• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Despite a $500 million net worth, Shaq just finished his fourth degree. He warns graduates: 'Your character will take you further than your resume'

2

Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 

3

Pay transparency is exposing a bigger problem: Most companies can't explain why they pay what they pay

1

Despite a $500 million net worth, Shaq just finished his fourth degree. He warns graduates: 'Your character will take you further than your resume'

2

Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 

3

Pay transparency is exposing a bigger problem: Most companies can't explain why they pay what they pay
NewslettersBull Sheet

The global markets barely budge as helicopter-money measures achieve lift-off

By
Bernhard Warner
Bernhard Warner
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Bernhard Warner
Bernhard Warner
Down Arrow Button Icon
March 19, 2020, 6:23 AM ET

This is the web version of the Bull Sheet, Fortune’s no-BS daily newsletter on the markets. Sign up to receive it in your inbox here.

Good morning, everyone. For a while yesterday, it was as if the past three-or-so years had never happened. The markets had wiped out all the gains of the Trump presidency.

The markets are a bit calmer today. Let’s check in on them now.

Markets update

We begin in Asia where there’s some really good news about Covid-19 coming out of China: Hubei province, the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak, has reported zero new infections in the past 24 hours. That detail, however, is failing to lift Asian markets.

In Europe, where the number of confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths has now surpassed that of China, the markets are highly volatile, but climbing. Investors are cheering yesterday’s move by the European Central Bank to launch an unprecedented 750 billion euro ($820 billion) bond-buying program. In a break with the past, the central bank will now buy non-financial commercial paper and Greek debt, a move that’s begun closing the gap on sovereign spreads and should keep liquidity flowing for companies facing a financial crunch. And they are legion. Just look at airlines.

Lufthansa announced on Thursday it’s grounding all but 63 planes, joining Delta Air Lines and Qantas in dramatically cutting back operations as lockdown measures expand across the world.

***

The U.S. futures looks set to open in the red again after yesterday’s mega sell-off. Investors have been bailing on stocks despite Washington kicking into high gear on stimulus measures. Trump’s top economic advisor, Larry Kudlow, even floated the idea of the government buying equities as the price tag on emergency measures balloons to $1.3 trillion.

Elsewhere, king dollar conquers everything in its path as investors hoard cash. The British pound has fallen to a 35-year-low against the dollar, down to a buck-15. Crude, meanwhile, has bounced off lows last plumbed in the early aughts. And gold is rebounding.

***

If you’re like me, you just don’t want to look at your portfolio these days. It’s been a brutal month, one for the record books.

In morning trade yesterday, the Dow Jones sunk below 20,000 and kept going down. For a while, it was trading at a level last seen in January, 2017 when Barack Obama was president. The Dow futures are down, as I type, more than 400 points.

***

Remember when?

I’ve trotted out a version of this chart before. I just keep updating it to remind myself how far we’ve fallen, and how quickly.

It wasn’t all that long ago—try last month—when the markets were hitting all-time highs. The Dow has now shed nearly 10,000 points since February 12 as investors sell just about everything but dollars.

We’re in a tough spot. Historic stimulus measures are needed to keep the cogs of the global economy moving. But the markets are asking: How exactly are we going to pay for all this?

Postscript

In Rome, a flat with a terrazzo (terrace) is key. I’ve squeezed onto many a narrow Roman balcony to dine with friends, clinging wine glasses as the sun sets on another scorcher of a day. The setting can turn even the humblest home-cooked meal into a decadent Italian affair.

Our little terrazzo is in use year-round. During the lockdown my appreciation for the terrazzo climbs daily. It’s where I go to get some air and marvel at the stillness of the city. It’s also where I encounter neighbors doing the same.

As you’d imagine, the conversations last a bit longer these days. They get a bit more personal too. People are concerned about their already tenuous jobs. They worry about their elderly parents stranded in other towns. One neighbor told me about his brother, a journalist, who is in a hospital in Milan. Yep, the coronavirus. They ask me what the Americans are doing. They’re concerned other countries aren’t doing enough. They fear that what we’re seeing on local TV news reports—overflowing hospitals and coffins stacked in rows; the army has been called in to remove the dead from the northern city of Bergamo—will happen elsewhere.

This daily terrace-to-terrace chatter is a throw back to an era before WhatsApp and FaceTime. It’s become irreplaceable again, bringing Romans together. As my neighbor was telling me about his ailing brother, his kids were hanging a banner over the railings that read, “Andrà tutto bene,” which roughly translates to, “everything will be all right.” It’s become a kind of rallying cry here.

Italian flags and banners that read “it will be alright” hang from balconies and windows around Rome. Original photography: Bernhard Warner

If I step out onto my balcony I can see dozens of such signs reminding me we’re in this all together.

Andrà tutto bene.

Bernhard Warner
@BernhardWarner
Bernhard.Warner@Fortune.com

Looking for more detail on coronavirus? Fortune has a new pop-up newsletter. The aptly named Outbreak will keep you up to date on the latest news surrounding the coronavirus outbreak and its impact on business and commerce globally. Sign up here.

And, you can write to bullsheet@fortune.com or reply to this email with suggestions and feedback.

Today's reads

Better than 2008. Despite the speed of the stock market’s 30% collapse since mid-February, Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Shiller thinks we probably aren’t heading for another Great Depression or Great Recession. “This doesn't seem to be another 1929 or 2008,” he tells Fortune’s Shawn Tully. “This time the bad news comes from something outside the economy. This time it's a virus story that turned into a stock market story.”

Time to buy? Stocks may be nearing “buy” territory, according to a yardstick used by asset manager Peter Kraus called the “equity risk premium”, or ERP. “Determining the new ERP caused by fear in the market gives you the best point estimate for where people should say, ‘The market is cheap,’” Kraus, co-founder of Aperture Investors, told Fortune. He adds that with coronavirus fears prompting the 12% fall in the S&P on “Mad Monday” (a.k.a. March 16), “we're almost there.”

FX meltdown. Liquidity evaporated in the $6.6 trillion-a-day currency market as few traders wanted to take positions against a surging dollar ahead of a potential coronavirus lockdown in London, the biggest trading hub for foreign exchange. The pound sank as much as 5% on Wednesday to its lowest since 1985, and Norway’s krone plummeted more than 13% to a record low, moves akin to so-called flash crashes, Bloomberg reports.

Market candy

$26 trillion. That’s how big the fiscal response may need to be to counter the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, according to one of Australia’s top-performing fund managers. Hamish Douglass, chief investment officer of Magellan Financial Group Ltd, estimates the stimulus governments may need to inject at up to 20-30% of global GDP, Bloomberg reports.

About the Author
By Bernhard Warner
LinkedIn iconTwitter icon
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Newsletters

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Newsletters

Boris Cherny is the creator and head of Claude Code at Anthropic
NewslettersEye on AI
Anthropic lands in London as AI-powered coding—and the anxieties around it—go mainstream
By Beatrice NolanMay 21, 2026
4 hours ago
Victoria’s Secret’s CEO is so confident in her strategy to bring back sexy that the company just changed its stock ticker to ‘VSXY’
NewslettersMPW Daily
Victoria’s Secret’s CEO is so confident in her strategy to bring back sexy that the company just changed its stock ticker to ‘VSXY’
By Emma HinchliffeMay 21, 2026
4 hours ago
Intuit CFO on why the company is simplifying its structure
NewslettersCFO Daily
Intuit CFO on why the company is simplifying its structure
By Sheryl EstradaMay 21, 2026
6 hours ago
Elon Musk sits with his fists together, looking up.
NewslettersTerm Sheet
SpaceX’s IPO filing is full of surprises
By Allie GarfinkleMay 21, 2026
11 hours ago
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk unveiling the company's new manned spacecraft in Hawthorne, Calif. on May 29, 2014. (Photo: Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)
NewslettersFortune Tech
Rollout complete: SpaceX files IPO prospectus
By Andrew NuscaMay 21, 2026
12 hours ago
The SpaceX IPO is a referendum on Elon Musk and his plan to colonize Mars
NewslettersCEO Daily
The SpaceX IPO is a referendum on Elon Musk and his plan to colonize Mars
By Diane BradyMay 21, 2026
13 hours ago

Most Popular

Despite a $500 million net worth, Shaq just finished his fourth degree. He warns graduates: 'Your character will take you further than your resume'
Success
Despite a $500 million net worth, Shaq just finished his fourth degree. He warns graduates: 'Your character will take you further than your resume'
By Preston ForeMay 20, 2026
1 day ago
Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 
Workplace Culture
Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 
By Preston ForeMay 19, 2026
2 days ago
Pay transparency is exposing a bigger problem: Most companies can't explain why they pay what they pay
Workplace Culture
Pay transparency is exposing a bigger problem: Most companies can't explain why they pay what they pay
By Sydney LakeMay 20, 2026
1 day ago
Meet a 21-year-old community college student who's going to China as the first American woman welder in the trades Olympics
Future of Work
Meet a 21-year-old community college student who's going to China as the first American woman welder in the trades Olympics
By Mike Householder and The Associated PressMay 17, 2026
4 days ago
Dr. Bernice King on why companies that walked back DEI were never truly committed: 'If you retreat that quick…that reveals who you really are'
Workplace Culture
Dr. Bernice King on why companies that walked back DEI were never truly committed: 'If you retreat that quick…that reveals who you really are'
By Preston ForeMay 19, 2026
2 days ago
Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
Success
Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
By Preston ForeMay 21, 2026
7 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.