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This new Iowa poll could be bad news for Donald Trump

Donald Trump Holds Rally At Grand River CenterDonald Trump Holds Rally At Grand River Center
Donald TrumpPhotograph by Bloomberg via Getty Images

Republican presidential candidates Donald Trump and Ben Carson are tied for first place among likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers, according to a new poll conducted by Monmouth University.

Voters were asked who they would support if the presidential caucus were to be held today. Trump and Carson each received 23% of the votes, Trump rising 10 points from a July poll and Carson rising 15 points.

Former HP chief executive Carly Fiorina also received a significant boost to 10%, an escalation of 7 points since the last poll, while Scott Walker saw a steep decline of 15 points, bringing him to 7%.

The poll also measured voters’ commitment to their current opinion. 12% said they were completely decided on who they’ll vote for, and 42% said that they had a strong preference but could change their mind. 47% either had a slight preference or were completely undecided. Trump’s supporters tended to be more steadfast in their opinions than Carson’s.