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FinanceSaudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco debt nears 3-year high as oil plunge strains earnings

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Anthony Di Paola
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May 12, 2025, 1:35 PM ET
Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser looking glum
Amin Nasser, chief executive officer of Saudi Aramco, speaks during the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston, Texas, US, on Monday, March 10, 2025.Aaron M. Sprecher / Bloomberg—Getty Images
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Saudi Aramco’s net debt rose to the highest in almost three years, piling pressure on the finances of the world’s biggest oil exporter even as it cut its massive dividend.

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Net debt climbed 18% to 92.4 billion riyals ($24.6 billion) in the first quarter from the end of last year, according to a statement Monday. The increase comes as the company again failed to fully cover the total payout with free cash flow. Still, its borrowing levels are below many other major oil firms, leaving it with significant headroom to take on more.

Dividends from the world’s biggest oil company are crucial for Saudi state finances and key to funding Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s ambitious plan to transform the economy by developing industries like technology and tourism. With the budget forecast to be in deficit over the coming years, the kingdom is expected to increasingly lean of borrowing to fund the transformation.

Aramco’s gearing ratio — a measure of its indebtedness — rose to 5.3% at the end of March from 4.5% at the end of last year. That compares with an average of 14% for international oil companies last year, Aramco said.

Chief Financial Officer Ziad Al-Murshed said in November that the company plans to sell more debt after issuing $9 billion in dollar and Islamic bonds last year. 

Read more: Aramco to Borrow More and Focus on Dividend Growth, CFO Says

“Right now, we’re levering up the company again to target a more optimal capital structure,” Al-Murshed told analysts on a conference call Monday. “We remain at very low gearing ratio.”

He didn’t provide details on if or when the company might sell more debt.

Oil’s decline since April is likely to inflict more pain on both Aramco and the government, whose debt levels jumped by the most on record in the first quarter. Over the past five weeks, Riyadh led the OPEC+ coalition through two bigger-than-scheduled supply hikes, which together with US President Donald Trump’s trade war, briefly crashed oil futures to a four-year low below $60 a barrel in London.

Trump is visiting the Middle East this week, with his first stop in Saudi Arabia.

Brent crude is trading near $66 in London, significantly below the over $90 that the International Monetary Fund estimates the kingdom needs to balance its spending. Aramco sold crude at an average price of $76.30 a barrel in the first quarter, compared with $83 a year earlier, according to the statement.

Oil demand is set to be “steady” this year, Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser said on the conference call. He cited faster growth in Asia, particularly China, and an uptick in transport fuels in the US.

It’s too early to judge the impact of uncertainty over global trade on energy markets, though demand could improve even more if the impasse over tariffs is resolved, he said.

On Sunday, Aramco reported a 4.6% decline in first-quarter net income and reduced its dividend by about a third to $21.36 billion. Free cash flow — the money left over from operations after accounting for investments and expenses — declined 16% to $19.2 billion compared with a year earlier. 

The company said earlier this year that the total payout for 2025 would be about $85 billion, compared with around $124 billion the previous year. Aramco burned through cash to maintain the massive annual distribution, the world’s biggest at the time. In the process, it flipped the balance sheet into a net-debt position last year, from over $27 billion in net cash at the end of 2023.

Part of that total dividend was a performance-linked payout that distributed the benefits of its bumper profits from 2022. Aramco dramatically scaled back that component after completing the distribution of those earnings at the end of last year.

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