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Here’s Why American Travelers Can Expect Lower Airfares Next Year

November 16, 2016

John F. Kennedy International AirportJohn F. Kennedy International Airport
Several planes parked at John F. Kennedy International Airport in New York City.Robert Alexander/Getty Images

U.S. airfares are expected to fall in 2017 amid overcapacity and stiff competition between budget carriers and legacy airlines, according to an American Express Global Business Travel report on the travel industry.

Short-haul economy fares are expected to drop 3%, while long-haul business class fares may see a 1.5% decline in the United States, the report said.

However, higher ancillary fees will help offset lower fares in North America as airlines continue to look for new revenue sources, the report added.

For months, lower fuel costs have allowed airlines to add flights that would have been unprofitable when oil prices were high. With seats for sale growing faster than the pool of passengers to buy them, fares for U.S. flights have fallen.

In particular, budget carriers such as Spirit Airlines (SAVE) have added cheap service at the hubs of larger rivals and are now adding routes from medium-sized airports.

Top carriers American Airlines (AAL) and United (UAL) plan to fight back by marketing cheap but higher-restriction fares, which partially explains why 2017 may see more price drops.

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Airfares in Europe and much of Asia-Pacific are expected to stay flat, with slight increases depending on route and fare class in the Asia-Pacific region. In Europe, fares would continue to be impacted by weak economy and security concerns.

U.S. hotel rates are estimated to increase 3.6% next year.

Hotel rates in Europe are expected to rise marginally, while they could vary in the Asia-Pacific region as strong demand in China and India could be hurt by a rise in inventory, according to the report.