Skip to Content

Trumponomics Daily—Tuesday, February 21

The Trump era has come with its share of upsides for public companies. Among the downsides: The fear of getting singled out as the target of President Trump’s ire, which he’s demonstrated a penchant for expressing in market-moving tweets. Anxiety over the threat is pervasive enough that the law firm Cleary Gottlieb has prepared a memo for clients offering guidance on how to survive a social media attack from the president — or “SMA,” as they shorthand it. Presidents have been jawboning private enterprise for a long time — the memo points to Herbert Hoover’s attempts to compel employers to keep wages high at the onset of the Great Depression — but the speed of social media and the breadth of its exposure present some new challenges. Among the firm’s recommendations:

  • Ensure that management and the board are aligned on a plan. That can be tricky to coordinate in realtime, so boards should consider setting up a rapid-response team of two or three board members that management can consult on the fly.
  • Consider the costs of not responding. A major federal contractor, for example, could see government deals endangered. Others could face the loss of tax benefits or regulatory reprisals. And then there’s the potential for indirect pain, like depressed worker morale.
  • But it could still beat accommodation. If Trump (or any other pol) is making a particular demand, what are the costs of simply acceding to it? It might cost the company other business, bring on a public relations headache, and, again, damage morale.
  • Watch out for conflicts of interest. They could arise from executives serving on an advisory panel convened by the president. A more immediate threat: Those with equity-based compensation packages will be particularly sensitive to short-term movements in the company’s share price around the time that stock option awards are set to expire. So boards should pay especially close attention to management’s decision making if a Trump tweet that moves the stock comes a such a time.
  • Prepare for an attack on executive pay. Trump hasn’t gone there yet. But he could. Companies should be especially attuned to the issue this proxy season.

We’re now seeing that Trump’s tweets aimed at specific companies don’t ultimately damage their stock prices. But the sensitivity that gave rise to the memo indicates his approach is forcing executives to evaluate a whole new set of risks.

Tory Newmyer

Must Reads

Gas Slump Raises Worry that Trump Economy Running on Empty [Fortune]

Rising prices at the pump appear to be responsible for slumping gas purchases, leading to record-breaking gasoline inventories.

Watch Mike Pence Calm the Nerves of Frazzled Europeans [Fortune]

The vice president assured European allies that the U.S. continues to share their values, isn’t looking to start a trade war, and will help curb Russian aggression in the region.

Trump Administration Considers Changing the Way It Calculates Trade Deficits [Fortune]

The White House is mulling whether to broaden the definition of exports, a change that would make trade deficits look wider and bolster its case for making big changes to trade policy.

For-Profit Schools, an Obama Target, See New Day Under Trump [NYT]

Stocks of for-profit colleges have been on a tear since the election, a boon delivered by the replacement of a president who cracked down on the industry with one who profited from it.

Bloomberg-backed group launches new immigration push under Trump [Politico]

These may be dark days for those who advocate a comprehensive immigration overhaul, but reform forces bankrolled in part by the former New York City mayor are nevertheless renewing their push.

Number of the day


The average number of tweets Trump has sent each day of his presidency over its first month. With 25.1 million followers, his personal account easily outstrips the reach of the official presidential account’s 15.5 million. The missives frequently drive news cycles and can force his own team to scramble to accommodate them into the administration’s formal policymaking process.

Loose change

The Regulators Are Finally Coming for Airbnb and Uber [Fortune]

Watch Fox News’ Chris Wallace Call Out Reince Priebus on Trump’s War With the Press [Fortune]

The cost of silence: Why more CEOs are speaking out in the Trump era [Washington Post]

Former CEO Rex Tillerson Is Still Finding His Place as Secretary of State [Fortune]

Sheryl Sandberg Is Working With Female Governors to Close Tech’s Gender Gap [Fortune]

The Arms Export Business Is One That President Trump Doesn’t Have to Worry About [Fortune]

How the Election Sparked an Interest in Major Newspapers Among Millennials [Fortune]