• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year

2

Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers

3

Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50

1

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year

2

Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers

3

Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50

Is Buffett overpaying for Heinz?

By
Stephen Gandel
Stephen Gandel
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Stephen Gandel
Stephen Gandel
Down Arrow Button Icon
February 15, 2013, 3:33 PM ET
Warren Buffett

FORTUNE — Part of the mystique, and down-home charm, of Warren Buffett is the belief that most of all he is always looking for a good bargain. Did he get one with Heinz? It’s not so clear.

Buffett is best known for having bought up large stakes in companies like Coke (KO), Geico, Gillette and Wells Fargo (WFC) at what at least in retrospect were cut-rate prices. But as Buffett’s acquisitions have gotten bigger and bigger over the years, and the market has changed, the idea of Buffett as extreme value hunter has become more image than reality.

Even in the context of some of Buffett’s biggest deals, Heinz looks expensive. Back in 1998, Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA) paid $22 billion for insurer to insurers General RE, a 25% premium to where its stock traded at the time. And pretty soon after the deal the company hit a rough patch. In the end, the deal has worked out, but it’s not clear that’s because Buffett got the best price.

MORE: Does Warren Buffett still hate private-equity?

In 2010, Berkshire paid $34 billion for railroad Burlington Northern, or $100 a share. That was a 30% premium to where Burlington’s stock traded at the time. It was also 18 times the company’s expected earnings that year. But Buffett argued he was making a bet on a U.S. recovery and the fact that U.S. exports, particularly to Mexico, would rise. What’s more, Burlington’s stock had been as high as $110 just two years earlier, so it didn’t seem that Buffett was buying at a high. And Burlington has turned out to be a very good acquisition for Berkshire.

Buffett’s Berkshire is buying Heinz along with Brazilian private equity firm 3G Capital. Together the two firms are going to pay $28 billion, including the company’s existing debt. Existing shareholders will get $72.50 a share, a 20% premium from the $60 Heinz’s shares had been trading at just before the deal.

But unlike Burlington, Heinz isn’t a beaten down stock. Heinz shares are up nearly 27% in the past two years, nearly double the return of the S&P 500 in the same time. What’s more, the acquisition values the company at 20 times this year’s expected earnings, seemingly high for a company with a bottom line that’s growing by just 6%.

Complicating things is the way the deal was structured. Buffett is putting roughly $12 billion into the deal. He’s getting back $4 billion in regular shares, and $8 billion in preferreds, which will pay a dividend of 9%. Factor in the dividend and Buffett is buying into Heinz at more like 9 times the company’s earnings plus his payout.

MORE: Buffett’s stock buyback changes Berkshire’s rules

But the deal will include more leverage than Buffett is used to. 3G, which was found by Jorge Paulo Lemann, who met Buffett on the board of Gillette, is putting up just $4 billion in cash for its side of the deal. It will raise $7 billion in debt to pay for the rest of the deal. Combine that with what Heinz already owes its creditors, and the company after the deal will have about $12 billion in debt. That will result in a leverage ratio, based on cashflow, of about 6.5 times, which is only slightly higher than the typical deal these days.

But that’s before Buffett’s preferred shares, which look a lot like debt with a 9% payout, even if they are technically preferred stock or equity. Factor that in and the Heinz deal has considerably more leverage. And making payments on all that debt is bound to lower Heinz’s earnings, which makes the deal more expensive than it appears.

In the end, Buffett is part of today’s deal environment as much as anyone else. Private equity firms have been looking to put cash, which has been piling up during the recession and slow recovery, to work. What’s more, low interest rates and healthier banks are creating a surplus of cheap financing. That’s driving up the cost of deals for everyone.

MORE: Student Loans: Welcome to Subprime University

What’s more, Buffett has a history of being a hands-off acquirer. It’s one of the reasons he is able to get deals that others can’t, at prices others can’t get. 3G, though, like private equity firms, has tended to be a more active investor than Buffett. If that’s the case with Heinz, Buffett could lose his most favored acquirer status, diminishing his ability to pay down for deals in the future.

Bottom line: the Heinz deal, like the recent Dell (DELL) LBO, means that large private equity buyouts and mergers in general, are likely going to get bigger, more common and more expensive, even for Buffett.

About the Author
By Stephen Gandel
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in

Secret Service shoot and kill suspect who fired at White House checkpoint; bystander was also struck but Trump was not affected
Europegun violence
Secret Service shoot and kill suspect who fired at White House checkpoint; bystander was also struck but Trump was not affected
By Darlene Superville, Alanna Durkin Richer and The Associated PressMay 23, 2026
50 minutes ago
Ukrainian drone attack causes fire at Russian oil terminal used for exports as Kyiv expands long-range strike capabilities
PoliticsRussia
Ukrainian drone attack causes fire at Russian oil terminal used for exports as Kyiv expands long-range strike capabilities
By The Associated PressMay 23, 2026
3 hours ago
U.S. reaches limit of sanctions power in targeting Iran’s economy
PoliticsIran
U.S. reaches limit of sanctions power in targeting Iran’s economy
By Magdalena Del Valle and BloombergMay 23, 2026
3 hours ago
Trump’s 3,711 trades point to multiple stock-market strategies
InvestingDonald Trump
Trump’s 3,711 trades point to multiple stock-market strategies
By Justina Lee, Vivien Ngo, Elena Popina, Matthew Griffin and BloombergMay 23, 2026
3 hours ago
As U.S.-Iran deal nears, Trump ally warns against creating perception Tehran controls Hormuz — ‘it makes one wonder why the war started to begin with’
PoliticsIran
As U.S.-Iran deal nears, Trump ally warns against creating perception Tehran controls Hormuz — ‘it makes one wonder why the war started to begin with’
By Jason MaMay 23, 2026
3 hours ago
Trump says a deal with Iran that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz has been ‘largely negotiated’
PoliticsIran
Trump says a deal with Iran that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz has been ‘largely negotiated’
By Munir Ahmed, Samy Magdy, Matthew Lee and The Associated PressMay 23, 2026
5 hours ago

Most Popular

Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
Success
Jeff Bezos wants the bottom half of earners to pay zero income tax—he says nurses making just $75K should save $12K a year
By Preston ForeMay 21, 2026
2 days ago
Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers
Success
Indeed chief economist says we’re entering an era of ‘great mismatch’ thanks to a generational imbalance of workers
By Emma BurleighMay 22, 2026
1 day ago
Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50
Success
Apple’s Steve Wozniak says he cofounded the tech giant after 5 rejections from HP—not to ‘make money.’ For years, his paycheck was just $50
By Preston ForeMay 22, 2026
1 day ago
Microsoft reports are exposing AI's real cost problem: Using the tech is more expensive than paying human employees
AI
Microsoft reports are exposing AI's real cost problem: Using the tech is more expensive than paying human employees
By Jake AngeloMay 22, 2026
1 day ago
Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 
Workplace Culture
Bolt CEO says he let go of his entire HR team for creating problems that didn’t exist: ‘Those problems disappeared when I let them go’ 
By Preston ForeMay 19, 2026
4 days ago
Current price of oil as of May 22, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of May 22, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMay 22, 2026
2 days ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.