• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Iran strikes 85 U.S. military sites in the Gulf, sparking a global selloff in stocks and a spike in the price of oil

2

Ex-PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi worked from midnight until 5 a.m. as a receptionist to pay for her Yale degree—and she says ‘respect went up’ because of it

3

Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary says if he were 25 today, he'd chase these two booming opportunities in the world of AI

1

Iran strikes 85 U.S. military sites in the Gulf, sparking a global selloff in stocks and a spike in the price of oil

2

Ex-PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi worked from midnight until 5 a.m. as a receptionist to pay for her Yale degree—and she says ‘respect went up’ because of it

3

Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary says if he were 25 today, he'd chase these two booming opportunities in the world of AI
Economynational debt

The next generation of senators has a ticking time bomb in its lap: Social Security’s impending insolvency and no plan for the national debt

Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
April 10, 2026, 6:53 AM ET
President Donald Trump delivers the State of the Union address during a joint session of Congress at the Capitol on February 24, 2026 in Washington, DC.
President Donald Trump delivers the State of the Union address during a joint session of Congress at the Capitol, Feb. 24, 2026, in Washington, D.C.Jessica Koscielniak—Getty Images
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) has a ticker on its website: The Retirement Trust Fund Countdown. At the time of writing, it stands at six years, seven months, five days, seven hours, 28 minutes, and 11 seconds.

This, the CRFB says, is when the Social Security program’s funds will be exhausted, and cuts to services would ensue. Medicare has a similar insolvency clock, due to wind down a little over a month before Social Security.

These clocks represent a problem for Congress. Not for the senators of today, but for the class that will follow them. Some 33 senators will see their terms expiring in early January 2027, with their seats up for election later this year.

Recommended Video

They, or their replacements, will hold the seats for the next six years: meaning the deadline to fix the funding for mandatory budget expenditures like Social Security and Medicare will fall squarely into their laps.

The wider problem they will need to wrangle with is the question of the federal government’s ongoing spending deficit, and the $39 trillion national debt burden it has created.

The total debt itself isn’t necessarily of concern, though the interest payments to service that debt are now eye-watering: A budget update from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released this week said the government—according to preliminary estimates—paid out nearly $530 billion in interest between October 2025, when the fiscal year starts, and March 2026. That’s more than $88 billion in interest per month, or more than $22 billion a week.

In that context, many economists are of the opinion that it is no longer a case of if, but when, the mandatory public funds reach insolvency—unless Congress does something about it.

Caleb Quakenbush is the Bipartisan Policy Center’s director of fiscal policy, and in an exclusive interview with Fortune in Washington, D.C., highlighted that Congress is already facing some “fiscal deadlines.”

“The next class of senators is going to have to address Social Security, one way or another,” Quakenbush said. Some of that gap might be closed by further borrowing, which would shift the cost onto future generations, but “we may achieve some meaningful reform. There is an opportunity to spread some of the costs over a broader span of generations.”

Michael Peterson, CEO and chairman of the Peterson G. Peterson Foundation—an organization which advocates and lobbies for fiscal sustainability—is similarly eyeing the looming deadline as an initial test of political willpower.

“The fact that the U.S. senators getting elected now are going to have it on their to-do list during their term, my hope would be that come January the campaign is over and [they] lay down some of the weapons and pick up some of the calculators and pencils, and try and come up with a solution,” Peterson tells Fortune in an exclusive interview.

The elephant in the room

The current debt levels may have increased at a faster pace over recent decades, but they haven’t accumulated overnight—nor under one party as opposed to the other. Indeed, despite efforts such as the Simpson-Bowles Commission under President Obama, and President Trump’s revenue-raising tariff reforms, neither party has enacted specific policy around federal deficits.

But the Bipartisan Policy Center sees evidence of Peterson’s wish—that lawmakers on both sides will begin working together to come up with solutions—and is more optimistic that an all-out fiscal crisis isn’t in the cards.

“The common knowledge or conventional knowledge is that Congress waits until the last minute to act, and that’s historically been true,” Quakenbush said. “I am personally a little bit skeptical of the total crisis, collapse scenario.

“I think higher living costs [and] slower income growth is probably the likelier scenario just given our position in the world economy, our position as the world’s reserve currency, to the extent that we continue to find markets for our debt that are willing to buy it … That puts us in a relatively strong position for the foreseeable future in terms of the economic risk, but that doesn’t mean that there’s zero risk.”

From his conversations with members of Congress, Quakenbush added spending is an issue individuals understand they need to address, but know they need to do so with bipartisan support and appeal in order for the policies to stick: “That signals to me at least that they’re not writing this off as something they’re going to put off forever.”

Subscribe to Fortune Gulf Brief. Every Tuesday, this new newsletter delivers clear-eyed, authoritative intelligence on the deals, decisions, policies, and power shifts shaping one of the world’s most consequential regions, written for the people who need to act on it. Sign up here.
About the Author
Eleanor Pringle
By Eleanor PringleSenior Reporter, Economics and Markets
LinkedIn icon

Eleanor Pringle is an award-winning senior reporter at Fortune covering news, the economy, and personal finance. Eleanor previously worked as a business correspondent and news editor in regional news in the U.K. She completed her journalism training with the Press Association after earning a degree from the University of East Anglia.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Economy

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Economy

‘Project 2029’ floats free child care—or $1,000 to stay home
Politicschild care costs
‘Project 2029’ floats free child care—or $1,000 to stay home
By Simone Foxman and BloombergJuly 8, 2026
6 hours ago
a man having chair still by the window in the office
EconomyLabor
Labor force participation falls to 61.5%, the lowest in 50 years outside COVID, and economists say it’s not just people giving up
By Catherina GioinoJuly 8, 2026
6 hours ago
Kevin Warsh buried an unusual, unhedged promise in his first Fed minutes—and one economist says it’s the strongest signal in the document
BankingFederal Reserve
Kevin Warsh buried an unusual, unhedged promise in his first Fed minutes—and one economist says it’s the strongest signal in the document
By Catherina GioinoJuly 8, 2026
6 hours ago
How climate change could raise your water bill
EnvironmentConsumer Prices
How climate change could raise your water bill
By Emma Court and BloombergJuly 8, 2026
8 hours ago
IMF expects modest 3% growth as the Iran war is dragging down the economy while AI is boosting it
EconomyIran
IMF expects modest 3% growth as the Iran war is dragging down the economy while AI is boosting it
By The Associated Press and Paul WisemanJuly 8, 2026
12 hours ago
t
CommentaryEducation
AI is about to disrupt millions of jobs. A century ago, America’s answer was to build a new high school
By Tim KnowlesJuly 8, 2026
18 hours ago

Most Popular

Iran strikes 85 U.S. military sites in the Gulf, sparking a global selloff in stocks and a spike in the price of oil
Newsletters
Iran strikes 85 U.S. military sites in the Gulf, sparking a global selloff in stocks and a spike in the price of oil
By Jim EdwardsJuly 8, 2026
17 hours ago
Ex-PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi worked from midnight until 5 a.m. as a receptionist to pay for her Yale degree—and she says ‘respect went up’ because of it
Success
Ex-PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi worked from midnight until 5 a.m. as a receptionist to pay for her Yale degree—and she says ‘respect went up’ because of it
By Preston ForeJuly 6, 2026
2 days ago
Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary says if he were 25 today, he'd chase these two booming opportunities in the world of AI
AI
Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary says if he were 25 today, he'd chase these two booming opportunities in the world of AI
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezJuly 5, 2026
4 days ago
Current price of oil as of July 8, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of July 8, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJuly 8, 2026
15 hours ago
Billionaires John and Laura Arnold have already donated nearly half their wealth. Now they're funding a hunt for the health risks of sports betting
Success
Billionaires John and Laura Arnold have already donated nearly half their wealth. Now they're funding a hunt for the health risks of sports betting
By Sydney LakeJuly 8, 2026
20 hours ago
$25 billion CEO says one-hour interviews are a waste of time—he puts candidates through six hours of tests and wants them to order wine at lunch
Success
$25 billion CEO says one-hour interviews are a waste of time—he puts candidates through six hours of tests and wants them to order wine at lunch
By Orianna Rosa RoyleJuly 3, 2026
6 days ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.