adjustments that began midway through Q2. This rate of inflation was also influenced by the comparison to last year's price investments, which had pressured ticket growth last year. Looking at channel performance more broadly for the full quarter, Pro grew in the low single digit range and accelerated compared to Q1.

DIY underperformed with a low single digit sales decline. However, Q2 DIY performance was stable compared to Q1. On a two year basis, both channels improved relative to Q1. Adjusted gross profit from continuing operations was $880,000,000 or 43.8% of net sales, resulting in gross margin expansion of about 16 basis points compared to last year. Our Q2 gross margin was relatively in line with expectations.

The year over year margin expansion was driven by savings associated with our footprint optimization activity completed in March. These savings were partially offset by the reversal of previously capitalized inventory costs. Adjusted SG and A from continuing operations was $819,000,000 or 40.7% of net sales or about flat compared to last year. The year over year reduction in SG and A expense was primarily related to operating of fewer stores compared to last year. As a result, adjusted operating income from continuing operations was $61,000,000 or 3% of net sales, resulting in about 20 basis points of margin expansion.

Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations was $0.69 compared with $0.62 reported in Q2 last year. Year to date free cash flow was a use of $2.00 $1,000,000 and included a $15,000,000 improvement in operating cash flow compared to last quarter. Q2 free cash flow also included $20,000,000 in cash costs related to our store optimization work. Next, I would like to discuss our recent debt offering and the rationale for pursuing a reorganization of our debt capital structure. In early August, we completed a debt offering of $1,950,000,000 of senior notes divided into two equal tranches, one maturing in 2030 and the other in 02/1933.

We received net proceeds of $1,920,000,000 after payment of transaction fees. Separately, we have also entered a new $1,000,000,000 asset backed revolving credit facility to replace our prior $1,000,000,000 revolving facility. Proceeds from the senior notes offering were used to redeem $300,000,000 of outstanding senior notes due 2026. Following this redemption, we expect to carry more than $3,000,000,000 of cash on the balance sheet, Up to $2,500,000,000 of this cash plus other assets including inventory and accounts receivable will be used to support the new $1,000,000,000 asset backed revolving credit facility and the $3,000,000,000 supply chain financing program. Essentially, we are providing a one for one asset support for the new debt capital structure.

I would like to note that we expect to operate the supply chain financing program as we did prior to the debt offering. The revolving credit capacity under the new ABL facility provides an additional liquidity source beyond our cash on hand. We have no current plans to draw on the new revolver. The supply chain financing program is important to our vendor community and we have taken proactive steps to ensure continuity in the program and mitigate potential risks. We believe this transaction puts us firmly in control of deciding the best course of action for the program for the long term.

The new debt capital structure helps preserve financial flexibility, allows us to focus on execution of our turnaround plan and serves as a bridge to a re attainment of an investment grade credit rating in the future. Turning to an update on guidance. For fiscal twenty twenty five, we have revised our EPS guidance to account for the recent debt issuance. For the other items, we are reaffirming our expectations for the year. We are pleased with the progress on our strategic initiatives.

However, we recognize that we are still in the early phases of our three year turnaround plan. We remain committed to diligently monitoring the implementation of our initiatives to drive further operational improvements. Also, as Shane indicated, the market is still in a period of transition as consumers adapt to an environment of higher prices. In this backdrop, we believe our guidance reflects the potential risks related to tariffs. Our approach to navigating tariffs is unchanged.

We expect to be measured while adjusting prices with a goal to hold rate where possible, but prioritizing profit dollar expansion. We also expect to continually measure competitive response and price demand elasticity as we execute our response to tariffs through the year. Let's discuss our full year expectations. Starting with net sales, we expect net sales in the range of $8,400,000,000 to $8,600,000,000 Comparable sales are expected to grow in the range of 50 to 150 basis points on a fifty two week basis. We expect positive low single digit comp growth in Q3 and Q4 supported by our focus on improving parts availability and elevating service levels.

Our tariff related price actions are expected to contribute to low to mid single digit same SKU inflation in the second half. Full year net sales also includes contribution from new stores planned to be opened this year and we expect the fifty third week to contribute approximately $100,000,000 to $120,000,000 in net sales. Moving to margins. Adjusted operating income margin is expected in the range of 2% to 3%. For Q3, we are planning for adjusted operating income margin above 4%.

This range embeds gross margin about in line to slightly better than Q2 supported by the merchandising team's progress on product cost negotiations and a range of potential scenarios for our tariff management activities. For SG and A, we expect expense dollars to be relatively in line with Q2. Finally, with respect to Q3 and as disclosed in our results last year, we are lapping about 130 basis points of atypical sales and margin headwinds which is expected to drive favorability in year over year operating margin leverage. Based on our expectations for Q3 combined with first half results, our Q4 operating margin range implies a wide range of potential outcomes. While we continue to expect sequential improvement in margin leverage compared to Q3, it is important to note that Q4 is our lowest volume quarter and generally subject to seasonal volatility, which could impact results.

Moving to other items in our guidance, we now expect adjusted diluted EPS to range between $1.2 and $2.2 compared to our prior guidance of $1.5 and $2.5 This revision is mainly driven by the higher interest expense associated with the recent offering of $1,950,000,000 of senior notes and savings from the redemption of the 2026 notes. We expect some of the interest expense to be offset by higher interest income from short term cash investments. Regarding free cash flow, we continue to target a range of negative $85,000,000 to negative $25,000,000 for the year, which includes positive operating cash flow through the end of the year. We continue to expect $150,000,000 of cash expenses related to our store optimization project. In summary, we are pleased to enter the second half with positive sales and margin momentum.

As we look to the balance of this year, we are planning cautiously in a dynamic macro backdrop and closely monitoring consumer behavior. To wrap up, I want to provide a quick overview of our 2027 objectives. We continue to target low single digit comparable sales growth and an adjusted operating income margin of approximately seven percent for fiscal twenty twenty seven. Following the recent debt issuance, we are updating our leverage ratio to a net adjusted debt leverage ratio of approximately two to 2.5 times. We believe this target provides financial stability for the business while maintaining the flexibility to invest for growth.

We expect our strategic initiatives to strengthen cash flow generation and enable us to effectively manage supply chain financing and gradually reduce leverage over time. By achieving our leverage target, we aim to position the company to regain an investment grade credit rating in the future, further strengthening the resilience of our strong balance sheet. I again want to thank our frontline associates for their commitment to serving our customers and delivering solid results in the quarter. I will now hand the call back to Shane.

Thank you, Ryan. Before closing today's call, I want to thank all our team members and frontline associates once again. We believe we have the right strategy centered on core retail fundamentals along with a talented team driving execution on our strategic initiatives. I look forward to continuing to share updates on our progress in the future. With that, let's open the call for questions. Operator?

And with that, our first question comes from Bret Jordan from Jefferies. Bret, please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hey, good morning, guys. On the revised capital structure, are you expecting cost savings given the risk spread in the factoring program has likely come down for you?

Yes. I mean, think it's a good question and Ryan can comment. You know that the discussions on the supply chain financing largely take place independently between the bank and the impacted vendor. We like to think that with our support of supply chain financing on a dollar for dollar basis relative to what we had previously, which was effectively unsupported that that would potentially have an impact, but early days. Brian?

Yeah, Brett, great question. I think putting this program in a stable place and supporting it as we bridge back to investment grade was the most important thing here.

This is an important vehicle for our vendors and ensuring that that was in place for them as we bridge back investment grade was critical. Getting back to investment grade is going to be the biggest impact for that. Now with this structure, we'll work with the banks and try to find opportunities where it is. But at this time, there's nothing implied in our guidance and nothing that we have to share relative to that. But I would say the program is in a better place when you have a one to one asset support of it and hopefully over time as the business performs, the financial profile improves in the business, we could see some benefits over time.

But there's nothing at this point. The biggest thing here is something that bridges us back to investment grade because getting back to investment grade would be the critical unlock there.

Last thing I'll just add there, if you look at the trajectory of what we've been doing as a company, we've looked to be proactive and decisive to position the company for success in the turnaround. So we looked at Worldpac, we made that decision, keeping Canada, adjusting our store footprint, making the decision to get to a unified supply chain, looking for where we needed to invest in the frontline. So this was consistent with those moves. This was a proactive effort on our part to preserve an important program for our vendors. And so we went to the capital markets successfully to now have this support so we can continue the program and we can continue the turnaround.

Great. And then on the CapEx, you're talking about doing a sort of an upfit of 1,000 stores. What percentage of the store base do you think needs CapEx to sort of bring it up to market standard?

Brett, I mean, there's a good portion of it. I mean, we went many years on a break fix model where we were fixing things broken. We had lifecycle maintenance out. We had just to give you an example from an HVAC perspective, we had 80% of our HVACs beyond useful life. So it should give you a basis of kind of where the fleet was at.

Roofs above 50%, parking lots above 50% beyond useful life and needing repairs. This is over the next three to five years, we'll be tackling these stores from HVAC, roofing, paint, signage, etcetera. So it will eventually touch all of our stores. It will end up being part of normal maintenance and life cycle management.

Yes. And as we go around, obviously, we want this to be a good experience for our customers. It's also critical for our store team members.

And they're working hard and the idea that HVAC isn't working, that's not acceptable. So we're making those changes. And by the way, we're doing it in conjunction with the other pillars. And so think about our assortment planning work. So the store environment gets better, then we get the product mix adjusted and then the team members able to say yes to the customer more frequently.

There's a sort of reinforcing cycle there in terms of building momentum for the company.

The next question comes from Simeon Gutman from Morgan Stanley. Simeon, please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hey guys, good morning. My first question, try to keep it high level and simple. Just achieving the pickup in comp in the second half of the year, what gives you confidence in it? Can you just think us through the drivers? And then my follow-up, I'll test you on some of those assumptions. Thanks.

Yeah. A couple of things on the back half of the year. One is, we start to see some benefit from some of the work that we've been doing, but we also have some easier comparisons in the back half of the year. Just in Q3 alone, think of we had a CrowdStrike incident, we had the hurricane impact. So we've got some back half of the year impacts to our sales that made the comparisons a little easier, we also saw improving trends.

So we saw improving two year comp trends coming out of Q1 into Q2 and also the later part of Q2 we saw improving trends moving in the back half of the year. So I feel like the scenarios we've got right now play within our guidance. And you can tell like if you look at 50 to 150 basis points on the full year, there is a step up in the back half. But I'd say on a two year basis, it's not a material difference.

Okay. So it's more comparison than it is underlying change. And I think that's fair. One of the assumptions, it looks to us that DIFM business would probably need to comp in at least the mid single digits to get there. Is that to the comparison?

And then I don't know if tariff pricing is more pronounced in do it for me versus do it yourself. But can you talk about how that the nuance between the two I guess your assumptions between the two divisions lay out through the back half of the year?

Well, the biggest thing for us when you think of DIFM, the strength in Pro continuing to grow, that's really the big driver in the underlying business. We really like to see we like seeing what's coming from the Pro initiatives, the work we're doing there. From a price inflation perspective, we're looking at low to mid single digit in the back half of the year, so 2% Q2. And as those prices kind of continue to play out, what we're cautious on is the elasticity in the DIY consumer and some of that really hasn't gotten into the market yet. We're a little cautious on how the DIY consumer will respond in the back half of the year.

But the underlying business really being the pro, I think of the DMA work, the assortment work that we're putting out, we'll have that done ahead of schedule. We'll have that in Q3. So that'll have a positive impact in the back half of year as well as those top 50 DMAs. Ken, you got anything?

Yes. So you mentioned the Pro, the energy and the Pro team going across the spectrum of Pro customers, that includes our larger accounts. That also includes a lot of effort on smaller Main Street accounts. And so the assortment work helps here. The other thing that's helping with Pro is our reduction in time to serve.

And I was recently with a large customer who shops with a number of players and said, hey, your time to serve, we see it, it's under forty minutes. It's right there where we would get product from anybody else and we're really happy with that. So as we continue with our store efforts on time to serve, as we continue with the assortment, as we continue with call planning and how our outside sales team members target customers, we think that all helps contribute to that. And I think Ryan said it well on the DIY side. If you look at their the impact in households on things like car insurance and food, they're seeing that impact.

Are there secondary tertiary impacts coming in other tariff categories that impact their wallets that I think is worth paying attention to as we see how the back half shapes up.

The next question comes from Michael Lasser from UBS. Michael, please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning. Thank you so much for taking my question. Part of your transformation, there's elements good morning, Shane. As part of your transformation, there's elements that are within your control, and there's elements that are without not within your control. And given that mix, how close is Advanced Auto to achieving the level of visibility in its near term and short term outlook that you would be even more comfortable with?

I ask this because the gross margin for the second quarter did come in slightly below what the market was anticipating suggesting that there's still a lack of at least visibility into some areas that will be necessary as you continue to execute against your transformation plan? Thank you.

I think it's a great question. And I'd answer it by saying, we're comfortable maintaining what we've put out for approximately 7% operating income in 2027. And that as we do that, 2025 this year and next year are really the big implementation years. So this is where we're really grinding through all of the work. And some things we have strong lines of sight and control to use your word there, and we're making steady progress.

Other areas are a little more nonlinear. So we touched on with Simeon's question, what's going go on with the DIY consumer. But in some cases a vendor discussion might yield benefit. We might have anticipated it would be in '25 and it comes in '26 as we think about things like our store operating model and making sure that we've got demand based labor dynamically allocating across the network that takes time to implement. So I would say we feel good about the 2027 program that we're on and that as we get there, there's a mix of things that are non linear and things that we see strong progress with.

And Michael, I'll just add that we track the KPIs of our initiatives really tightly. So just to give you a little bit more details on this, we track KPIs in all of our initiatives very tightly. We've been testing and piloting a bunch of them. We're starting to roll them out. We accelerate where we can. The timing of those and implementation and benefit impact, it's not perfectly linear.

As Shane mentioned, you know, you could have a negotiation with a vendor and new products coming in when they come in, when they come out and the cost impact. Margins weren't that far off of our expectation. So we like the way we're tracking so far throughout the year.

Last thing on control, the one thing we really ensured that we had control on is the balance sheet and the idea that we completed this debt issuance to make sure that we can continue the important program of supply chain financing through the turnaround. And now we have the means to execute against that and all of the other key initiatives.

Super helpful. My follow-up question is in light of that and in light of what is a very dynamic environment as you guys rightly pointed out, How should we as outsiders think about the linearity of the progress from here? And obviously, ask because most street models are anticipating 100 to 150 basis points of, margin expansion for 2026. And this would be a great opportunity to help calibrate those expectations to say, hey. If indeed it will be the case, think more of the progress that's going to come in 2027, especially in light of, I don't know, A, and C, tariff, consumer, whatever it might be. Thank you very much.

Yes. Thanks, Michael. Well, I'll just say it's a little early for us to be able to indicate what next year will look like from a margin expansion. Obviously, we've got a goal of 7%, 27%, and you would need margin expansion next year. What the magnitude and size of that, we'll come back at a later date and share with you because we are still early in a lot of the initiative rollouts and having a better clear idea of the timing of the impact of those next year.

We'll need a little bit more time to be able to get to that. We will share that. But I would expect margin expansion. We need that, get it going into seven. And some of the things we're doing today will have positive impacts next year absolutely.

The magnitude of it, we'll come back and share it at a later date. But there is some linear progression that's needed to get to the 7%. For sure, it's just what is the timing and size and magnitude of that next year, we'll come back at a later date to share.

And in general, we want to have a say do ratio that depicts from your perspective an understanding of where we're going with the business. And so when we got insights, we'll share them. And as we go through the decisive actions, we'll outline what we're doing there. The idea being that we'll make the progression maybe non linear, continuing towards that seven and twenty seven.

Thank you so much. Thanks Michael. Appreciate it.

Next question comes from Chris Walvis from JPMorgan. Chris, please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hi, good morning. It's Christian Carlino on for Chris. Thanks for taking our question. What are you seeing in terms of how peers are reacting to the tariff costs starting to flow through? Presumably, the upfront cash impact would have more of pressure on some of the independent distributors.

So in addition to the work you've been doing, are you seeing a pickup in share performance? Or are peers either taking more price than you or running lower inventory levels that should lead to share gains over the coming quarters?

So we see I mean, I read what you read. And so what I read there and then what we see in terms of what goes on with customers is a rational industry. I think players are appropriately doing actions similar to ours, which is trying to secure product at a good cost and then being rational in terms of what end pricing looks like.

I would just say, Christian, that it's been a rational environment. What we've seen from our peers, we haven't seen significant deviation in our CPI from any price actions we've taken. Competitors have taken price actions as well and we followed suit. We are following and that is our strategy is to follow and be a competitive price every single day.

Got it. That's helpful. And you mentioned maintaining gross margin rate where you can, but prioritizing profit dollar expansion. So are you embedding a discrete headwind amongst other things in gross margin from the tariffs in the back half? And if so, could you quantify that?

So we're expecting about low to mid single digit inflation in the back half of year. Obviously, of that is price related to the tariffs. We are expecting there's obviously multiple scenarios and it's still kind of early to predict exactly how it all plays out. But even the changes that have happened, we're still at a blended rate of roughly 30% on tariff impacts even with the latest changes. Those prices are just starting to make it into the market.

So the biggest unknown will be the demand, the elasticity and how that might play out in the back half of the year. Within our guidance range, those scenarios all fall within there. And it really depends on what is the elasticity, what's the impact, how does the consumer respond, how do they react, will have an impact on the range outcome.

The next question comes from Scott Ciccarelli from Truist. Scott, please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning, guys. My question is, it seems like you guys are planning for kind of low hi. It looks like you guys are planning for low single digit comps over the next call it two to three years. We have a natural SG and A inflation rate in the call it 2% to 3% store range. So it seems like your medium term target of some percent is really dependent on gross margin. A, is that a fair assessment? And B, assuming it's correct, can you help size the different buckets of where that gross margin expansion should come from?

It just seems like it's a lot given the comp environment. Thank you.

Scott. I'll take that a little bit and then let Shane jump in as well. From a sizing perspective, yes, a larger portion of that is going to come from gross margin and that's really two pieces that we've talked about in our strategic pillars. One is merchandising excellence and that's the first cost that we're getting improved promotions, improved pricing structure externally. We're still working through that.

The team is making a lot of good progress. Our vendors are partnering with us well being supportive as we work through that, but still a lot to do to get to 27% this year and next year a lot going on there. That's probably the biggest bucket that will drive it. The next biggest bucket on that continuum is our supply chain and productivity within supply chain. And we talked about our consolidation down to the big DCs, transportation costs, all of that falls into that bucket.

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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