• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

New York City women are making up to $30,000 per month by renting out their closets to strangers

2

Why did a $154 billion CEO just endorse stripping most Americans of voting rights—and taking us back to the 19th century?

3

The millennial generation is split in 2: an older crowd with boomer-style comfort, a younger set going 'back to the early 1900s'

1

New York City women are making up to $30,000 per month by renting out their closets to strangers

2

Why did a $154 billion CEO just endorse stripping most Americans of voting rights—and taking us back to the 19th century?

3

The millennial generation is split in 2: an older crowd with boomer-style comfort, a younger set going 'back to the early 1900s'
FinanceEconomy

Jeremy Siegel says we are in a ‘Goldilocks economy’ and the Fed doesn’t need to raise interest rates anymore

Will Daniel
By
Will Daniel
Will Daniel
Down Arrow Button Icon
Will Daniel
By
Will Daniel
Will Daniel
Down Arrow Button Icon
July 14, 2023, 4:22 PM ET
Photo by Matt Stroshane/Bloomberg via Getty Images
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Not too hot, not too cold: That’s how Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel sees the economy after June’s cooler-than-expected inflation data. 

Recommended Video

“It’s a Goldilocks economy—strong economic growth and falling inflation,” the veteran market watcher told CNBC Friday, arguing that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes since March 2022 appear to be working their magic to tame inflation.

Siegel’s positive outlook comes after the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday that year-over-year inflation sank to just 3% last month, a far cry from the 9.1% four-decade high seen at this time a year ago. And while many economists have warned throughout 2023 that rising interest rates could end up sparking a recession, Siegel doesn’t buy it. “The Fed might stick the landing here, against all expectations,” he said Friday, referring to a “soft landing” where inflation is tamed without the need for a job-killing recession.

To his point, first quarter U.S. GDP growth was revised up to 2% late last month, and the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow tracker, which serves as a running estimate for economic growth, is predicting 2.3% GDP growth for the second quarter. That’s far from recession territory.

Siegel also recently noted that consumer spending has been incredibly resilient due to what he calls YOLO, or “you only live once,” shoppers. These summer spenders have been “impervious to the impact of higher borrowing costs” amid a consistently low unemployment rate, the professor explained in his WisdomTree commentary this week. This resilience should help keep the economy growing, he argued, given that consumer spending represents 70% of U.S. GDP.

Despite the recent positive news on the inflation and growth fronts, Siegel said that Fed officials have likely already locked in one more interest rate hike this month. After that, he expects they will be “data-dependent” when determining whether to hike rates again at their next meeting in September, meaning the upcoming consumer price index data and second quarter GDP figures will be critical.

But the Wharton professor said that if he were the Fed chair, he wouldn’t raise interest rates anymore, arguing that inflation has been defeated and the tactic is merely an “attack” on wages which are stuck in “catch-up mode” after years of falling real wage growth during the pandemic.

“I don’t see any reappearance of inflationary trends. I see stability,” he said. “Oil has got its footing, commodity indexes have sort of stabilized, the housing market has stabilized. I don’t see any big inflationary uptick.”

Siegel isn’t alone in his increasingly positive outlook for the U.S. economy. A number of investment banks and CEOs have been forced to revise their previous recession calls as economic data continues to surprise to the upside this year. And BlackRock CEO Larry Fink told CNBC Friday that the U.S. remains in “an incredible position” compared to the rest of the world. With inflation fading and fiscal stimulus from the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the CHIPS and Science Act, and the Inflation Reduction Act entering the economy, Fink said he believes growth is “going to accelerate” from here.

About the Author
Will Daniel
By Will Daniel
LinkedIn iconTwitter icon
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • TikTok icon
  • YouTube icon

Latest in Finance

Sun Life launches global private wealth platform targeting Asia’s booming HNWI market
AsiaInsurance
Sun Life launches global private wealth platform targeting Asia’s booming HNWI market
By Angelica AngJuly 28, 2026
1 hour ago
President Donald Trump meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China on May 14, 2026.
EconomyChina
China’s exports are so huge they’re now lowering inflation in other countries
By Eleanor PringleJuly 28, 2026
2 hours ago
Record heat gives way to winter gas fears in Europe, Asia as Iran war rages on
EnergyIran
Record heat gives way to winter gas fears in Europe, Asia as Iran war rages on
By Jordan BlumJuly 28, 2026
2 hours ago
Current ARM mortgage rates report for July 28, 2026
Personal FinanceReal Estate
Current ARM mortgage rates report for July 28, 2026
By Glen Luke FlanaganJuly 28, 2026
2 hours ago
Current refi mortgage rates report for July 28, 2026
Personal Financemortgage rates
Current refi mortgage rates report for July 28, 2026
By Glen Luke FlanaganJuly 28, 2026
2 hours ago
Mortgage rates today, July 28, 2026
Personal Financemortgages
Mortgage rates today, July 28, 2026
By Glen Luke FlanaganJuly 28, 2026
2 hours ago

Most Popular

New York City women are making up to $30,000 per month by renting out their closets to strangers
Retail
New York City women are making up to $30,000 per month by renting out their closets to strangers
By Sarah GlodekJuly 27, 2026
1 day ago
Why did a $154 billion CEO just endorse stripping most Americans of voting rights—and taking us back to the 19th century?
C-Suite
Why did a $154 billion CEO just endorse stripping most Americans of voting rights—and taking us back to the 19th century?
By Nick LichtenbergJuly 27, 2026
17 hours ago
The millennial generation is split in 2: an older crowd with boomer-style comfort, a younger set going 'back to the early 1900s'
Real Estate
The millennial generation is split in 2: an older crowd with boomer-style comfort, a younger set going 'back to the early 1900s'
By Nick LichtenbergJuly 25, 2026
3 days ago
I've been teaching college students for decades. Most of them can no longer finish a book
Commentary
I've been teaching college students for decades. Most of them can no longer finish a book
By Austin SaratJuly 26, 2026
2 days ago
An 11-year-old is cleaning his neighbors' trash cans for $10 each—he now has 100K followers as teens face the worst summer job market since 1948
Success
An 11-year-old is cleaning his neighbors' trash cans for $10 each—he now has 100K followers as teens face the worst summer job market since 1948
By Orianna Rosa RoyleJuly 25, 2026
3 days ago
One-third of Seattle's downtown is empty: Here's how America's boomtown turned into one of the toughest places to find a job
Real Estate
One-third of Seattle's downtown is empty: Here's how America's boomtown turned into one of the toughest places to find a job
By Nick LichtenbergJuly 27, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.