Janet Yellen’s press conference will be the event to watch today, as odds making continues on when she will begin to raise interest rates.
A survey of economists in the Wall Street Journal last week found most were betting on September. The future markets are betting December. We’re not betting, but think it is past time for the central bank to get its rate structure back to something closer to normal. Stay tuned.
Separately, speculation about health insurers merging continues to be a story to watch. The urge to merge should be no surprise in an industry changing as rapidly as this one. When we polled Fortune 500 CEOs recently, 76% agreed with the statement that society would be better off if employees “take responsibility for their own health care and retirement.” And they are backing those words with action, as employer support for health care is falling, despite rising medical costs. Meanwhile, the need to negotiate with hospitals, doctors, and, most importantly, with Medicare makes size a critical advantage for insurers.
Fortune’s Shawn Tully points out that if United Health and Aetna were to combine, they would have plenty of size – overtaking Apple as number five on the Fortune 500.
Enjoy the day. And stay healthy.
| Alan Murray | |
| @alansmurray | |
| alan.murray@fortune.com |
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Around the Water Cooler
The Central Intelligence Agency's chief information officer told a room full of techies on Tuesday that his employer is a lot like the tech industry. The CIA's Doug Wolfe, speaking at a tech conference, was talking about the agency's keen interest in a new, open-source data-processing technology called Spark, which has the tech world abuzz over its ability to sort through and analyze information more quickly than other free big data software. Much like big tech companies, the CIA wants to quickly pull pertinent info out of reams of data. The only difference from the techies is that the government is a bit more likely to be sifting through items such as foreign bank statements and cellular records of suspected terrorists. Fortune
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