• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Former U.S. Secret Service agent says bringing your authentic self to work stifles teamwork: 'You don’t get high performers, you get sloppiness'

2

Current price of oil as of June 22, 2026

3

Current price of silver as of Monday, June 22, 2026

1

Former U.S. Secret Service agent says bringing your authentic self to work stifles teamwork: 'You don’t get high performers, you get sloppiness'

2

Current price of oil as of June 22, 2026

3

Current price of silver as of Monday, June 22, 2026
FinanceHousing

The ‘silver tsunami’ is about to hit the housing market—but millennials and Gen Zers may not come out any better in the wash

Sydney Lake
By
Sydney Lake
Sydney Lake
Associate Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
Sydney Lake
By
Sydney Lake
Sydney Lake
Associate Editor
Down Arrow Button Icon
November 9, 2023, 2:02 PM ET
A “silver tsunami” of baby boomers will start downsizing next year and 2025.
A “silver tsunami” of baby boomers will start downsizing next year and 2025. Getty Images/Robert Daly
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

In terms of the housing market, baby boomers pretty much have it made. They own homes worth a whopping $18 trillion combined, compared to just about $5 trillion for millennials as of the first quarter of 2023, according to a Redfin report released in August.

Recommended Video

But a big change is on the horizon for the housing market, says an analyst who also predicted the financial crisis of 2008. Meredith Whitney, deemed the “Oracle of Wall Street” by Bloomberg, says a “silver tsunami” of baby boomers will start downsizing next year and 2025. Citing an AARP report, Whitney said 51% of people over the age of 50 are set to downsize to smaller homes. That would bring more than 30 million housing units to the market, she said during Yahoo Finance’s Invest Conference on Tuesday. 

“You’ll see a supply-demand dynamic shift,” the founder and CEO of Whitney Advisory Group said. “I think it’s rate agnostic because older people have lower mortgages, if any mortgage at all.”

Millennials and Gen Zers who are desperate to break into the housing market may breathe a sigh of relief at that prediction—although it would be premature. The mass downsizing isn’t expected to happen for the next year or two, plus there are factors aside from baby boomer competition locking younger generations out of buying a house. Other economists argue that this phenomenon will happen over a decade. This means that many millennials will miss out on any lower home prices resulting from the silver tsunami, Mark Fleming, chief economist with Fortune 500 financial services company First American, told MarketWatch. Two-decade-high mortgage rates and escalating home prices are really what has kept these two generations out of the housing market—and, for many, parked at their parents’ homes. 

Indeed, the housing market has gotten so expensive that 20% of millennials and 68% of Gen Zers still live with other family members, according to a RentCafe report released Monday. And of those who report living with family, about a third say they plan to stay there for at least two to five years. The typical millennial living with family shares the home with three or four other people and is more likely to be employed in lower-paying jobs such as food services, construction, or education, the report shows.

“Overall, millennials are slower when it comes to leaving the nest compared to previous generations: 18% of baby boomers and 17% of Gen X were living with their parents at the same age as today’s average millennials,” according to the report. “Younger generations may find it more appealing to continue living in the parental home in order to save money on expenses, such as child care costs, utility bills, rent or a future down payment.” 

This trend is largely happening in the most expensive housing markets, including Los Angeles and New York City, the report said. As of October, the median price for sold homes in Los Angeles was $968,000, and New York City was $705,000, according to Realtor.com. Assuming a 20% down payment and current mortgage rates of 7.5% to 8%, buying a home in these markets is out of reach for many people. 

Could a silver tsunami fix the housing affordability crisis for younger generations?

But even with all the money younger generations are saving by living at home with their baby boomer parents, it’s often still not enough to get into the high-priced housing market. In fact, every two in five Gen Zers and millennials who are planning to buy a home in the next year  work side hustles in order to save up for a down payment, a Redfin study shows. Plus, some millennials have even started asking for down payment cash on their wedding registry.

That’s because home prices are still out of reach for these generations. The median-priced home in the U.S. costs more than $311,000, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, meaning a homebuyer putting down a standard 20% would need more than $62,000 to put an offer on a house.

Although a silver tsunami may tip the supply-demand scale, it doesn’t solve the problem of housing affordability. There still may not be enough younger buyers who can afford to purchase a home when the silver tsunami starts.

“That’s why prices have got to come down to be commensurate with rates,” Whitney said. “There’s a mismatch here.”

Another complication is that while some baby boomers will downsize into retirement communities, others  shift to  smaller homes—i.e. the starter homes that younger generations want. That could continue to push millennials and Gen Zers out of the housing market and further drive up starter home prices.  In the end, the ones with the most cash—likely the boomers—will win out.

“There’s a big overlap between select baby boomers and select millennials,” Ali Wolf, chief economist at Zonda, a distributor of housing market data and consulting, previously told Fortune’s Chloe Berger, “The key difference here is that the baby boomer will likely be able to tap home equity by selling their existing home, allowing them to perhaps make a more compelling offer on the home compared to the millennials, especially if the latter group are still renting.”

About the Author
Sydney Lake
By Sydney LakeAssociate Editor
LinkedIn iconTwitter icon

Sydney Lake is an associate editor at Fortune, where she writes and edits news for the publication's global news desk.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

Exclusive: Crypto analytics startup Allium raises $40 million to tame blockchain data for Wall Street
CryptoCryptocurrency
Exclusive: Crypto analytics startup Allium raises $40 million to tame blockchain data for Wall Street
By Ben WeissJune 23, 2026
17 minutes ago
Probook founders (from left to right) Ben Cervantez, George Eliadis and Lewis Zhang
Startups & VentureTerm Sheet
Exclusive: A founder who went from pressure washing to Wharton just raised $40 million to put AI to work for plumbers, electricians, and HVAC crews
By Lily Mae LazarusJune 23, 2026
33 minutes ago
SpaceX and Tesla founder Elon Musk
InvestingElon Musk
SpaceX’s drop-off sees Elon Musk’s net worth fall $240 billion—roughly the same value as computing giant IBM
By Eleanor PringleJune 23, 2026
58 minutes ago
Saudi PIF’s governor wants the kingdom to become a global investment center
NewslettersFortune Gulf Brief
Saudi PIF’s governor wants the kingdom to become a global investment center
By Melissa HancockJune 23, 2026
2 hours ago
Photo: SpaceX HQ.
BankingMarkets
Markets tumble worldwide as Fed resets expectations: $400 billion wiped off SpaceX stock
By Jim EdwardsJune 23, 2026
2 hours ago
Saudi Aramco’s chairman calls for “energy realism” 
Middle EastInvestment
Saudi Aramco’s chairman calls for “energy realism” 
By Melissa HancockJune 23, 2026
2 hours ago

Most Popular

Former U.S. Secret Service agent says bringing your authentic self to work stifles teamwork: 'You don’t get high performers, you get sloppiness'
Success
Former U.S. Secret Service agent says bringing your authentic self to work stifles teamwork: 'You don’t get high performers, you get sloppiness'
By Sydney LakeJune 21, 2026
2 days ago
Current price of oil as of June 22, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of June 22, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 22, 2026
23 hours ago
Current price of silver as of Monday, June 22, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of silver as of Monday, June 22, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 22, 2026
24 hours ago
NBC’s Tom Llamas climbed from 15-year-old intern to the top anchor chair—and still isn’t satisfied: ‘If you're not growing, you're dying'
Success
NBC’s Tom Llamas climbed from 15-year-old intern to the top anchor chair—and still isn’t satisfied: ‘If you're not growing, you're dying'
By Preston ForeJune 21, 2026
2 days ago
The Fed is fed up with inflation and will bring down the hammer with a series of rate hikes this year, reversing earlier cuts, BofA says
Economy
The Fed is fed up with inflation and will bring down the hammer with a series of rate hikes this year, reversing earlier cuts, BofA says
By Jason MaJune 22, 2026
20 hours ago
By 7 a.m., Bank of America’s CEO has already read 5 newspapers, his email inbox, and hit the gym—he says if you’re late to meetings, you’re ‘selfish’
Success
By 7 a.m., Bank of America’s CEO has already read 5 newspapers, his email inbox, and hit the gym—he says if you’re late to meetings, you’re ‘selfish’
By Preston ForeJune 22, 2026
21 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.