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Why the market shrugged off the Apple antitrust suit

By
Philip Elmer-DeWitt
Philip Elmer-DeWitt
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By
Philip Elmer-DeWitt
Philip Elmer-DeWitt
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April 11, 2012, 11:20 AM ET
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Shares opened higher, despite news the company may have stepped in legal quicksand



Having Justice Department lawyers around, veteran tech watcher Dana Blankenhorn reminds us in a Seeking Alpha post this morning, “is bad for any company. Especially antitrust lawyers. Especially tech companies.”

“Every tech company the Justice Department has ever gone after — IBM (IBM), the former AT&T (T), and (most especially) Microsoft (MSFT) can attest to this fact. All were transformed and grievously damaged by their antitrust cases.”

So why didn’t Apple’s (AAPL) share price take a huge hit after news broke that the DOJ’s antitrust division had sued the company and five publishers for alleged collusion in the e-book business? (See DOJ sues Apple over price-fixing scheme.)

Three reasons:

  • It was hardly a surprise. Someone close to the case has been shopping details of the investigation to Bloomberg, Reuters and the Wall Street Journal for weeks
  • There’s still a chance for a settlement. Three of the publishers are reported to have already cut a deal. Apple and the other two — despite their tough talk during negotiations — could still climb on board.
  • It’s not Apple’s main business. The $2.03 billion in “Other music related products and services” — which includes revenue from the iTunes Store, the App Store, and iBookstore in addition to sales of iPod services and Apple branded and third-party iPod accessories — represented 4.4% of the $46.333 billion in sales Apple reported last quarter.

UPDATE: As it happens, Apple’s share price did show some ill effects Wednesday, closing down $2.24 (0.36%) on a day that the NASDAQ closed up 0.84%. But it could have been much worse.

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By Philip Elmer-DeWitt
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