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Donald Trump Extinguishes Ted Cruz’s Lead in Iowa

GOP Presidential Candidates Debate In CharlestonGOP Presidential Candidates Debate In Charleston
Republican presidential candidates Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz at the Fox Business Network Republican presidential debate in January.Photograph by Scott Olson — Getty Images

Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz in Iowa and maintains his lead in New Hampshire.

According to a new Fox News poll, 34% of Iowa caucus-goers have chose Trump as their first choice candidate. This is an 11-point bump up from a poll conducted earlier this month, while Cruz dropped 4 points giving him 23%. Marco Rubio comes in third with 12%, a 3-point decline from the previous poll. About a third of those polled say that they could change their minds between now and the primary, just over a week away, while 63% claim to be steadfast in their decision. When asked who would be their second choice, 14% chose Trump, 22% chose Cruz, and 15% chose Rubio.

Voters were also asked who they would pick if Trump weren’t an option. Cruz came in first place with 36% while support for Rubio only went up to 17%. When asked the same question, but under the condition that Cruz is excluded from the primary, Trump gets 43% of the vote while Rubio remains at 17%.

Though Trump is the clear frontrunner in Iowa, when voters were asked who they’d refuse to vote for against a Democratic candidate, he received the most votes with 20%. Jeb Bush followed at 14%, and Cruz received 11%.

Trump is also the first choice in New Hampshire with 31%, down 2 points from the previous poll. Cruz is again in second place with 14%, up 2 points, and Rubio is just below him with 13%. Ohio governor John Kasich, who received just 2% support in Iowa, is a much more appealing candidate to New Hampshire voters, coming in fourth place with 9%.

Without Trump in the race, Cruz’s numbers go up to 24%; without Cruz in the race, Trump’s numbers go up to 36%.

Again, when asked who they’d refuse to give their vote to, Trump led the pack with 26%. Bush again came in second with 15%, and Cruz followed at 14%.