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NewslettersCEO Daily

The midterms are a referendum on public trust

Diane Brady
By
Diane Brady
Diane Brady
Executive Editorial Director
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Diane Brady
By
Diane Brady
Diane Brady
Executive Editorial Director
Down Arrow Button Icon
November 2, 2026, 5:02 AM ET
Voters cast their ballots at a polling station on Nov. 1, 2026 in Anchorage, Alaska.
Voters cast their ballots at a polling station on Nov. 1, 2026 in Anchorage, Alaska.
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  • In today’s CEO Daily: What’s at stake in tomorrow’s elections.
  • The big leadership story: The AI boom hits a wall.
  • The markets: Stocks rebound globally.
  • Plus: All the news and watercooler chat from Fortune.

Good morning. The midterms are tomorrow, and the outcome will determine more than which party controls Congress. If Democrats win back the House, the Senate, or both, President Donald Trump will have a harder time securing the policies, people, and funding needed to carry out his agenda, and the right could push back. If the GOP retains control, there could be outrage on the left, some over the record $12 billion in projected campaign spending tracked by OpenSecrets, including almost half a billion by Elon Musk alone. Either way, the results will test public trust in three areas: 

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Trust in capitalism. Americans put up with a lot when they think they have a shot at the prize, but that sentiment is fading in this winner-take-all economy. This Fed chart shows how a rapidly increasing share of U.S. household wealth has gone to rich white Boomers since 1989. Gen Z in particular is seeing signs that the system is rigged: from record oil company profits amid rising energy prices to the unaffordability of housing, health care, and education. They’re worried AI will take their jobs. Hundreds of thousands of anti-government protesters marched across Europe over the weekend. I hear a lot of concern about more unrest here.

Trust in politics. I’ve interviewed several hundred CEOs over the past year, on and off the record, across a range of platforms and settings. Publicly, many cheer the Republican agenda on taxes, deregulation, and putting American business first. Privately, far more tell me they’re rattled by the $40 trillion national debt, the government taking ownership in large companies, the vilification of allies and immigrant talent, and the perceived need to show loyalty. And I’ve yet to meet one who’s not shocked at the alleged level of personal enrichment by the president and his family. As one CEO said at a recent dinner: “Everything good gets forgotten when there’s grift.” (A recent AP-NORC poll found 6 in 10 U.S. adults believe Trump is profiting off the presidency in unethical or illegal ways.)

Trust in business leaders. We know from the Edelman Trust Barometer that people trust their employer more than any other institution. But they don’t trust business leaders in general, especially when it comes to tech and AI. Shearwater Strategies gave me an exclusive look at their new survey on tech leadership and public trust, which polled a demographically representative sample of 1,563 Americans. When asked what they think tech leaders prioritize, 58% of participants chose “making money for themselves and shareholders.” A distant second was “creating exciting new products” at 34%. When asked what those leaders should prioritize, 58% said “protecting user safety and privacy,” while 12% cited making money. If people don’t trust that tech leaders care about safety and privacy, they’ll vote for politicians who promise to protect those interests instead.

Contact CEO Daily via Diane Brady at diane.brady@fortune.com

Top leadership news

AI boom hits a wall on Wall Street

The seemingly endless gusher of capital that’s been showered on Silicon Valley during the AI boom may be coming to an end soon. Following a brutal selloff in tech stocks over the past week, OpenAI slashed the target on its latest fundraising round to $20 billion from $30 billion, sources told the Financial Times. That also cut its expected valuation to $1.25 trillion from $1.4 trillion. Meanwhile, S&P Global cut its credit outlook on Meta to “negative” from “stable” late Friday, citing negative cash flow and uncertainty around capital expenditure ​plans.

Why Wendy’s is losing the burger wars

Wendy’s fortunes have declined so much that it’s now the target of Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management, which is offering to take the restaurant private for $1.4 billion, a sum that’s not even 1% of McDonald’s market value. Wendy’s promotions have fallen flat, intense competition has stolen customers, and a revolving door in the corner office has deprived it of the focus needed to get out of its rut.

Closing America’s hypersonic missile gap

Despite years of research costing billions and some successful tests, the U.S. has yet to fully field a hypersonic missile of its own due to testing complications and production issues. The tech’s been around, but it’s been expensive and difficult to produce at scale. That’s the chasm that startup Castelion, valued at $13 billion, is betting it can close, even if the defense giants have so far fallen short.

The markets

S&P 500 futures are up 0.50% this morning. The last session closed down 1.82%. The STOXX Europe 600 was up 0.05% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was up 0.11% in early trading. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 0.33%. South Korea’s KOSPI was up 2.24%. China’s CSI 300 was up 0.79%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was up 0.42%. India’s NIFTY 50 was up 1.21%. Bitcoin is up at $78k.

Around the watercooler

Hackers pushed freezers at hundreds of French supermarkets to 122 degrees. Now the Pentagon is asking whether the same thing hit U.S. military bases by Sasha Rogelberg

Welcome to the school where Gen Z learns philanthropy as billionaire wealth explodes—with a 100% job placement rate by Preston Fore and Sydney Lake

China sees the yuan vs. dollar rivalry like Pepsi vs. Coke, expert says — ‘never the market leader, but serviceable in a pinch’ by Jason Ma

While Americans turn against data centers, Brazil offers tax breaks and cheap power, representing a potential ‘release valve’ for U.S. constraints by Mia Osmonbekov

Meet a 38-year-old father rejecting a Trump account for his daughter: ‘I’ll put $1,000 of my own money in an account before I do that’ by Tatiana Sataua

CEO Daily is curated and edited by Joseph Abrams, Jason Ma, Claire Zillman, and Lee Clifford.

This is the web version of CEO Daily, a newsletter of must-read global insights from CEOs and industry leaders. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.
About the Author
Diane Brady
By Diane BradyExecutive Editorial Director
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Diane Brady writes about the issues and leaders impacting the global business landscape. In addition to writing Fortune’s CEO Daily newsletter, she co-hosts the Leadership Next podcast, interviews newsmakers on stage at events worldwide and oversees the Fortune CEO Initiative. She previously worked at Forbes, McKinsey, Bloomberg Businessweek, the Wall Street Journal, and Maclean's. Her book Fraternity was named one of Amazon’s best books of 2012, and she also co-wrote Connecting the Dots with former Cisco CEO John Chambers.

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