• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Elon Musk on MacKenzie Scott giving away $26 billion of her fortune: 'Sadly,' it makes the world a worse place

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster

1

Elon Musk on MacKenzie Scott giving away $26 billion of her fortune: 'Sadly,' it makes the world a worse place

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster

Does the wealthiest 0.1% really fear inflation?

By
Chris Matthews
Chris Matthews
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Chris Matthews
Chris Matthews
Down Arrow Button Icon
April 8, 2014, 4:34 PM ET
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

FORTUNE — The International Monetary Fund isn’t known for its candor.

As a political institution with a multitude of sponsors with differing — or even competing — interests, it often puts forth policy recommendations in a swirl of circumlocution, or as Paul Krugman recently asserted, euphemism.

Krugman was referring to a recent IMF report in which the bank, using very imprecise language, seemed to support the idea that central banks should raise their target interest rates from the 1% to 2% norm of today closer to 4%, as many economists have argued. Those supporting higher target levels of inflation argue that:

  • A higher average yearly rate of inflation will give central bankers more leeway during recessions to stimulate the economy. In part, the Fed has had to resort to unconventional monetary policy like quantitative easing because it can’t lower short-term interest rates below zero. If we instead aimed for 4% yearly inflation rather than 2%, the Fed would have a greater ability to stimulate demand during downturns;
  • Higher inflation would help reduce government debt in advanced economies more quickly;
  • And inflation encourages spending money now rather than in the future, something advanced economies, which are still suffering from a lack of demand, need right now.

MORE: Tech stocks may have more room to fall

But the IMF report doesn’t explicitly argue these points. Instead, it makes vague reference to the first idea and then moves on. Why is the IMF so reticent when other economists have been much more forceful arguing for higher inflation? Krugman believes it’s because the IMF serves the interest of the richest people on earth:

How did the 70s get framed as the ultimate bad time? For sure they weren’t good — but the really bad times for ordinary working families were the big recessions, which took place under Reagan, to some extent under Bush I, and above all after the financial crisis.

Krugman shows that even though real economic growth was somewhat slow in the 1970s, average families saw their real wages rise. On the other hand, financial assets like stocks and bonds didn’t perform so well during that period of high inflation. And who owns most financial assets?

“The 0.1 percent, who according to the Piketty-Saez database ‘only’ get about 4 percent of total wages but have more than 20 percent of the wealth and surely a larger share of financial assets,” Krugman writes.

Therefore, he argues, economists in institutions like the IMF can’t come out in favor of more inflation, because it would harm the wealthy masters of the universe who are the real forces behind institutions like the IMF.

But blaming class warfare for anti-inflation sentiment stems from the same lazy thinking that anti-inflation zealots partake in. After all, if it is in fact just as easy to anchor inflation at 4% as it is at 2% — as pro-inflation economists argue — then is there any logical reason why financial assets should perform worse in such an environment than real estate or other hard assets? Stock values are based on the discounted flows of future nominal earnings, and those values shouldn’t be depressed in an environment of higher but stable inflation.

Bond values will suffer during periods when inflation spikes, but if a central bank were able to maintain yearly 4% price increases in a stable and predictable way, interest rates (and coupon payments) could simply rise to reflect this new reality.

MORE: Income taxes: One thing to not get outraged over

There doesn’t seem to be any logical reason why the wealthiest 0.1% would be worse off in an environment of higher — yet stable — inflation than they would in the current world of persistently low inflation. Just because financial assets performed poorly in the 1970s doesn’t mean that that was due to higher inflation. In fact, aiming for higher inflation would enable central banks to combat recessions more effectively, and the 0.1% would benefit on the wings of higher overall growth.

That said, there sure are a lot of those in the 0.1% who are suspicious of governments targeting higher inflation. High inflation tends to occur in economies that are mismanaged. And a 4% target implicitly puts faith in the government’s ability to manage the economy, and the very wealthy, on average, are less trustful of government activism than other segments of the population.

But the cohort with the most to lose from higher inflation isn’t the wealthy, but the retired. In the U.S. alone, there are more than 45 million retired people living at least partially off social security. Those payments are indexed to inflation, but many retired Americans supplement that income with money they have saved throughout their working lives, and the purchasing power of retirement savings would be eroded substantially by higher inflation.

The 0.1% are a powerful political constituency, but they have the wherewithal to thrive in inflationary or deflationary environments, and they are likely more concerned about tax policies than whatever central banks are up to. But older people of lesser means do, in fact, have a lot to lose from inflation, and politicians the world over know very well that these people vote.

About the Author
By Chris Matthews
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in

Nike’s earning numbers exceeded Wall Street’s expectations. But CEO Elliott Hill’s next test is the World Cup
RetailNike
Nike’s earning numbers exceeded Wall Street’s expectations. But CEO Elliott Hill’s next test is the World Cup
By Mia OsmonbekovJune 30, 2026
1 hour ago
Dell’s AI boom is real, but so is the profit margin hit nobody is pricing in
AIDell Technologies
Dell’s AI boom is real, but so is the profit margin hit nobody is pricing in
By Mia OsmonbekovJune 30, 2026
3 hours ago
Young couple looking sad in front of a home with a for sale sign
Real EstateHousing
Gen Z and millennials aren’t convinced the American Dream exists anymore: Only 40% of them can afford to buy a home
By Tristan BoveJune 30, 2026
3 hours ago
Russian President Vladimir Putin
EconomyRussia
It started with one viral influencer complaining about Russia’s economy. Now a record 60% of Russians are pessimistic about their country’s outlook
By Tristan BoveJune 30, 2026
5 hours ago
Image of colored bar charts with one being pushed up.
NewslettersEye on AI
AI is minting billion-dollar companies faster than before
By Beatrice NolanJune 30, 2026
5 hours ago
Stripe CEO Patrick Collison gestures with his hands as he speaks into a microphone before a congressional committee hearing.
Cryptostablecoins
Stripe, Visa and over 140 other businesses to launch stablecoin to rival Tether and Circle
By Camila Grigera NaónJune 30, 2026
5 hours ago

Most Popular

Elon Musk on MacKenzie Scott giving away $26 billion of her fortune: 'Sadly,' it makes the world a worse place
Success
Elon Musk on MacKenzie Scott giving away $26 billion of her fortune: 'Sadly,' it makes the world a worse place
By Sydney LakeJune 29, 2026
1 day ago
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
Success
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
By Sydney LakeJune 25, 2026
6 days ago
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
Success
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
By Preston ForeJune 27, 2026
3 days ago
'Humanity has chosen to become idiots': This Brown professor switched to take-home exams after a mass shooting and discovered mass cheating
AI
'Humanity has chosen to become idiots': This Brown professor switched to take-home exams after a mass shooting and discovered mass cheating
By Catherina GioinoJune 29, 2026
24 hours ago
The retired college professor fighting a $313 trespassing ticket in Wisconsin thinks he's part of a national struggle
Environment
The retired college professor fighting a $313 trespassing ticket in Wisconsin thinks he's part of a national struggle
By Catherina GioinoJune 28, 2026
3 days ago
Current price of oil as of June 29, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of June 29, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 29, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.