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Bumble revenue took a 10% nosedive last year but its stock just jumped 35%. Here’s why investors think the dating app has a chance at a comeback

Emma Hinchliffe
By
Emma Hinchliffe
Emma Hinchliffe
Most Powerful Women Editor
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Emma Hinchliffe
By
Emma Hinchliffe
Emma Hinchliffe
Most Powerful Women Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
March 12, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Bumble Inc. CEO Whitney Wolfe Herd is trying—again—to stage a comeback for the dating app business.
Bumble Inc. CEO Whitney Wolfe Herd is trying—again—to stage a comeback for the dating app business. Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images

Bumble Inc. released its full-year 2025 results yesterday, and on first glance it didn’t look good. Revenue took a 10% nosedive last year to less than $1 billion—$966 million, to be precise. Paid users declined 11.5%. The drop-off seems to have accelerated; in the fourth quarter, that revenue drop was even steeper, almost 15%.

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Some of this is across the dating industry—Bumble is feeling the pain at both of its flagship apps, Bumble and Badoo. (At competitor Match Group, which is more than three times Bumble’s size, revenue was flat year to year.) Some of these challenges are unique to Bumble, which once captured the cultural zeitgeist but has struggled for years to set a lasting strategy or find its footing in among women and Gen Z today.

Yet despite the bad news, Bumble’s stock has risen more than 35% since earnings. Why? Investors are optimistic about the changes Bumble is rolling out. The company laid off 30% of its workforce in mid-2025. Founder and CEO Whitney Wolfe Herd, who returned to the company a year ago, told investors yesterday that she cut performance marketing spend by 80%. She described a “deliberate shift away from volume-based acquisition and towards higher-intent, organically driven growth as we return to our roots of brand organic marketing.” “Despite raising the bar on new members and dramatically limiting marketing, Bumble app registrations and active users have stabilized,” she said. She argued that this proved two things: that demand for Bumble is still strong, and that the brand has “tremendous affinity” with Bumble’s target audience.

With earnings, Bumble announced its newest AI feature, a tool called “Dates.” Users tell the app’s AI assistant about their values, relationship goals, communication style, and lifestyle in a private conversation (not just selecting descriptors for a profile). Bumble’s AI then identifies two users who have “shared intentions and values” and sends them a description of why they would make a great match. Bumble is hopeful that the “why,” not just the match, will help users move to in-person dates sooner and get more value out of Bumble. Investors liked the sound of the innovation—some of the first we’ve seen from Bumble in a while.

Plus, there’s something else that appeals to investors: Bumble is cheap. Even after rising 35%, its stock is still trading around $3.80 today. For those who are “risk-tolerant,” the downside to buying is low.

So does Bumble have a chance at a comeback? It’s an uphill battle. Many of the millennial women with whom Bumble resonated so strongly have moved on to different life stages, and Bumble has failed to capture the attention of Gen Z daters with the same hold. For dating app users of any age, Bumble hasn’t been a first choice for a while. Wolfe Herd told investors that Q4 “marked the completion of our quality reset.” Will Bumble be innovative enough to take that reset beyond the basics?

Emma Hinchliffe
emma.hinchliffe@fortune.com

The Most Powerful Women Daily newsletter is Fortune’s daily briefing for and about the women leading the business world. Subscribe here.

ALSO IN THE HEADLINES

Would you start your fertility journey at Costco? The retailer has a new partnership with the cash-pay health care provider Sesame, which allows you to get a fertility intake and diagnostic workup before connecting with a clinic. Drug prices are then discounted through Costco's pharmacy. 

And in more women's health news, Maven is launching a consumer business. The women's health platform, valued at $1.7 billion, has been made available through employers so far. Consumer pricing has yet to be determined for the virtual clinic, which connects women to treatment including hormone care, GLP-1s, pregnancy care, and more. 

Nikki Glaser will be back at the Golden Globes. She just finalized her return as host in 2027. The three-peat puts her in a rare echelon of successful awards show hosts. 

Bill Cosby faces a civil trial this week. He was released from prison in 2021 after a conviction for sexual assault was overturned. This trial puts him face to face with Donna Motsinger, now 84, who says Cosby drugged and assaulted her in 1972. Reform in California now allows survivors of abuse to come forward years after those incidents occurred. Cosby said in a deposition that he couldn't remember whether he had sex with Motsinger or not, and that any sex has been consensual. 

ON MY RADAR

The young women leaving the new right NY Mag

X's chatbot started undressing women. Was this what AI wanted all along? NYT

What will happen when all the male therapists are gone? WSJ

PARTING WORDS

"They were born and raised in a system that constantly forced them to be silent, and they used that against the regime." 

— Tina Kordrostami, a local Sydney politician who encouraged members of Iran's women's soccer team to seek refuge in Australia. This WSJ feature outlines how five soccer players made the decision to escape. 

This is the web version of MPW Daily, a daily newsletter for and about the world’s most powerful women. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.
About the Author
Emma Hinchliffe
By Emma HinchliffeMost Powerful Women Editor
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Emma Hinchliffe is Fortune’s Most Powerful Women editor, overseeing editorial for the longstanding franchise. As a senior writer at Fortune, Emma has covered women in business and gender-lens news across business, politics, and culture. She is the lead author of the Most Powerful Women Daily newsletter (formerly the Broadsheet), Fortune’s daily missive for and about the women leading the business world.

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