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'The demographic dividend of the last 40 years is ending': J.P. Morgan says the world is running out of the two things that kept interest rates down

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Russia
Europe

In a major backfire, more Russians are leaving the country because of Putin’s mobilization order than are actually joining the military

By
Nariman Gizitdinov
Nariman Gizitdinov
,
Helena Bedwell
Helena Bedwell
, and
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
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By
Nariman Gizitdinov
Nariman Gizitdinov
,
Helena Bedwell
Helena Bedwell
, and
Bloomberg
Bloomberg
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October 4, 2022, 2:48 PM ET
Photo of Vladimir Putin.
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced partial military mobilization in a televised address on Sept. 21, 2022. Kremlin Press Office—Getty Images
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Far more Russians have fled abroad than have enlisted in the military since President Vladimir Putin announced a mobilization to bolster his faltering invasion of Ukraine.

Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said more than 200,000 people have been conscripted into the army since Putin’s Sept. 21 order for a partial call-up, Russian news services reported Tuesday. 

That matches an exodus of more than 200,000 Russians to neighboring Kazakhstan alone over the same period reported Tuesday by the central Asian country’s interior minister. Almost 69,000 Russians crossed into Georgia by Sept. 30, according to Interior Ministry data in the Caucasus republic, where vast lines of vehicles built up at the land border with Russia following the mobilization announcement.

The European Union said last week that 66,000 Russians had entered the bloc in the week to Sept. 25. Most came through Finland, which reported Tuesday that nearly 30,000 more Russians crossed its land border from Sept. 26 to Oct. 3. Finnish authorities, which introduced heavy restrictions on Russian tourist arrivals on Friday in response to the surge in entrants, said just over 18,000 returned to Russia over the same period. 

In Mongolia, which this week offered to ease residency rules for people from Russia, border officials reported that more than 12,000 Russians entered the country by Oct. 2.

Other popular destinations such as Turkey, Armenia and Azerbaijan, where Russians can enter visa-free, haven’t disclosed data on arrivals since Putin’s mobilization order shocked the country and brought home the reality of the war in Ukraine that’s now in its eighth month. 

While not everyone who’s left Russia since Putin’s mobilization order would have been eligible for conscription, many rushed to get out of the country amid widespread uncertainty about the terms of the call-up. After Shoigu said 300,000 reservists were being mobilized, reports piled up of men being drafted who were officially exempt, including those who were too old or had chronic illnesses.

Social media also filled with complaints from some conscripts about dire living conditions and a lack of training and equipment before being sent to the front. 

That all prompted a demand from Putin to “promptly correct our mistakes and not repeat them” at a meeting with his Security Council on Sept. 29. “Those who have been drafted without proper grounds must be sent home,” he said.

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