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Exclusive: Trump’s former commerce secretary says an overconfident White House may push trade allies like the EU too far

Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
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Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
June 17, 2025, 2:55 AM ET
Donald Trump and Wilbur Ross
Former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said the Trump team must not become overly confident following early tariff wins.DON EMMERT—AFP/Getty Images
  • Trump’s former Commerce Secretary, Wilbur Ross, warns that while the U.S. has achieved notable progress in trade negotiations, overconfidence could lead American negotiators to push too hard for concessions foreign governments cannot make. He is particularly concerned that “chesty” tactics with complex partners like the European Union could stall agreements—something Jamie Dimon has warned could ultimately strengthen America’s rivals.

As the world’s largest economy, America can be fairly confident in its negotiating power with trading partners. However, the Trump administration cannot overplay its hand as it may result in allies being pushed into the arms of rivals, according to experts like former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon.

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This is a scenario which Dimon has sounded the alarm on since Trump made his tariff agenda public. Writing in this year’s letter to shareholders, the “white knight of Wall Street” wrote that America first is “fine” as long as it doesn’t result in “America alone.”

Meanwhile Ross, President Trump’s former commerce secretary, is concerned that the administration’s Achilles’ heel may prove to be its confidence—potentially spurred by quickly signing framework deals with the likes of the U.K. and China.

Ross said that overall he believes President Trump and his team are handling negotiations well and have already achieved some major goals. But he added his one fear is that the government may get too “chesty.”

He told Fortune in an exclusive interview: “The very fact that they’ve made as much progress as they have shows the basic power of the U.S. to get people to come around.

“In fact my one fear is that if our government feels too chesty with their progress, they may overplay the hand and get to levels that are hard—maybe even impossible—for the other countries to give in. That’s my biggest worry right now, because it’s easy to get carried away with early successes.”

As well as a deal with the U.K. being reached and a framework with China, positive signals are also coming out of talks with India and Japan.

“What I think is very important [is] … even though they’ve taken initiatives with some 70-odd countries, in reality, there are only about four or five that make a lot of difference because they’re the ones that move the needle, and [Trump] seems to be doing pretty well,” Secretary Ross added. 

“With, I would say, the exception of the EU … It’s very difficult for the EU to make trade concessions because it‘s not really one entity. You’ve got the 27 member states, and each one of those has a different set of objectives, but each one has veto power, so it’s very tough to get a deal with the EU.”

The EU may be one of the “slower” deals, he added, while Japan, China, and Vietnam he expects to be “fairly quick.”

Problem areas

The European Union, which Trump has previously claimed was created with the sole purpose of working against America, is among the regions most likely to pose a problem if the Oval Office is too confident in its approach, said Secretary Ross.

Already, the president has vented his frustrations with a lack of progress when it comes to negotiating with the EU, previously posting an outburst on Truth Social saying the EU would be facing a 50% tariff because of its lack of action. This 50% tariff was then paused for 90 days.

When asked by Fortune which region may lead to a stalemate in talks, Secretary Ross said: “The EU is definitely a possibility, simply because it’s hard for them to take a united front. 

“But someone like a Vietnam, on whom he has imposed huge tariffs … That one frankly surprised me a little bit in that the reason our trade deficit suddenly shot up with Vietnam is there was a lot of factory movement from China to Vietnam.”

Keeping the European Union close in particular is a key concern of Dimon’s, on account of its history and the potential fragmentation of the bloc.

“This is going to be hard, but our country’s goal should be to help make European nations stronger and keep them close. If Europe’s economic weakness leads to fragmentation, the landscape will look a lot like the world before World War II,” he wrote earlier this year. Such fragmentation, over time, would increase European dependency on China and Russia, essentially turning Uncle Sam’s former allies into “vassal states” of its rivals.

Subscribe to Fortune Gulf Brief. Every Tuesday, this new newsletter delivers clear-eyed, authoritative intelligence on the deals, decisions, policies, and power shifts shaping one of the world’s most consequential regions, written for the people who need to act on it. Sign up here.
About the Author
Eleanor Pringle
By Eleanor PringleSenior Reporter, Economics and Markets
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Eleanor Pringle is an award-winning senior reporter at Fortune covering news, the economy, and personal finance. Eleanor previously worked as a business correspondent and news editor in regional news in the U.K. She completed her journalism training with the Press Association after earning a degree from the University of East Anglia.

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