Apple Presents Apple Watch At Colette Paris
Photograph by Kay-Paris Fernandes — Getty Images

How many Watches will Apple sell in 2015? A Fortune survey.

When we asked analysts last September to estimate how many Apple Watches the company would sell in calendar 2015, the average was 22.6 million. That figure included one estimate -- Katy Huberty's 60 million (!) bull case scenario -- that she hasn't mentioned since.

We surveyed our analysts again today, seven days before Apple's Spring Forward event, and got nearly the same average -- 22.47 million -- even without Huberty's bull case. We didn't ask for an average selling price, but among those who offered one, the mean ASP was $416.

Screen Shot 2015-03-02 at 1.19.14 PM

Click to enlarge.

If there’s enough Watch news next Monday to move the needle, we'll try this again.

Follow Philip Elmer-DeWitt on Twitter at @philiped. Read his Apple AAPL coverage at or subscribe via his RSS feed.

All products and services featured are based solely on editorial selection. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website.

Quotes delayed at least 15 minutes. Market data provided by Interactive Data. ETF and Mutual Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Dow Jones Terms & Conditions: S&P Index data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. All rights reserved. Terms & Conditions. Powered and implemented by Interactive Data Managed Solutions