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SuccessCareers

The demise of the job-hopping economy: Gen Z’s big career strategy is hitting a wall

By
Morning Brew
Morning Brew
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By
Morning Brew
Morning Brew
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March 18, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Government data shows switching jobs these days leads to a barely noticeable raise.
Government data shows switching jobs these days leads to a barely noticeable raise.Getty Images

Taking recruiter calls in the office parking lot on the down-low is no longer among the most lucrative things you can do at work. The median pay bump notched by those switching jobs shrunk to 4.8% last month from a peak of 7.7% in early 2023, according to recently released data from the Atlanta Fed.

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That means the premium for ditching your current employer over staying put has all but disappeared since the red-hot job market of 2022 and 2023.

  • In February 2023, a job-ditcher got a median 7.7% raise over the year, compared to a 5.6% pay bump for someone staying put.
  • Last month, those who remained in their jobs received a 4.6% annual raise, just .2% under someone posting about “an exciting new chapter” on LinkedIn.

Help not so wanted

Job-hopping ceasing to be a surefire way to enter a new tax bracket is a sign of a cooling economy in which employers are no longer on the poaching prowl.

It’s been extra rough on tech: Memes about $800k tech salaries and in-office back rubs are rapidly becoming so 2022. After layoffs swept through the industry in 2024, and software development vacancies hit a 5-year low last month, many tech job seekers are settling for pay cuts, according to the Wall Street Journal.

  • People applying for senior tech roles have been hit the hardest as many companies have slashed their manager headcount.
  • Meanwhile, only 45% of tech workers got a raise last year, compared to 55% in 2023, according to the job board Dice.

But some job hoppers in other industries are still cashing in. The WSJ reports that experienced banking pros joining a new bank are getting record pay premiums, as the industry scored unprecedented earnings last year.

Big picture: Fewer people are taking the leap toward a new employer. Less than 2.2% of workers switched jobs last month compared to 2.6% in June 2022, per government data. —SK

This report was originally published by Morning Brew.

The Fortune 500 Innovation Forum will convene Fortune 500 executives, U.S. policy officials, top founders, and thought leaders to help define what’s next for the American economy, Nov. 16-17 in Detroit. Apply here.
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