• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia
FinanceOil

Investors’ bets on the outlook for oil prices has never been this bearish

By
Antonia Mufarech
Antonia Mufarech
,
Devika Krishna Kumar
Devika Krishna Kumar
, and
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Antonia Mufarech
Antonia Mufarech
,
Devika Krishna Kumar
Devika Krishna Kumar
, and
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
Down Arrow Button Icon
September 13, 2024, 6:58 PM ET
oil rigs at sunset
Investors are increasingly concerned about an oversupply of crude next year as non-OPEC countries boost output and demand from China and the US appears to be faltering. Getty Images

Hedge funds turned net bearish on Brent crude for the first time on record as concerns about an oversupply of oil hammer futures prices.

Recommended Video

Money managers’ short positions outnumbered long bets by 12,680 lots in the week ended Sept. 10, the first time that’s happened in ICE Futures Europe data going back to January 2011. Hedge funds remained net bullish on WTI, though that position was the smallest since February. Money managers shrank their net bullish Nymex WTI position to 105,024 lots, weekly CFTC data on futures and options show.

Investors are increasingly concerned about an oversupply of crude next year as non-OPEC countries boost output and demand from China and the US — the world’s top oil consumers — appears to be faltering.  

The gloomy sentiment rippled across refined-products markets as well. Money managers also turned the most bearish on diesel in almost nine years, deepening their net-short position to 38,609 lots. Similarly, gasoline’s net-long position was the least bullish in more than seven years, dwindling to just 5,193 lots. Money managers also boosted their bearish gasoil bets to a record net-short position of 64,461 lots. 

Trading in oil options and heavy selling from algorithm-driven traders helped drive prices to the lowest in more than two years earlier this week. As bearish bets have surged and the trade got crowded, some of those positions were unwound later this week, leading to a tepid price recovery. 

Join us at the Fortune Workplace Innovation Summit May 19–20, 2026, in Atlanta. The next era of workplace innovation is here—and the old playbook is being rewritten. At this exclusive, high-energy event, the world’s most innovative leaders will convene to explore how AI, humanity, and strategy converge to redefine, again, the future of work. Register now.
About the Authors
By Antonia Mufarech
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
By Devika Krishna Kumar
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
By Bloomberg
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • Future 50
  • World’s Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
Sections
  • Finance
  • Leadership
  • Success
  • Tech
  • Asia
  • Europe
  • Environment
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Health
  • Retail
  • Lifestyle
  • Politics
  • Newsletters
  • Magazine
  • Features
  • Commentary
  • Mpw
  • CEO Initiative
  • Conferences
  • Personal Finance
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
About Us
  • About Us
  • Editorial Calendar
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Diversity And Inclusion
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

A bar chart with coins going up and to the right.
Personal FinanceSavings
Best high-yield savings accounts for February 2026: Up to 5% APY without a fee
By Joseph HostetlerFebruary 10, 2026
2 hours ago
EconomyJob seekers
The job market is so tough white-collar workers are ‘reverse recruiting,’ shelling out thousands to get headhunters to find them their next role
By Molly Liebergall and Morning BrewFebruary 10, 2026
2 hours ago
CryptoBlockchain
Citadel and Cathie Wood back Zero, a new blockchain designed for traditional finance
By Leo SchwartzFebruary 10, 2026
3 hours ago
shopper
BankingFood and drink
Meat snacks have emerged as the clear winner in America’s seismic GLP-1 consumption shift, while popcorn is down
By Nick LichtenbergFebruary 10, 2026
3 hours ago
Photo of Joe Biden
EconomyInflation
It turns out that Joe Biden really did crush Americans’ dreams for the future. Just look at how the vibe changed 5 years ago
By Jake AngeloFebruary 10, 2026
3 hours ago
warner
LawM&A
Paramount raises offer for Warner as it seeks to fight off Netflix
By Wyatte Grantham-Philips and The Associated PressFebruary 10, 2026
5 hours ago

Most Popular

placeholder alt text
C-Suite
Meet Jody Allen, the billionaire owner of the Seattle Seahawks, who plans to sell the team and donate the proceeds to charity
By Jake AngeloFebruary 9, 2026
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Economy
America borrowed $43.5 billion a week in the first four months of the fiscal year, with debt interest on track to be over $1 trillion for 2026
By Eleanor PringleFebruary 10, 2026
13 hours ago
placeholder alt text
AI
As billionaires bail, Mark Zuckerberg doubles down on California with $50 million donation
By Sydney LakeFebruary 9, 2026
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Economy
China might be beginning to back away from U.S. debt as investors get nervous about overexposure to American assets
By Eleanor PringleFebruary 9, 2026
2 days ago
placeholder alt text
Success
Super Bowl champion Sam Darnold says his plumber dad played with him every day after work, no matter how tough his day was—and that taught him resilience
By Emma BurleighFebruary 9, 2026
1 day ago
placeholder alt text
Personal Finance
Current price of silver as of Monday, February 9, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerFebruary 9, 2026
1 day ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.