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EconomySouthwest Airlines

Southwest CEO says the U.S. airline industry is already in a recession

By
Mary Schlangenstein
Mary Schlangenstein
and
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
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By
Mary Schlangenstein
Mary Schlangenstein
and
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
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April 24, 2025, 3:35 PM ET
A Southwest Airlines jet in the air
A Southwest Airlines Boeing 737 departs from San Diego International Airport at sunset on April 20, 2025 in San Diego, California.Kevin Carter—Getty Images

Southwest Airlines Co.’s chief executive officer isn’t waiting for economists to declare a technical downturn in the US economy: As far as he’s concerned, a recession already has started. 

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Noting demand for domestic leisure travel has dropped more than he’s ever seen outside of the pandemic, Bob Jordan said Thursday that an economic contraction is in full swing, at least in the US airline industry. The CEO said his company expects second-quarter revenue to fall by six percentage points, following a three-point decline in the first three months. 

“I don’t care if you call it a recession or not, in this industry that’s a recession,” Jordan said in an interview. 

Southwest is among a growing number of airlines pulling financial guidance for the full year as a lack of economic clarity feeds uncertainty among consumers, making it impossible to accurately forecast what will happen with travel demand and pricing for the rest of 2025. 

Read more: American Air Is Latest US Carrier to Give Up on 2025 Forecast

The Dallas-based carrier is more dependent on domestic leisure travelers for revenue than US peers with more extensive international operations and corporate business clients. That leaves its bookings vulnerable to sudden shifts in American consumers’ sentiment.

“When consumers are uncertain, they pull back,” Jordan said. “Consumers can immediately stop spending.” 

The Fortune 500 Innovation Forum will convene Fortune 500 executives, U.S. policy officials, top founders, and thought leaders to help define what’s next for the American economy, Nov. 16-17 in Detroit. Apply here.
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