• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

AI CEOs from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Microsoft set aside their rivalry to warn Congress AI is making it too easy to design and create bioweapons

2

Social Security faces a 24% cut in 2032—that's a $345 billion hit to retirees nationwide, watchdog says

3

MacKenzie Scott's approach to her $26 billion giving spree was inspired by a book she read in college about writing

1

AI CEOs from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Microsoft set aside their rivalry to warn Congress AI is making it too easy to design and create bioweapons

2

Social Security faces a 24% cut in 2032—that's a $345 billion hit to retirees nationwide, watchdog says

3

MacKenzie Scott's approach to her $26 billion giving spree was inspired by a book she read in college about writing

China’s stressful stress tests

By
Colin Barr
Colin Barr
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Colin Barr
Colin Barr
Down Arrow Button Icon
August 5, 2010, 3:36 PM ET

No one can accuse the Chinese of taking financial half-measures.

China responded to the financial meltdown of 2008 with the world’s biggest stimulus program. Now that the lending excesses that grew out of that plan are becoming apparent, China is undertaking the world’s toughest bank stress tests.



Do they have enough?

Lenders in China will have to check how they would fare were property prices to plunge by more than half, Bloomberg reports. The provision comes as surging house prices in big Chinese cities raise worries that the country is in the midst of a giant asset bubble.

A house in Beijing costs 20 times the average household’s annual income, according to data presented last week by the International Monetary Fund, while banks’ exposure to property loans has soared to 22% from 16% over the past year.

Officials fear a collapse of property prices would overwhelm the overextended banks and derail the nation’s rapid economic growth. That wouldn’t be good news for a recovery that already seems to be petering out.

“The scale of the expansion in credit has been unprecedented,” the IMF noted last month in its annual report on China. “The main risks facing the Chinese economy include a renewed weakening in the global recovery, a worsening of credit quality (notably from an expansion of lending to local governments), or a misstep in the government’s response to rising property prices.”

Of course, saying China is planning the toughest stress tests borders on damning with faint praise. Tests in the United States and Europe were roundly criticized as insufficiently stressful.

But the tough Chinese test, coupled with what Chinese credit rater Dagong this year termed as “resolute support from the government,” should help the banks weather the worst of the property losses.

“At this point, the banking system looks well-placed to withstand a significant deterioration in credit quality,” the IMF said.

One difference between China’s situation now and the one in the United States a few years ago is that policymakers in China aren’t trying to ignore the problem.

“The Chinese authorities are acutely aware of the underlying risks of asset price inflation,” the IMF said, noting local efforts to crack down on loose lending standards and raise interest rates on some purchases.

Even successful stress tests won’t confront the underlying problems that are feeding the property bubble, including a lack of alternatives for Chinese savers. But at the moment, everyone’s focus is on buying time to muddle through.

About the Author
By Colin Barr
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in

Marvell Technology, Flex to join S&P 500 later this month
InvestingS&P 500
Marvell Technology, Flex to join S&P 500 later this month
By Isabelle Lee and BloombergJune 6, 2026
2 hours ago
Ukraine targets St. Petersburg after Putin refuses talks
EuropeRussia
Ukraine targets St. Petersburg after Putin refuses talks
By BloombergJune 6, 2026
2 hours ago
Why oil’s not at $200 after the biggest supply shock in history
EnergyOil
Why oil’s not at $200 after the biggest supply shock in history
By Devika Krishna Kumar, Alex Longley, Yongchang Chin, Mia Gindis and BloombergJune 6, 2026
2 hours ago
Natisha Hiedeman, wearing a black and green jersey, celebrates on court.
North AmericaSports
The Seattle Storm used to be the ‘tail’ on the ‘dog’ of its NBA counterpart. Now the WNBA team is leading the city’s basketball revival
By Sasha RogelbergJune 6, 2026
3 hours ago
‘That’s the way life goes’: Trump tells Knicks fans who can’t afford tickets to ‘watch it on television’
Arts & EntertainmentDonald Trump
‘That’s the way life goes’: Trump tells Knicks fans who can’t afford tickets to ‘watch it on television’
By Michelle L. Price, Will Weissert and The Associated PressJune 6, 2026
3 hours ago
Trump issues pardon to former Republican congressman who made $350,000 in illegal gains from insider trading
LawInsider trading
Trump issues pardon to former Republican congressman who made $350,000 in illegal gains from insider trading
By The Associated PressJune 6, 2026
3 hours ago

Most Popular

AI CEOs from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Microsoft set aside their rivalry to warn Congress AI is making it too easy to design and create bioweapons
AI
AI CEOs from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Microsoft set aside their rivalry to warn Congress AI is making it too easy to design and create bioweapons
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezJune 5, 2026
1 day ago
Social Security faces a 24% cut in 2032—that's a $345 billion hit to retirees nationwide, watchdog says
Economy
Social Security faces a 24% cut in 2032—that's a $345 billion hit to retirees nationwide, watchdog says
By Nick LichtenbergJune 5, 2026
1 day ago
MacKenzie Scott's approach to her $26 billion giving spree was inspired by a book she read in college about writing
Success
MacKenzie Scott's approach to her $26 billion giving spree was inspired by a book she read in college about writing
By Sydney LakeJune 5, 2026
1 day ago
Current price of oil as of June 5, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of June 5, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 5, 2026
1 day ago
Ohio city workers are covering automated license plate readers with trash bags as officials sound the alarm on 'egregious violations' of privacy
Cybersecurity
Ohio city workers are covering automated license plate readers with trash bags as officials sound the alarm on 'egregious violations' of privacy
By Sasha RogelbergJune 3, 2026
3 days ago
Billionaires Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg used mortgages to buy multimillion-dollar mansions. Here’s why that’s a savvy financial decision
Real Estate
Billionaires Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg used mortgages to buy multimillion-dollar mansions. Here’s why that’s a savvy financial decision
By Sydney LakeJune 6, 2026
7 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.