• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year

2

Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers

3

Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50

1

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year

2

Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers

3

Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50
TechInvestors Guide

What to Watch for in Tesla’s Third Quarter Earnings

By
Katie Fehrenbacher
Katie Fehrenbacher
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Katie Fehrenbacher
Katie Fehrenbacher
Down Arrow Button Icon
October 24, 2016, 12:07 PM ET
Telsa CEO Elon Musk Unveils New Vehicle
HAWTHORNE CA - OCTOBER 09: Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, unveils the dual engine chassis of the new Tesla 'D' model at the Hawthorne Airport October 09, 2014 in Hawthorne, California. The 'D' is the faster and all-wheel-drive version of the Model S electric sedan, capable of accelerating to 60 miles per hour in just over 3 seconds. (Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)Photograph by Kevork Djansezian—Getty Images

All eyes will be on Tesla’s financials this Wednesday afternoon as the electric car company tries to show it can be cash flow positive (and maybe even turn a quarterly profit) as it acquires sister solar company SolarCity and spends heavily on expanding its car manufacturing.

As the company’s founder, CEO, and largest shareholder, Elon Musk, said in an email to staff last month, the quarter is “critical” for the company’s long term efforts. The company is trying to convince Wall Street that Tesla isn’t just a spending sinkhole, but that it has a healthy business that it can expand over the coming years. The 13-year-old company turned a modest quarterly profit once in 2013, and Musk has previously said that the company expects to be profitable at some point in 2016.

Getting into the black will be a difficult achievement. Tesla (TSLA) is in the process of growing its car production from delivering around 80,000 cars this year to 500,000 cars by 2018. That growth includes launching its $35,000 electric car, the Model 3, at the end of 2017, and requires building a massive battery factory outside of Reno, Nevada to supply batteries for the Model 3.

Tesla said in its last earnings report that it plans to spend $2.25 billion on capital expenditures this year, and it’s been increasing its operating expenses over the third and fourth quarters.

Part of the funding for its manufacturing and next car launch will likely come from another debt or equity raise, which Musk said recently won’t occur this year, but analysts think will likely happen at some point next year. Tesla already raised $738 million earlier this year in a stock sale to help fund its Model 3 development and factory expansions.

Given the potential equity or debt raise, Tesla needs to convince investors that it’s business is sound. Tesla’s stock is currently trading around $200 per share, down from a 52-week high of around $270 per share.

Earlier this month, Tesla was able to meet its quarterly car shipment numbers for the first time this year. And just a couple weeks ago, Tesla said it shipped a record 24,500 cars in the third quarter, beating estimates and reaffirming that it would be able to ship 50,000 cars in the second half of the year.

For more on Tesla’s third quarter car shipment numbers, watch:

Analysts predict that while Tesla will deliver a GAAP loss of 53 cents a share in the third quarter, it will report adjusted earnings of breakeven for the quarter. The company is expected to report sales of $2.34 billion for the quarter, almost double its $1.24 billion sales for the same quarter a year ago.

Here are four things to watch for in Tesla’s earnings:

1). The SolarCity Deal: Tesla and SolarCity (SCTY) shareholders plan to vote on the controversial merger on November 17, meaning this is Tesla’s last earnings before that important vote. SolarCity could report earnings on November 3rd.

Tesla’s third quarter earnings appear to be coming in a week early, and just days before a planned product announcement on Friday for a combined solar panel and battery product from the combined companies. Tesla and SolarCity are clearly trying to spend these last few weeks before the vote, convincing shareholders that both companies would have a major advantage once combined.

Given SolarCity’s large debts and the difficult residential solar panel business, it’s a harder sell to Tesla shareholders that SolarCity would be an asset. But Musk says the combined companies could eventually save $150 million through the union.

Expect Musk to tease the October 28 Tesla/SolarCity product launch in the earnings call, and possibly comment on the upcoming vote. Will there be any more surprises about the deal that he’ll try to slip in?

2). Profit vs. Accounting: Given Tesla’s strong desire to achieve adjusted profitability in the quarter, pay particular attention to the numbers that could get Tesla there. Fortune’s Shawn Tully recently reported in detail on a significant change that Tesla made to its accounting late last year that introduced the concept of “cash flow from core operations,” which makes the company’s cash flow look vastly improved. Will Tesla use this metric to show a potential positive cash flow or profit?

Get Data Sheet, Fortune’s technology newsletter.

3). Spending Spree and Fundraising: While Tesla could show a third quarter adjusted profit, the company still spent heavily in the third quarter and will do so again in the fourth quarter. Will it have spent more than expected? Will Musk give new details on when the company will want to raise more funds?

If Tesla does have a blockbuster quarter, it could be a good time for Musk to slip in more forecasts for spending and fundraising. In the past, Musk has said that Tesla’s massive spending could turn Tesla into a company worth $700 billion in a decade.

4). Factory Future: As Tesla plans to grow car shipments from 80,000 this year to 500,000 by 2018, the company will be building out its factory in Fremont, Calif., and finishing up its battery factory outside of Reno, Nev. Will there be any new info about the so-called Gigafactory, which was only about 14% complete when Fortune toured it this summer?

About the Author
By Katie Fehrenbacher
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Tech

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Tech

w
Environmentclimate change
The asphalt industry has a heat problem — and cities are running out of patience
By Aya Diab, Alexa St. John and The Associated PressMay 23, 2026
6 hours ago
SpaceX’s third-generation Starship, which NASA may use to put astronauts on the moon, makes debut in test flight ahead of blockbuster IPO
InnovationSpaceX
SpaceX’s third-generation Starship, which NASA may use to put astronauts on the moon, makes debut in test flight ahead of blockbuster IPO
By Marcia Dunn and The Associated PressMay 23, 2026
7 hours ago
Is a college degree still worth it? Here are 3 things it can teach you that AI can’t do
Future of WorkColleges and Universities
Is a college degree still worth it? Here are 3 things it can teach you that AI can’t do
By Jake AngeloMay 23, 2026
8 hours ago
Ashley Yetman
Commentarydisruption
Everyone is blaming AI for the death of ‘craft.’ Take a good look in the mirror
By Ashley YetmanMay 23, 2026
10 hours ago
Josh Smith, founder of Montana Knife Company.
SuccessEntrepreneurs
This 39-year-old quit his lineman job during the pandemic and built a $50 million company in his backyard
By Nick LichtenbergMay 23, 2026
11 hours ago
Jon McNeill
SuccessCareers
Former Tesla president shares the secret to success he learned from his former boss, Elon Musk: ‘He demands to only work with world-class talent’
By Preston ForeMay 23, 2026
12 hours ago

Most Popular

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
Success
Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
By Preston ForeMay 21, 2026
2 days ago
Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers
Success
Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers
By Emma BurleighMay 22, 2026
1 day ago
Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50
Success
Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50
By Preston ForeMay 22, 2026
1 day ago
Microsoft reports are exposing AI's real cost problem: Using the tech is more expensive than paying human employees
AI
Microsoft reports are exposing AI's real cost problem: Using the tech is more expensive than paying human employees
By Jake AngeloMay 22, 2026
1 day ago
Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 
Workplace Culture
Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 
By Preston ForeMay 19, 2026
4 days ago
Current price of oil as of May 22, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of May 22, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 22, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.