• Home
  • News
  • Fortune 500
  • Tech
  • Finance
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia
TechAI

Nearly 20 million jobs are on the chopping block to be replaced by AI, SHRM research shows

By
Adam DeRose
Adam DeRose
and
HR Brew
HR Brew
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Adam DeRose
Adam DeRose
and
HR Brew
HR Brew
Down Arrow Button Icon
May 9, 2025, 9:58 AM ET
More than 12% of jobs in the US are at high risk, or very high risk, of displacement.
More than 12% of jobs in the US are at high risk, or very high risk, of displacement.Getty Images—SeizaVisuals

New research from the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM) finds that 12.6% of current roles in the US are at high risk, or very high risk, of displacement due to the proliferation of AI-powered tools across the American workplace.

Recommended Video

The report doesn’t attempt to forecast future job losses stemming from automation, but instead looks at the exposure of the current US workforce. Many technologists note that the adoption curve for technology is long, and with many HR teams racing to become AI-enabled in 2025, the AI penetration at the enterprise level is just beginning.

The report found blue-collar, service, and administrative support roles are disproportionately affected by the technology and are at higher risks than other occupations. Additionally, finance and insurance, manufacturing, and transportation and warehouse roles report the highest exposure to automation-driven disruptions, the report found.

The good news is the vast majority of jobs are negligibly or only slightly at risk for AI-related displacement (62.8%). The findings echo earlier HR Brew reporting that AI automation generally (and currently) addresses task-based work rather than entire roles.

“AI tools are about tasks rather than jobs. They are removing a subset of activities…that are sapping their productivity,” according to Zoom’s Josh Kallmer earlier this year.

The findings come as companies are working quickly to procure and develop AI tools to augment their workflow and improve productivity, chiefly addressing rote work involved in day-to-day activities, allowing employees to transform their roles into new AI-powered ones.

“As HR executives navigate this era of rapid automation, the key challenges are not just anticipating displacement and replacement but actively shaping the future of work and focusing on transformation of roles,” according to SHRM’s senior labor economist Justin Ladner in a blog post about the findings. “HR leaders must focus on workforce agility by investing in continuous learning, reskilling, and redesigning roles to complement automation rather than compete with it.”

This report was originally published by HR Brew.

Fortune Brainstorm AI returns to San Francisco Dec. 8–9 to convene the smartest people we know—technologists, entrepreneurs, Fortune Global 500 executives, investors, policymakers, and the brilliant minds in between—to explore and interrogate the most pressing questions about AI at another pivotal moment. Register here.
About the Authors
By Adam DeRose
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
By HR Brew
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Tech

United Nations
AIUnited Nations
UN warns about AI becoming another ‘Great Divergence’ between rich and poor countries like the Industrial Revolution
By Elaine Kurtenbach and The Associated PressDecember 2, 2025
1 hour ago
Anthropic cofounder and CEO Dario Amodei
AIEye on AI
How Anthropic’s safety first approach won over big business—and how its own engineers are using its Claude AI
By Jeremy KahnDecember 2, 2025
1 hour ago
Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang reacts during a press conference at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) CEO Summit in Gyeongju on October 31, 2025.
AINvidia
Nvidia CFO admits the $100 billion OpenAI megadeal ‘still’ isn’t signed—two months after it helped fuel an AI rally
By Eva RoytburgDecember 2, 2025
3 hours ago
Big TechInstagram
Instagram CEO calls staff back to the office 5 days a week to build a ‘winning culture’—while canceling every recurring meeting
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezDecember 2, 2025
4 hours ago
Elon Musk, standing with his arms crossed, looks down at Donald Trump sitting at his desk in the Oval Office
EconomyTariffs and trade
Elon Musk says he warned Trump against tariffs, which U.S. manufacturers blame for a turn to more offshoring and diminishing American factory jobs
By Sasha RogelbergDecember 2, 2025
4 hours ago
layoffs
EconomyLayoffs
What CEOs say about AI and what they mean about layoffs and job cuts: Goldman Sachs peels the onion
By Nick LichtenbergDecember 2, 2025
4 hours ago

Most Popular

placeholder alt text
Economy
Ford workers told their CEO 'none of the young people want to work here.' So Jim Farley took a page out of the founder's playbook
By Sasha RogelbergNovember 28, 2025
4 days ago
placeholder alt text
Success
Warren Buffett used to give his family $10,000 each at Christmas—but when he saw how fast they were spending it, he started buying them shares instead
By Eleanor PringleDecember 2, 2025
10 hours ago
placeholder alt text
Success
Forget the four-day workweek, Elon Musk predicts you won't have to work at all in ‘less than 20 years'
By Jessica CoacciDecember 1, 2025
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Innovation
Google CEO Sundar Pichai says we’re just a decade away from a new normal of extraterrestrial data centers
By Sasha RogelbergDecember 1, 2025
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Personal Finance
Current price of gold as of December 1, 2025
By Danny BakstDecember 1, 2025
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Big Tech
Elon Musk, fresh off securing a $1 trillion pay package, says philanthropy is 'very hard'
By Sydney LakeDecember 1, 2025
1 day ago
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • Future 50
  • World’s Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
Sections
  • Finance
  • Leadership
  • Success
  • Tech
  • Asia
  • Europe
  • Environment
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Health
  • Retail
  • Lifestyle
  • Politics
  • Newsletters
  • Magazine
  • Features
  • Commentary
  • Mpw
  • CEO Initiative
  • Conferences
  • Personal Finance
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
About Us
  • About Us
  • Editorial Calendar
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Diversity And Inclusion
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map

© 2025 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.