Shawn Tully

Shawn Tully

Shawn Tully is a senior editor-at-large at Fortune.

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WASHINGTON, DC – APRIL 21: Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell listens during an open session of a Financial Stability Oversight Council meeting at the Department of the Treasury on April 21, 2023 in Washington, DC. The FSOC proposed on Friday a new guidance to revise how non-bank financial institutions are designated. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

What’s behind the shocking, sudden rise in interest rates over the past few weeks?

Carrier CEO Dave Gitlin photographed at Carrier HQ’s commercial chiller space on Thursday Sept. 5, 2024 in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.<br />
Alfonso Duran for Fortune

Exclusive: He turned down the chance to run Boeing—now he’s the best industrial CEO in America

FILE PHOTO (EDITORS NOTE: COMPOSITE OF IMAGES – Image numbers 2182486398, 2168330769) In this composite image, Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris (L) and Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump.
***LEFT IMAGE*** CHUTE, WISCONSIN – NOVEMBER 01: Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to supporters during a campaign event at Little Chute High School on November 1, 2024 in Little Chute, Wisconsin. The event is one of three Harris has scheduled today in the swing state where she is in a tight race with her opponent Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images).
***RIGHT IMAGE*** POTTERVILLE, MICHIGAN – AUGUST 29: Former U.S. President and current Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks about the economy, inflation, and manufacturing during a campaign event at Alro Steel on August 29, 2024 in Potterville, Michigan. Michigan is considered a key battleground state in the upcoming November Presidential election. (Photo by Bill Pugliano/Getty Images)

Top data scientist: Betting markets think Trump is winning, but Harris voters have reasons to remain hopeful

Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at Madison Square Garden in New York, October 27, 2024. (Photo by ANGELA WEISS / AFP) (Photo by ANGELA WEISS/AFP via Getty Images)

October surprise: Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop, says top data scientist

POTTERVILLE, MICHIGAN – AUGUST 29: Former U.S. President and current Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks about the economy, inflation, and manufacturing during a campaign event at Alro Steel on August 29, 2024 in Potterville, Michigan. Michigan is considered a key battleground state in the upcoming November Presidential election. (Photo by Bill Pugliano/Getty Images)

Who is winning the election? Top data scientist launches electoral vote counter that shows the race moving in real time

Kamala Harris (right) shakes hands with Donald Trump on Sept. 10

‘Fundamental’ analysis says Harris should win, but the ‘technicals’ show a big lead for Trump, say two leading election watchers

LAS VEGAS, NV – JULY 9: Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event at Resorts World hotel and casino in Las Vegas, Nevada on July 9, 2024. (Photo by Bridget Bennett for The Washington Post via Getty Images)

Prominent data scientist on latest election odds: Trump leads, but Harris is gaining

Karen Lynch had a grand strategic vision for CVS, but seemingly ran out of time.

What went wrong at CVS? Departing CEO Karen Lynch’s reign started brilliantly, then unraveled fast

SAGINAW, MICHIGAN – OCTOBER 03: Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a campaign event at Saginaw Valley State University on October 03, 2024 in Saginaw, Michigan. Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris has two events scheduled Michigan tomorrow as the two battle for support of voters in the critical swing state. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Trump’s odds have surged over the past week and he now holds a 2-vote electoral college lead, says prominent data scientist

US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at the Expo at World Market Center in Las Vegas, Nevada, September 29, 2024. (Photo by RONDA CHURCHILL / AFP) (Photo by RONDA CHURCHILL/AFP via Getty Images)

Harris holds a 66-electoral-vote lead over Trump, calculates prominent data scientist

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – JULY 31: Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump participates in a question and answers session at the National Association of Black Journalists (NABJ) convention at the Hilton Hotel on July 31, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois. The convention is expected to attract more than 3,000 media professionals. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Data scientist nails the Trump gaffe that started what looks today like a building Harris landslide

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA – SEPTEMBER 10: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris are seen on a screen as they debate for the first time during the presidential election campaign at The National Constitution Center on September 10, 2024 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. After earning the Democratic Party nomination following President Joe Biden’s decision to leave the race, Harris faced off with Trump in what may be the only debate of the 2024 race for the White House. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Could there be a Kamala Harris landslide in November? The data scientist who correctly called the last election is betting yes

Workers with picket signs outside the Boeing Co. manufacturing facility during a strike in Everett, Washington, US, on Friday, Sept. 13, 2024. Boeing Co. factory workers walked off the job for the first time in 16 years, halting manufacturing across the planemaker’s Seattle hub after members of its largest union voted overwhelmingly to reject a contract offer and go on strike. Photographer: M. Scott Brauer/Bloomberg via Getty Images

As Boeing’s workers strike, its new CEO is facing a formidable opponent with the upper hand

The image shows Kamala Harris standing at a podium, delivering a speech with a passionate expression. She has her arms slightly raised, palms facing outward, emphasizing her points. She is dressed in a dark navy suit with a matching blouse, and the background features American flags with blurred lighting.

Billionaires are fuming about Kamala Harris’s ‘unrealized’ capital gains tax proposal—and getting it to work would be a heavy lift

Scott Nuttall (left) and Joe Bae met as 24-year-old analysts at KKR. Now they’re unleashing a revolutionary plan to grow the firm.

KKR’s co-CEOs want to reach $1 trillion in assets by 2030. It will require the PE firm to operate very differently than its founders envisioned