• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Current price of oil as of June 15, 2026

2

Current price of silver as of Monday, June 15, 2026

3

Team USA star Ricardo Pepi grew up in a trailer in El Paso—and his parents pawned their car title to fuel his soccer dream. Now, he’s in the World Cup

1

Current price of oil as of June 15, 2026

2

Current price of silver as of Monday, June 15, 2026

3

Team USA star Ricardo Pepi grew up in a trailer in El Paso—and his parents pawned their car title to fuel his soccer dream. Now, he’s in the World Cup
Financecorporate investment

America’s Investment Crisis is Getting Worse

By
Chris Matthews
Chris Matthews
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Chris Matthews
Chris Matthews
Down Arrow Button Icon
December 2, 2015, 12:18 PM ET
137901328
NYC skyscrapersPhotograph by Masatoshi Aida—Getty Images/Flickr RM
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

For an economy to grow, somebody has to be willing to spend money–be it consumers, the government, or the business sector.

Without money changing hands, the economy is not going to grow.

Framed in this way, it’s easy to see why the U.S. economy is facing lower potential growth than at anytime since the end of World War II. The U.S. government suffers from historically high debt-to-GDP ratios and unfunded liabilities to an aging populace. Though household debt levels have come down, that’s because they reached unsustainable highs during the real estate bubble, and since then consumer spending has been muted due to slow wage growth.

The latest concern comes from Corporate America. As the The Wall Street Journal outlined in an article Tuesday, the rate at which businesses have been investing in its future has fallen to disturbing lows:

Companies appear reluctant to step up spending on the basic building blocks of the economy, such as machines, computers and new buildings. The broadest measure of U.S. business investment advanced 2.2% from a year earlier in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said last week, marking one of the worse performances of the six-year-old economic expansion.

The Journal story posits the problem as one that developed in the wake of the recession:

During the most recent recession, the decline in business investment was far deeper than any experienced since the Depression. But the ensuing rebound was more tepid than other bounce backs. Capital expenditures, excluding aircraft and defense, grew at a better than 10% annual rate in the first two years of the expansion, but have eased significantly since.

But framing the problem of low corporate investment as simply another symptom of the post financial crisis hangover is an analytical mistake. That’s because corporate investment has been steadily on the decline for decades now, as you can see from the following chart:

Corporate investment in the basic building blocks of the economy has been declining for decades now, just as other important economic indicators like productivity and population growth. And these trends aren’t unrelated, either. Declining population growth can explain a lot of what’s going on in the economy, as fewer people mean fewer potential customers and justifies less investment in future capacity.

But there might be other explanations for the gradual decline in investment growth as well as potential economic growth. Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers has been promoting his theory that the U.S. economy has entered a phase of secular stagnation in which the “natural” rate of interest has fallen below zero, leaving the economy with too much savings and not enough investment. His solution is for government to pick up the slack by borrowing at today’s very low rates to invest in things like infrastructure, basic research, and education.

Other economists, like Northwestern’s Robert Gordon, argue that falling investment and potential growth should be blamed on the fact that the the economic growth we saw for much of the 20th century was an historical anomaly driven by one-time technological advancements that cannot be repeated. The widespread adoption of things like indoor plumbing, electricity, and automobile ownership are events that will not be repeated, and so we shouldn’t expect the sort of economic growth that resulted from these events to continue.

And then there’s right-leaning economists like nobelist Edumnd Phelps, who argues that America’s lost economic power is the result of cultural and policy changes that have occurred over the past fifty years, in which America as a whole has begun to value safety and security over innovation and entrepreneurial values. This has resulted, Phelps argues, in increased government control over the economy and programs that make life more comfortable and Americans more risk averse.

Whatever your analysis of the situation, it’s important to realize that headwinds the U.S. economy faces, like falling productivity growth and corporate investment, have been gaining steam for decades, and therefore won’t be fixed quickly or easily by fiddling with the tax code or modifying a few regulations. They are large systemic problems that will require solutions of similar scale.

 

About the Author
By Chris Matthews
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

CEO of Tesla and SpaceX Elon Musk
InvestingSpaceX
SpaceX just surpassed Amazon’s market cap, overtaking the 31-year-old company on day three of public trading
By Eva RoytburgJune 16, 2026
50 minutes ago
students
SuccessEducation
College students are voting with their feet on AI. Goldman has the receipts
By Nick LichtenbergJune 16, 2026
1 hour ago
Robinhood CEO Vladimir Tenev smiles during the ringing of the Opening Bell at the New York Stock Exchange last March.
CryptoCryptocurrency
Robinhood announces it will reduce headcount by 10%, CEO seeks to avoid ‘heavily-layered’ organization
By Camila Grigera NaónJune 16, 2026
1 hour ago
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh arrives to his swearing-in ceremony to be the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve in the East Room of the White House on May 22, 2026 in Washington, DC.
EconomyKevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh’s first Fed test is here: He must navigate hawks ‘on the offensive’ and Wall Street’s hunger for details on regime change
By Eleanor PringleJune 16, 2026
2 hours ago
Current price of gold as of June 16, 2026
Personal Financegold prices
Current price of gold as of June 16, 2026
By Danny BakstJune 16, 2026
5 hours ago
george
Personal FinanceImmigration
No country for rich men: 6 out of 10 wealthy Americans want to pull a Clooney and pack their bags
By Nick LichtenbergJune 16, 2026
5 hours ago

Most Popular

Current price of oil as of June 15, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of June 15, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 15, 2026
1 day ago
Current price of silver as of Monday, June 15, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of silver as of Monday, June 15, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 15, 2026
1 day ago
Team USA star Ricardo Pepi grew up in a trailer in El Paso—and his parents pawned their car title to fuel his soccer dream. Now, he’s in the World Cup
Success
Team USA star Ricardo Pepi grew up in a trailer in El Paso—and his parents pawned their car title to fuel his soccer dream. Now, he’s in the World Cup
By Preston ForeJune 15, 2026
1 day ago
Hundreds of Stanford students walked out of their grad ceremony to protest Google CEO’s commencement speech. It wasn’t all about AI
Big Tech
Hundreds of Stanford students walked out of their grad ceremony to protest Google CEO’s commencement speech. It wasn’t all about AI
By Tristan BoveJune 15, 2026
1 day ago
Current price of gold as of June 15, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of gold as of June 15, 2026
By Danny BakstJune 15, 2026
1 day ago
Meet Gwynne Shotwell, the engineer-turned-COO who runs SpaceX in platform heels and is now worth over $2 billion
Startups & Venture
Meet Gwynne Shotwell, the engineer-turned-COO who runs SpaceX in platform heels and is now worth over $2 billion
By Eva RoytburgJune 15, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.