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The CoinsBitcoin

Bitcoin rebounds after a rosy inflation report—but there are storm clouds on the horizon

By
Catherine McGrath
Catherine McGrath
Crypto Fellow
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By
Catherine McGrath
Catherine McGrath
Crypto Fellow
Down Arrow Button Icon
March 12, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Investors rush back to crypto as February CPI data shows inflation grew less than expected.
Investors rush back to crypto as February CPI data shows inflation grew less than expected. Fernando Gutierrez-Juarez/picture alliance—Getty Images
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Prices for everyday household items rose less than expected last month despite worries that the detrimental effects of Trump’s economic policies would increase inflation—and the crypto market is rejoicing. 

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Inflation increased 0.2% in February according to the latest CPI report released Wednesday, with headline inflation reaching 2.8%. Cryptocurrencies across the board jumped on the news with Bitcoin up 2% over the last 24 hours, reaching $82,000 after falling below $79,000 on Monday. XRP up 6%, Dogecoin is up 4%, and Cardano is up 2% over the past 24 hours.

But crypto investors shouldn’t get too comfortable with those gains, according to David Siemer, CEO of crypto asset management firm Wave Digital Assets, who warned the tailwinds will be short-lived. “External factors such as trade tensions and new tariffs could reintroduce inflationary pressures, keeping volatility high in both traditional and digital asset markets,” he tells Fortune. 

The entire crypto market is down significantly from December highs, dumping nearly 30% of its market cap since the Federal Reserve signaled it would make fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 than the previous year. That means less economic liquidity, causing investors to tighten their belts and shift away from risky assets. 

Trump’s on-again, off-again tariff standoff with major U.S. trading partners hasn’t helped matters. The president recently imposed—and then partially rolled back—aggressive tariffs on Chinese, Canadian, and Mexican imports. That is expected to increase the price of foreign goods via retaliatory tariffs, raising the price of everyday items for many Americans. Trump further worried investors over the weekend in a Fox News interview by declining to rule out the possibility of a recession this year as the country goes through a “period of transition.” 

The President’s long-anticipated crypto policy changes last week also landed with a thud. Trump announced a national crypto reserve that would be made up of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. But rather than make new purchases, the government will use its existing crypto stories—acquired via government seizures—to fill its coffers.  

About the Author
By Catherine McGrathCrypto Fellow
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Catherine McGrath is a crypto fellow at Fortune.

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