• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Trump, who has repeatedly called climate change fake, is now threatening Brazil with tariffs over the deforestation of the Amazon

2

Pentagon accuses Alibaba, Baidu and BYD, three of China's biggest companies, of supporting the Chinese military

3

'We are rapidly running out of time': Watchdog sounds Social Security alarm after 22% cut confirmed for 2032

1

Trump, who has repeatedly called climate change fake, is now threatening Brazil with tariffs over the deforestation of the Amazon

2

Pentagon accuses Alibaba, Baidu and BYD, three of China's biggest companies, of supporting the Chinese military

3

'We are rapidly running out of time': Watchdog sounds Social Security alarm after 22% cut confirmed for 2032
FinanceFortune 500 Companies

Mastercard shares are at an all time high—here’s why

Jeff John Roberts
By
Jeff John Roberts
Jeff John Roberts
Editor, Finance and Crypto
Down Arrow Button Icon
Jeff John Roberts
By
Jeff John Roberts
Jeff John Roberts
Editor, Finance and Crypto
Down Arrow Button Icon
February 6, 2025, 11:49 AM ET
Sachin Mehra, CFO of Mastercard.
Sachin Mehra, CFO of Mastercard.

Casual observers might be surprised to learn that shares of Mastercard, which most people associate with the humdrum business of charging merchants for credit card swipes, are soaring. Last week, the card giant’s stock hit an all-time high of $575, and many analysts predict it will keep climbing—not least because Mastercard recently forecast compound annual growth of 12% to 14% for the next three years.

Is this due to consumers charging up a storm? Not exactly. While an uptick in transactions is certainly helping the company’s growth story, the real growth story lies in Mastercard’s recent embrace of services, which now make up 40% of the company’s revenue.

In an interview with Fortune, Mastercard CFO Sachin Mehra described the company’s current strategy as a “virtuous cycle” where network transactions supply valuable data that it can use to build add-on services for things like cybersecurity and targeted marketing. Meanwhile, Mehra added, the company’s growing prowess in AI—which is primarily built in-house—is rapidly improving both sides of the business.

In any event, investors appear to like what the company is doing as Mastercard’s current 12-month return is around 32.3%, significantly outpacing the S&P index figure of 26.4% for the same period. This suggests many regard Mastercard as a growth play—especially considering the company’s modest annual 0.55% dividend payout.

Mastercard’s performance is also notable given the relatively feeble showing of many of its industry peers. The chart below shows its relative three-year performance compared to a financial subset of the S&P index:

The massive discrepancy shown in the chart can be explained in part by the sub-index's inclusion of a group of regional banks whose shares got hammered amid a crisis in the sector caused by rising interest rates. It should also be noted that Mastercard's main competitor, Visa, also outperformed the overall S&P and that both companies could face pressure due to Capital One's acquisition of Discover and its network.

Mastercard, though, has leaned into the fast-growing services segment to a greater degree than either of its competitors, and according to Mehra, that strategy is poised to reap outsize benefits in coming years.

AI and the coming fraud battle

When Mastercard spent $2.65 billion last year to purchase Recorded Future—a firm that specializes in exposing overseas hacking threats—it underscored how cybersecurity has become a key component of the card giant's strategic and business plans.

The Recorded Future acquisition only closed in late December, meaning it made a minimal contribution to Mastercard's latest earnings, but it will likely provide a significant revenue boost going forward. The company did not provide a granular breakdown of the money it is making from services, but based on comments from Mehra and other executives, it's clear cybersecurity contributes to a big portion of that.

In practice, Mastercard's cyber business comes in the form of selling advanced fraud detection services to merchants that help them decide how to best establish a trade-off between reducing transaction friction and screening for bad actors. This process is complemented by the company's push to expand tokenization, a process that replaces card numbers—which can be intercepted and stolen—with a more generic identifier.

In coming years, however, credit card networks are likely to be tested like never before as fraud rings—many of them seasoned criminal hackers from Russia and China—use generative AI tools to create deepfakes and other forms of advanced impersonation. Mehra, though, says Mastercard is ready for the new threat, in part because AI is not just a tool for attackers, but for companies to harden their defenses.

He explained that, both for cybersecurity and the company's operations in general, Mastercard has a sophisticated AI strategy, that has been helped by its 2017 acquisition of Brighterion, a San Francisco artificial intelligence startup. That strategy is formed by a three-part framework that informs the use of AI.

"Just having the data is insufficient... You've got to be able to organize the data in a manner which allows for those models to be effective," said Mehra. "Step one, you've got to have the data. Step two, you have to structure the data and organize it in a manner which can make your models effective. Step three is about having the right kind of data scientists and AI folks to actually create models which are self-learning models which help to improve the efficacy."

When it comes to the coming generative AI clash between cyber attackers and Mastercard, only time will tell who has the upper hand. In the meantime, the company is also using AI to soup up its other service offerings, which include data-based marketing services that it provides to large customers like Starbucks that are looking to improve their ad targeting online and in the real world.

About the Author
Jeff John Roberts
By Jeff John RobertsEditor, Finance and Crypto
LinkedIn iconTwitter icon

Jeff John Roberts is the Finance and Crypto editor at Fortune, overseeing coverage of the blockchain and how technology is changing finance.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

Sam Bankman-Fried formally files for pardon—but White House reiterates that FTX cofounder’s odds are slim
CryptoSam Bankman-Fried
Sam Bankman-Fried formally files for pardon—but White House reiterates that FTX cofounder’s odds are slim
By Camila Grigera NaonJune 9, 2026
3 hours ago
A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, June 3, 2026
InvestingWall Street
Wall Street dumped nearly $1 trillion in tech stocks by midday—then clawed it back and bought peanut butter and paint
By Eva RoytburgJune 9, 2026
3 hours ago
America’s grid is reeling. General Motors offers itself as a distributed utility in disguise
EnergyAutos
America’s grid is reeling. General Motors offers itself as a distributed utility in disguise
By Nick LichtenbergJune 9, 2026
4 hours ago
Tesla cofounder: ‘We should be really worried’ about the U.S. grid as China speeds ahead in the power race
EnergyBrainstorm Tech
Tesla cofounder: ‘We should be really worried’ about the U.S. grid as China speeds ahead in the power race
By Jordan BlumJune 9, 2026
4 hours ago
President Donald Trump signing an executive order introducing a $100,000 fee for H-1B visas.
LawImmigration
Trump’s $100,000 visa fee is dead in one court and alive in another, setting up Supreme Court brawl
By Michael Casey and The Associated PressJune 9, 2026
5 hours ago
U.S. President Donald Trump on Liberation Day.
EconomyChina
China’s exports to the US are surging at a pre-Liberation Day pace, defying Trump’s tariff goals
By Chan Ho-Him and The Associated PressJune 9, 2026
6 hours ago

Most Popular

Trump, who has repeatedly called climate change fake, is now threatening Brazil with tariffs over the deforestation of the Amazon
Environment
Trump, who has repeatedly called climate change fake, is now threatening Brazil with tariffs over the deforestation of the Amazon
By Sasha RogelbergJune 8, 2026
1 day ago
Pentagon accuses Alibaba, Baidu and BYD, three of China's biggest companies, of supporting the Chinese military
Asia
Pentagon accuses Alibaba, Baidu and BYD, three of China's biggest companies, of supporting the Chinese military
By Kate O'Keeffe and BloombergJune 8, 2026
1 day ago
'We are rapidly running out of time': Watchdog sounds Social Security alarm after 22% cut confirmed for 2032
Economy
'We are rapidly running out of time': Watchdog sounds Social Security alarm after 22% cut confirmed for 2032
By Nick LichtenbergJune 9, 2026
8 hours ago
Current price of oil as of June 8, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of June 8, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 8, 2026
1 day ago
Gen Zers are arriving at college unable to even read a sentence—professors warn it could lead to a generation of anxious and lonely graduates
Success
Gen Zers are arriving at college unable to even read a sentence—professors warn it could lead to a generation of anxious and lonely graduates
By Preston ForeJune 7, 2026
2 days ago
Costco CEO Ron Vachris rose from forklift driver to the C-suite without a college degree: ‘Don’t chase a title’ is the career advice that got him there
Success
Costco CEO Ron Vachris rose from forklift driver to the C-suite without a college degree: ‘Don’t chase a title’ is the career advice that got him there
By Preston ForeJune 8, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.