• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia
PoliticsBill Gates

Bill Gates says businesses need to understand the politics for the next 20 years, not just the next two days

Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
Eleanor Pringle
By
Eleanor Pringle
Eleanor Pringle
Senior Reporter, Economics and Markets
Down Arrow Button Icon
May 12, 2025, 10:57 AM ET
Microsoft founder and philanthropist Bill Gates
Philanthropist Bill Gates has warned tariffs are generating uncertainty in the economyBAY ISMOYO/AFP - Getty Images
  • Bill Gates expressed concern that President Trump’s tariff policies are creating economic uncertainty, discouraging long-term business investments and compounding instability in a labor market already threatened by AI-driven changes. He also warned that these policies could disproportionately harm poorer nations and emphasized the importance of U.S. global leadership and sustained technological engagement.

Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates says President Trump’s tariff plan is adding further uncertainty to an already volatile long-term labor outlook, and will likely put businesses off vital investment.

Recommended Video

Billionaire philanthropist Gates is one of many high-profile entrepreneurs who has sat down with the Republican politician since Trump won the Oval Office, but seems not to be in the select few that the president listens to.

Gates has been gently critical of some of President Trump’s actions, such as the formation of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and the associated cuts to foreign aid spending.

The man, worth $113 billion, per Forbes, said this weekend that he is also concerned about the president’s headline tariff policy.

Speaking prior to the announcement of a 90-day pause on economic sanctions between the U.S. and China, Gates—who recently told Fortune he is donating “virtually all” of his wealth to his eponymous foundation—said his “big concern” was economic uncertainty.

This view has previously been shared by JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, who said companies might begin changing their behavior as a result of White House foreign policy.

Gates agrees, telling CNN in an interview: “The big concern I have is we’ve created a lot of uncertainty. If you’re going to build a new factory, you need to understand the politics for the next 20 years, not just the next two days or even four years.”

The issue is compounded by longer-term question marks hanging over the labor market, he added: “And so the notion of, ‘Ok, what is the structure?’ particularly in a time of AI where the labor substitution—both white and blue collar—is going to start to change the economy.

“I think it’s a bad time to interject so much uncertainty … this is not an agreed set of things or a carefully discussed set of things. What’s going to happen with pharmaceuticals or electronics? I open the paper every day wondering.

“I do worry that uncertainty means investments don’t take place.”

The extent to which AI will disrupt the labor market depends on who you ask. Some people suspect roles will be outright replaced by AI, while others say jobs will be supported by such technologies.

A Pew Research study published in February found 52% of more than 5,000 staffers were worried about the impact AI would have on their roles while only 29% said they were excited.

Those on the lower and middle-income end of the spectrum were also more likely to say they believed their prospects were more likely to be reduced because of AI, with nearly one in four saying they expect fewer opportunities.

Economic outlook

Gates said his view is that the American economy is generally resilient, but his concern is for citizens of countries that can’t say the same.

Last week, Gates confirmed to Fortune that he would be making the largest philanthropic commitment in modern history via the Gates Foundation, with the caveat that the $200 billion budget (including current endowment and projected growth) will be spent in the next 20 years.

The donation will double the speed of the foundation’s work to cure preventable diseases suffered by poor nations worldwide.

“For me, it’s about the cutting edge and saying, ‘Can the U.S. stay in the lead?'” Gates added. “And, I do think being friendly to other countries so … they don’t think we’re going to withdraw our technology in some sudden way.”

“There were gigantic tariffs on very poor African countries and I don’t see what the benefit of that would have been. I’m particularly focused on our role in lifting up those in greatest need and the potential tariffs would have been particularly bad for these poor countries,” Gates continued.

Examples of this may include countries like Lesotho which—prior to Trump’s 90-day pause on ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs—was facing a new rate of 50% and Malawi which was facing a rate of 17%.

The Fortune 500 Innovation Forum will convene Fortune 500 executives, U.S. policy officials, top founders, and thought leaders to help define what’s next for the American economy, Nov. 16-17 in Detroit. Apply here.
About the Author
Eleanor Pringle
By Eleanor PringleSenior Reporter, Economics and Markets
LinkedIn icon

Eleanor Pringle is an award-winning senior reporter at Fortune covering news, the economy, and personal finance. Eleanor previously worked as a business correspondent and news editor in regional news in the U.K. She completed her journalism training with the Press Association after earning a degree from the University of East Anglia.

See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Politics

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • Future 50
  • World’s Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Editorial Calendar
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Diversity And Inclusion
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Editorial Calendar
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Diversity And Inclusion
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Politics

United CEO has pitched possible combination with rival American
PoliticsAirline industry
United CEO has pitched possible combination with rival American
By Siddharth Philip, Allyson Versprille, Sri Taylor and BloombergApril 13, 2026
4 hours ago
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - DECEMBER 12: President-elect Donald Trump rings the opening bell on the trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on December 12, 2024 in New York City. Trump was invited to the Exchange after being named TIME’s “Person of the Year” for the second time. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
EnergyIran
Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war—and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year
By Eva RoytburgApril 13, 2026
5 hours ago
trump
PoliticsWhite House
Trump refuses to apologize to the Pope, offers implausible explanation for tweeting himself as Jesus
By Will Weissert, Josh Boak, Nicole Winfield and The Associated PressApril 13, 2026
5 hours ago
iran
EnergyIran
With the U.S. now blockading the Strait of Hormuz, the focus is on who has ‘the guts to go through first’
By Jordan BlumApril 13, 2026
7 hours ago
U.S. President Donald Trump salutes as a U.S. Army carry team moves a flag-draped transfer case containing the remains of Sgt. Declan J. Coady at Dover Air Force Base on March 07, 2026 in Dover, Delaware.
PoliticsIran
Trump has wanted to humble Iran since 1980. He may be humbling the American empire instead
By Eva Roytburg and Nick LichtenbergApril 13, 2026
7 hours ago
Sean Duffy speaks behind a podium. An American flag hangs behind him.
PoliticsAviation
The FAA is recruiting gamers to fix America’s air traffic controller crisis—and offering $155,000 to do it
By Sasha RogelbergApril 13, 2026
11 hours ago

Most Popular

Billionaire philanthropist MacKenzie Scott has donated again—a week after gifting millions to a college, she's just given $70 million to Meals on Wheels America
Success
Billionaire philanthropist MacKenzie Scott has donated again—a week after gifting millions to a college, she's just given $70 million to Meals on Wheels America
By Fortune EditorsApril 13, 2026
12 hours ago
'People are trying to be creative': Tariff-battered American companies are so cash-starved they are using refund claims as collateral for loans
Economy
'People are trying to be creative': Tariff-battered American companies are so cash-starved they are using refund claims as collateral for loans
By Fortune EditorsApril 12, 2026
2 days ago
'This is the last warning.' Iran threatens U.S. warships after they throw down the gauntlet for winner-take-all Strait of Hormuz
Politics
'This is the last warning.' Iran threatens U.S. warships after they throw down the gauntlet for winner-take-all Strait of Hormuz
By Fortune EditorsApril 11, 2026
2 days ago
As the U.S. Navy attempts to take control of the Strait of Hormuz today, Trump asks the Pope to shut up
Politics
As the U.S. Navy attempts to take control of the Strait of Hormuz today, Trump asks the Pope to shut up
By Fortune EditorsApril 13, 2026
17 hours ago
U.S. naval blockade on Iran will trigger a currency devaluation spiral and hyperinflation, potentially ending the war more quickly, analyst says
Economy
U.S. naval blockade on Iran will trigger a currency devaluation spiral and hyperinflation, potentially ending the war more quickly, analyst says
By Fortune EditorsApril 13, 2026
12 hours ago
Current price of oil as of April 13, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of oil as of April 13, 2026
By Fortune EditorsApril 13, 2026
15 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.